Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MSTR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Aug. 4, 2023

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $376.6300 (-2.98%) ($376.6300 - $376.6300) on Fri. Aug. 4, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.37% (three month average)
RSI   24
Latest Price   $376.6300(-2.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR declines -2.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSTR declines -4.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BLOK(83%)    ARKK(48%)    IPO(46%)    XLC(43%)    IWF(41%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -2.185% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-37%)    VIXM(-34%)    EDOC(-19%)    TBT(-15%)    USO(-10%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.185% (StdDev 4.37%)
Hourly BBV -1.8 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $429.32
5 Day Moving Average   $408.99(-7.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $420.27(-10.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $429.32(-12.27%)
To recent high   -18.9%
To recent low   38.9%
Market Cap   $3.49b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 5.61% (three month std-dev: 4.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 8.72%(50%) Average negative next day return: -7.09%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 7.49%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -4.41%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 5.11%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.22%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20230904

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_4_2023	328.56	429.32	420.27	408.99	401.98	382.41	376.63(-2.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-264	-390	-293	-177	0.5	62%	0.43	31.6	4.37%	-1.8	-2.2	24	-1.6
2	Aug_3_2023	327.14	430.07	426.64	420.37	417.08	397.89	388.18(-4.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-317	-350	-359	-190	0.59	58%	0.52	53.3	4.35%	-1.4	-1.7	25	-0.7
3	Aug_2_2023	325.45	429.95	432.22	428.08	428.42	421.55	407.59(-6.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-195	-110	-217	-127	0.99	62%	0.58	70.7	4.42%	-1.6	-0.9	27	-0.7
4	Aug_1_2023	323.57	428.88	437.07	434.94	434.81	436.27	435.51(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-4	20	-0	-17	0.61	63%	0.69	89.7	4.4%	0.5	0.3	61	1.2
5	Jul_31_2023	321.36	426.22	438.16	435.18	436.42	435.3	437.03(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10	27	3	0.43	63%	0.8	96.6	4.43%	0.1	0.4	61	1.5

6	Jul_28_2023	318.8	421.86	439.33	433.64	435.87	433.36	433.56(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-34	-20	-40	-15	0.43	63%	0.73	82.9	4.52%	-0.6	0.4	62	1.3
7	Jul_27_2023	316.48	417.55	441.58	434.22	434.81	437.54	426.7(-3.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-10	50	-18	16	0.52	64%	0.65	77	4.53%	-2.2	0.2	69	0.5
8	Jul_26_2023	314.45	412.9	445.32	437	435.63	438.38	441.92(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	72	30	69	81	0.5	64%	0.7	70.5	4.55%	0.9	0.7	75	1.9
9	Jul_25_2023	312.27	407.35	442.75	439.67	435.3	432.09	436.71(1.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-21	-80	-45	52	0.45	64%	0.67	69.5	4.55%	0.7	0.7	73	1.2
10	Jul_24_2023	310.2	401.22	440.81	441.78	440.41	432.89	429.33(-1.63%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-59	-130	-95	49	0.61	64%	0.62	67.4	4.56%	-0.8	0.6	72	1.6

11	Jul_21_2023	308.29	396.44	439.12	445.84	444.89	438.52	436.44(-0.94%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-80	-110	-129	66	0.52	64%	0.62	74.2	4.56%	-1.2	0.8	82	1.1
12	Jul_20_2023	306.38	391.03	434.11	449.96	448.19	447.94	440.59(-3.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-22	-20	-68	116	0.59	61%	0.62	81	4.56%	-1.8	1	83	1.4
13	Jul_19_2023	304.48	385.55	428.05	454.72	452.3	451.27	455.28(1.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	63	-30	23	184	0.52	61%	0.66	91.2	4.63%	0.8	1.4	90	1.5
14	Jul_18_2023	302.49	378.42	420.46	446.15	454.73	448.44	447.26(-0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0	54	-40	10	185	0.72	61%	0.66	91.5	4.67%	-0.9	1.4	90	1.9
15	Jul_17_2023	300.52	370.8	413.58	439.44	446.03	453.34	449.62(-1.63%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	35	160	-17	191	0.79	59%	0.68	91.2	4.71%	-0.3	1.6	92	1.4

16	Jul_14_2023	298.5	362.21	403.11	431.09	437.12	461.02	457.06(-1.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	338	420	341	328	1.62	59%	0.66	86.5	4.78%	0.7	2	81	1.2
17	Jul_13_2023	296.53	353.34	391.38	415.74	422.45	438.71	464.37(12.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	397	320	417	338	1.96	59%	0.7	77.8	4.79%	2.7	2.4	83	1
18	Jul_12_2023	294.48	343.75	377.21	397.91	401.29	413.21	412.45(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	161	230	146	204	0.89	55%	0.51	77.7	4.57%	0.9	1.7	76	1.1
19	Jul_11_2023	293	337.18	368.57	391.04	391.97	406.18	413.71(1.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	248	260	250	240	1.15	57%	0.44	71.8	4.58%	1.8	2	80	-0.3
20	Jul_10_2023	291.73	330.85	357.99	383.89	383.01	389.37	407.84(7.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	192	110	186	208	0.99	59%	0.41	68.7	4.64%	2.2	2.1	82	-0.5

21	Jul_7_2023	290.53	324.74	349.84	370.86	375.89	377.77	380.35(1.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	102	80	82	161	0.86	57%	0.34	62	4.64%	0.7	1.6	82	-0.3
22	Jul_6_2023	289.54	320.48	344.26	362.88	366.47	376.65	375.18(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	114	220	96	169	0.83	57%	0.28	58.7	4.68%	0.4	1.7	79	-0.6
23	Jul_5_2023	288.73	315.41	339.57	352.95	357.8	374.01	378.11(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	280	360	290	248	1.08	57%	0.53	51.7	4.68%	1.2	2.1	80	0.9
24	Jul_3_2023	287.2	311.28	332.94	342.43	344.18	356.3	377.96(10.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	242	260	248	223	1.11	57%	0.49	50.3	4.66%	0	2.5	77	1.2
25	Jun_30_2023	285.81	307.08	324.42	328.39	333.09	341.59	342.69(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	168	220	168	166	1.43	53%		47.5	4.48%	1.6	1.6	68	1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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