Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 5, 2023

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $576.4500 (2.51%) ($576.4500 - $576.4500) on Tue. Dec. 5, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.37% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $576.4500(2.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR advances 2.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSTR advances 4.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from value to growth for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IFRA(28%)    ACES(27%)    SKYY(27%)    IWN(40%)    IWM(38%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -1.685% in a week (0% probabilities).
KWEB(-30%)    MCHI(-28%)    FXI(-26%)    QQQ(-22%)    BNDX(-20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.685% (StdDev 3.37%)
Hourly BBV 1 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $534.31(7.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $520.99(10.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $507.1(13.68%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   84.9%
Market Cap   $5.342b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 5.02% (three month std-dev: 3.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 32 Average positive next day return: 2.85%(47%) Average negative next day return: -2.29%(53%) Sample size 32 Average positive next three day return: 4.79%(53%) Average negative next three day return: -4.54%(47%) Sample size 32 Average positive next weekly return: 4.31%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.92%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20240105

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_5_2023	397.66	507.1	520.99	534.31	540.98	569.39	576.45(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	472	410	533	289	1.36	78%	0.32	92.8	3.37%	1	2.7	71	1.3
2	Dec_4_2023	396.38	501.08	513.61	520.54	523.77	544.88	562.32(6.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	537	300	617	298	1.68	78%	0.27	99.5	3.37%	1.3	2.8	60	1.4
3	Dec_1_2023	395.32	495.52	505.74	507.23	510.09	512.58	527.43(5.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	194	50	223	108	1.29	77%	0.16	106.8	3.32%	1.5	1.7	54	1.3
4	Nov_30_2023	394.68	491.84	501.83	505.72	502.17	502.67	497.73(-1.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-106	-10	-129	-36	0.67	75%	0.22	112.7	3.28%	-1.1	0.3	53	1.4
5	Nov_29_2023	393.82	488.55	502.7	507.86	507.71	507.61	507.62(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	85	-0	91	67	0.63	78%	0.24	94.3	3.29%	0.5	0.8	59	1.3

6	Nov_28_2023	392.87	484.54	499.63	505.11	507.96	501.67	507.6(2.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-43	-70	-58	1	0.83	78%	0.26	80.6	3.53%	-0.3	0.8	59	1.5
7	Nov_27_2023	391.86	480.34	499.23	505.28	504.53	507.81	495.75(-4.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-82	40	-108	-3	1.05	78%	0.3	81.5	3.53%	-0.4	0.5	61	1.3
8	Nov_24_2023	390.7	476.07	500.5	503.53	506.67	514.26	519.88(2.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	240	120	266	163	0.9	82%	0.41	80.2	3.47%	0	1.3	68	1.4
9	Nov_22_2023	389.12	470.87	497.63	497.43	498.45	501.25	508.46(2.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	79	50	76	88	0.67	83%	0.31	84.4	3.51%	0.8	1.1	67	1.2
10	Nov_21_2023	387.92	466.99	494.3	497.02	493.23	499.08	493.86(-2.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	40	60	25	85	0.75	83%	0.3	101	3.51%	-0.3	0.8	71	1.3

11	Nov_20_2023	386.75	463.55	492.51	493.23	496.54	495.65	508.43(4.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	177	10	183	160	1.06	83%	0.44	101	3.48%	1.6	1.2	75	1.4
12	Nov_17_2023	385.07	457.16	487.73	492.59	489.19	487.39	487(-0.49%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.1	-133	-50	-186	27	0.68	73%	0.39	96.8	3.53%	-0.7	0.7	74	1.5
13	Nov_16_2023	383.59	450.58	484.71	497	493.75	497.44	489.38(-3.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	70	30	44	146	1.14	73%	0.43	94.5	3.63%	-0.2	0.8	77	1.5
14	Nov_15_2023	381.94	443.54	481.33	497.69	499.07	490.99	506.45(6.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	80	-110	50	169	1.34	73%	0.48	89.5	3.61%	1.3	1.2	77	1.6
15	Nov_14_2023	380.11	434.81	473.51	491.23	495.5	490.06	474.87(-6.01%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-170	-50	-241	44	1.52	71%	0.45	83.2	3.55%	-1.8	0.7	64	1.5

16	Nov_13_2023	378.42	428.05	468.77	491.03	495.6	507.16	505.24(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	180	190	168	216	0.82	76%	0.47	79.2	3.46%	-0.6	1.4	76	1.4
17	Nov_10_2023	376.65	419.1	460.23	481.86	487.8	500.94	509.08(3.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	349	230	366	296	0.89	76%	0.49	72.7	3.46%	0.7	1.6	85	1.4
18	Nov_9_2023	374.81	409.57	449.71	470.74	475.38	484.04	492.8(3.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	234	160	231	244	2.05	76%	0.44	67.1	3.45%	0.5	1.5	87	0.9
19	Nov_8_2023	373.17	401.09	441.7	462.81	465.54	474.66	474.15(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	192	150	176	239	0.7	76%	0.43	66	3.44%	1.9	1.4	86	1.6
20	Nov_7_2023	371.56	394.02	437.12	453.19	460.05	466.72	473.87(3.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	273	150	265	298	0.65	76%	0.28	64.7	3.48%	2	1.5	88	1.7

21	Nov_6_2023	370.51	387.16	431.81	443	448.05	456.43	459.4(1.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	166	170	133	265	0.7	76%	0.46	65.5	3.47%	0.9	1.5	83	1.9
22	Nov_3_2023	368.83	381.01	423.78	435.08	438.99	453.39	453.46(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	295	260	282	335	0.89	72%	0.49	65.6	3.49%	1	1.5	84	1.9
23	Nov_2_2023	367.04	375.11	413.59	425.33	430.58	439.68	453.19(6.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	332	180	327	347	1.12	67%	0.24	63.5	3.54%	2.2	1.7	84	1.9
24	Nov_1_2023	366.15	368.38	402.7	417.66	418.42	424.58	426.04(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	110	110	66	240	0.68	65%	0.4	62.1	3.55%	1.6	1.4	79	1.6
25	Oct_31_2023	364.68	362.99	393.28	418.77	415.62	421.48	422.9(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	151	80	112	269	0.56	65%		65.8	3.55%	0.7	1.5	73	1.3
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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