Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 7, 2023

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $380.3500 (1.38%) ($380.3500 - $380.3500) on Fri. Jul. 7, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.64% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $380.3500(1.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR advances 2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSTR advances 10% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BLOK(85%)    ARKK(51%)    IPO(45%)    XLC(41%)    IWF(39%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -2.32% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-30%)    VIXM(-27%)    EDOC(-15%)    TBT(-14%)    UUP(-11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.32% (StdDev 4.64%)
Hourly BBV 0.7 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $370.86(2.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $349.84(8.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $324.74(17.12%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   40.3%
Market Cap   $3.525b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 10.53% (three month std-dev: 4.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 2.63%(69%) Average negative next day return: -1.17%(31%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 3.07%(69%) Average negative next three day return: -1.93%(31%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 4.15%(54%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.11%(46%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20230807

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_7_2023	290.53	324.74	349.84	370.86	375.89	377.77	380.35(1.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	102	80	82	161	0.86	57%	0.34	62	4.64%	0.7	1.6	82	-0.3
2	Jul_6_2023	289.54	320.48	344.26	362.88	366.47	376.65	375.18(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	114	220	96	169	0.83	57%	0.28	58.7	4.68%	0.4	1.7	79	-0.6
3	Jul_5_2023	288.73	315.41	339.57	352.95	357.8	374.01	378.11(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	280	360	290	248	1.08	57%	0.53	51.7	4.68%	1.2	2.1	80	0.9
4	Jul_3_2023	287.2	311.28	332.94	342.43	344.18	356.3	377.96(10.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	242	260	248	223	1.11	57%	0.49	50.3	4.66%	0	2.5	77	1.2
5	Jun_30_2023	285.81	307.08	324.42	328.39	333.09	341.59	342.69(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	168	220	168	166	1.43	53%	0.34	47.5	4.48%	1.6	1.6	68	1

6	Jun_29_2023	284.84	304.84	318.17	325.86	324.35	332.07	340.48(4.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	112	150	105	132	0.8	58%	0.24	51.2	4.49%	1.8	1.8	67	1
7	Jun_28_2023	284.17	302.55	312.48	323.02	321.74	324.6	325.49(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	84	50	77	105	0.66	57%	0.15	53.6	4.82%	0.9	1.3	60	1.2
8	Jun_27_2023	283.74	300.51	307.91	324.12	322.4	316.64	325.54(5.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-5	-140	-29	69	0.78	54%	0.16	58.3	4.83%	0.7	1.4	67	1.1
9	Jun_26_2023	283.29	298.21	303.7	321.84	323.77	318.89	307.74(-6.76%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-69	-90	-102	29	1.06	52%	0.08	55	4.86%	-1.7	0.6	53	1
10	Jun_23_2023	283.06	297.03	302.15	319.21	325.42	328.17	330.04(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	71	120	65	88	1.2	57%	0.15	48.6	4.79%	0.3	1.9	59	1.1

11	Jun_22_2023	282.64	294.83	297.98	308.79	316.56	328.65	326.3(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	138	340	153	94	1.06	53%	0.19	38.7	4.84%	0.4	2	57	1.4
12	Jun_21_2023	282.09	293.06	294.91	300.12	303.7	322.68	330.99(5.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	231	470	268	120	1.82	53%	0.29	29.8	5.01%	1.3	2.8	60	1.3
13	Jun_20_2023	281.27	290.69	289.13	289.56	291.69	304.48	314.13(6.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	218	330	261	89	1.78	52%	0.34	18.5	4.98%	1.8	2.3	61	1.2
14	Jun_16_2023	280.32	289.22	287.47	283.41	282.66	284.73	294.6(6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	58	40	74	9	1.25	56%	0.18	2.1	5.13%	1.9	0.6	58	1.6
15	Jun_15_2023	279.81	289	287.89	282.85	279.85	278.91	277.92(-1.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-42	-60	-44	-34	0.79	54%	0.24	-12.6	5.14%	0	-1.3	50	1.2

16	Jun_13_2023	279.15	288.95	290.25	285.44	284.08	280.58	282.95(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-100	-17	-14	0.4	58%	0.12	-20	5.09%	0.4	-0.7	49	1.3
17	Jun_12_2023	278.82	289.02	291.8	288.72	285.86	280.79	278.21(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-77	-150	-91	-35	0.33	58%	0.14	-15.2	5.46%	-1.2	-1.3	44	1.4
18	Jun_9_2023	278.43	288.82	292.79	288.23	291.14	287.58	283.37(-2.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-60	-24	-9	0.52	53%	0.22	-43.2	5.58%	-1.8	-0.6	50	1.7
19	Jun_8_2023	277.81	289.04	292.74	291.92	289.24	290.93	291.79(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-40	10	-49	-14	0.44	53%	0.26	-44.8	5.7%	-0.2	0.3	54	2
20	Jun_7_2023	277.09	290.05	292.04	293.76	291.75	294.71	290.87(-2.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	41	50	46	26	0.67	53%	0.2	-28.5	5.7%	0.3	0.1	51	2.2

21	Jun_6_2023	276.54	290.62	291.92	295.91	294.48	287.56	299.35(8.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-8	-180	-14	11	1.8	53%	0.08	-31.9	5.69%	1	0.8	63	2.4
22	Jun_5_2023	276.31	290.29	291.32	295.69	295.12	288.8	275.76(-8.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-117	-160	-144	-37	1.34	50%	0.21	-38.5	5.63%	-1.7	-1.3	49	2.3
23	Jun_2_2023	275.72	292.75	292.71	297.69	300.74	301.4	301.84(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	50	27	43	0.68	53%	0.34	-28.7	5.52%	0.6	0.7	68	2.2
24	Jun_1_2023	274.78	293.07	291.18	293.41	296.72	301.43	300.96(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	43	140	44	41	0.52	53%	0.4	-38.6	5.53%	0.9	0.6	56	2
25	May_31_2023	273.69	293.11	290.06	289.98	291.59	300.08	301.62(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	86	220	99	48	0.43	53%		-44.2	5.64%	0.7	0.6	44	1.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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