Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MSTR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jun. 30, 2023

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $342.6900 (0.65%) ($342.6900 - $342.6900) on Fri. Jun. 30, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.48% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $342.6900(0.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSTR advances 7.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BLOK(85%)    ARKK(49%)    IPO(45%)    XLC(41%)    ONLN(40%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -2.24% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-30%)    VIXM(-27%)    TBT(-15%)    UUP(-11%)    USO(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.24% (StdDev 4.48%)
Hourly BBV 1.6 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $328.39(4.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $324.42(5.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $307.08(11.6%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   26.4%
Market Cap   $3.176b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 7.13% (three month std-dev: 4.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 3.83%(56%) Average negative next day return: -1.92%(44%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 6.41%(62%) Average negative next three day return: -4.33%(38%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 8.19%(52%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.77%(48%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20230730

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_30_2023	285.81	307.08	324.42	328.39	333.09	341.59	342.69(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	168	220	168	166	1.43	53%	0.34	47.5	4.48%	1.6	1.6	68	1
2	Jun_29_2023	284.84	304.84	318.17	325.86	324.35	332.07	340.48(4.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	112	150	105	132	0.8	58%	0.24	51.2	4.49%	1.8	1.8	67	1
3	Jun_28_2023	284.17	302.55	312.48	323.02	321.74	324.6	325.49(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	84	50	77	105	0.66	57%	0.15	53.6	4.82%	0.9	1.3	60	1.2
4	Jun_27_2023	283.74	300.51	307.91	324.12	322.4	316.64	325.54(5.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-5	-140	-29	69	0.78	54%	0.16	58.3	4.83%	0.7	1.4	67	1.1
5	Jun_26_2023	283.29	298.21	303.7	321.84	323.77	318.89	307.74(-6.76%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-69	-90	-102	29	1.06	52%	0.08	55	4.86%	-1.7	0.6	53	1

6	Jun_23_2023	283.06	297.03	302.15	319.21	325.42	328.17	330.04(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	71	120	65	88	1.2	57%	0.15	48.6	4.79%	0.3	1.9	59	1.1
7	Jun_22_2023	282.64	294.83	297.98	308.79	316.56	328.65	326.3(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	138	340	153	94	1.06	53%	0.19	38.7	4.84%	0.4	2	57	1.4
8	Jun_21_2023	282.09	293.06	294.91	300.12	303.7	322.68	330.99(5.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	231	470	268	120	1.82	53%	0.29	29.8	5.01%	1.3	2.8	60	1.3
9	Jun_20_2023	281.27	290.69	289.13	289.56	291.69	304.48	314.13(6.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	218	330	261	89	1.78	52%	0.34	18.5	4.98%	1.8	2.3	61	1.2
10	Jun_16_2023	280.32	289.22	287.47	283.41	282.66	284.73	294.6(6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	58	40	74	9	1.25	56%	0.18	2.1	5.13%	1.9	0.6	58	1.6

11	Jun_15_2023	279.81	289	287.89	282.85	279.85	278.91	277.92(-1.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-42	-60	-44	-34	0.79	54%	0.24	-12.6	5.14%	0	-1.3	50	1.2
12	Jun_13_2023	279.15	288.95	290.25	285.44	284.08	280.58	282.95(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-100	-17	-14	0.4	58%	0.12	-20	5.09%	0.4	-0.7	49	1.3
13	Jun_12_2023	278.82	289.02	291.8	288.72	285.86	280.79	278.21(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-77	-150	-91	-35	0.33	58%	0.14	-15.2	5.46%	-1.2	-1.3	44	1.4
14	Jun_9_2023	278.43	288.82	292.79	288.23	291.14	287.58	283.37(-2.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-60	-24	-9	0.52	53%	0.22	-43.2	5.58%	-1.8	-0.6	50	1.7
15	Jun_8_2023	277.81	289.04	292.74	291.92	289.24	290.93	291.79(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-40	10	-49	-14	0.44	53%	0.26	-44.8	5.7%	-0.2	0.3	54	2

16	Jun_7_2023	277.09	290.05	292.04	293.76	291.75	294.71	290.87(-2.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	41	50	46	26	0.67	53%	0.2	-28.5	5.7%	0.3	0.1	51	2.2
17	Jun_6_2023	276.54	290.62	291.92	295.91	294.48	287.56	299.35(8.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-8	-180	-14	11	1.8	53%	0.08	-31.9	5.69%	1	0.8	63	2.4
18	Jun_5_2023	276.31	290.29	291.32	295.69	295.12	288.8	275.76(-8.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-117	-160	-144	-37	1.34	50%	0.21	-38.5	5.63%	-1.7	-1.3	49	2.3
19	Jun_2_2023	275.72	292.75	292.71	297.69	300.74	301.4	301.84(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	50	27	43	0.68	53%	0.34	-28.7	5.52%	0.6	0.7	68	2.2
20	Jun_1_2023	274.78	293.07	291.18	293.41	296.72	301.43	300.96(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	43	140	44	41	0.52	53%	0.4	-38.6	5.53%	0.9	0.6	56	2

21	May_31_2023	273.69	293.11	290.06	289.98	291.59	300.08	301.62(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	86	220	99	48	0.43	53%	0.43	-44.2	5.64%	0.7	0.6	44	1.2
22	May_30_2023	272.52	294.19	287.31	287.51	287.07	292.01	298.25(4.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	77	120	92	30	0.89	53%	0.89	-33.6	5.65%	1	0.3	48	1.3
23	May_26_2023	270.11	294.55	285.7	286.77	284.83	283.11	285.77(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-60	-4	-14	0.6	53%	0.49	-27	5.52%	0.7	-0.5	48	0.8
24	May_25_2023	268.8	296.5	284.38	287.1	287.02	282.14	280.44(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-51	-120	-51	-51	0.83	53%	0.44	-16.5	5.56%	-0.6	-0.9	37	0.2
25	May_24_2023	267.62	298.36	285.05	288.44	288.77	286.56	283.84(-1.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-55	-50	-54	-58	0.76	53%		-8.6	5.6%	-0.9	-0.9	43	-0.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.