Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 8, 2021

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $857.9100 (7.73%) ($840.0100 - $857.9100) on Mon. Nov. 8, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.27% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $857.9100(7.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR advances 3.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSTR advances 5.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(64%)    IWF(63%)    IWO(63%)    QQQ(63%)    IPO(62%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -1.635% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-35%)    UUP(-17%)    VXX(-11%)    IGOV(-3%)    UNG(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.635% (StdDev 3.27%)
Hourly BBV 1.4 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $812(5.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $770.62(11.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $752.47(14.01%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   51.8%
Market Cap   $7.95b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 5.1% (three month std-dev: 3.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 37 Average positive next day return: 3.04%(38%) Average negative next day return: -2.18%(62%) Sample size 37 Average positive next three day return: 3.46%(46%) Average negative next three day return: -3.43%(54%) Sample size 37 Average positive next weekly return: 6.21%(46%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.1%(54%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20211208

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_8_2021	662	752.47	770.62	812	815.02	824.91	857.91(7.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	506	100	565	327	0.71	78%	0.36	84.3	3.27%	1.4	2.7	69	1
2	Nov_5_2021	659.62	745.64	758.53	787.25	800.52	797.92	796.39(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	52	30	40	88	0.53	77%	0.26	102.2	3.18%	-0.2	1.6	61	1
3	Nov_4_2021	657.91	741.1	750.66	771.09	785.67	805.14	799.45(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	211	230	236	135	0.35	81%	0.27	104.9	3.28%	-0.1	1.9	58	1.3
4	Nov_3_2021	656.11	735.65	743.91	755.07	764.69	803.12	810.82(1.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	659	390	769	329	0.61	81%	0.28	109.6	3.36%	1	2.5	64	1.3
5	Nov_2_2021	654.27	728.63	737.65	736.13	741.82	766.2	795.42(8.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	663	250	779	315	1.28	81%	0.31	112.6	3.37%	1.1	2.3	63	1.3

6	Nov_1_2021	652.24	721.44	730.41	723.91	722	726.26	734.19(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	118	30	141	47	0.41	76%	0.34	95.6	3.22%	0.2	0.4	58	1.2
7	Oct_29_2021	650.01	715.48	730.81	726.22	721.34	717.45	715.55(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-66	-60	-76	-35	0.62	76%	0.33	85.4	3.21%	-1.2	0	48	1.2
8	Oct_28_2021	647.88	710.81	734.2	726.85	728.89	717.74	719.35(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-98	-100	-117	-41	0.53	76%	0.34	72.8	3.25%	-0.8	0.2	54	1.2
9	Oct_27_2021	645.69	704.3	735.2	730.35	728.72	725.24	716.12(-2.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-234	-40	-281	-93	0.33	61%	0.41	63.6	3.27%	-1.6	0.2	57	1.1
10	Oct_26_2021	643.05	697.39	736.31	738.72	733.91	740.05	734.36(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	64	40	63	67	0.3	76%	0.42	61.9	3.44%	0.2	0.6	65	1.2

11	Oct_25_2021	640.35	689.77	733.96	737.69	739.81	732.21	745.75(3.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	71	-60	72	67	0.37	76%	0.42	59	4.85%	0.9	0.9	71	1.4
12	Oct_22_2021	637.68	682.3	732.41	736.44	735.67	727.77	718.66(-2.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-188	-80	-238	-36	0.35	76%	0.37	57	4.86%	-1.2	0.6	75	1.5
13	Oct_21_2021	635.34	676.52	731.74	742.57	740.88	747.41	736.87(-2.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	39	50	21	92	0.43	79%	0.38	57.5	4.84%	-0.5	0.9	76	1.8
14	Oct_20_2021	632.91	669.68	727.6	740.53	744	743.58	757.94(3.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	147	10	143	158	0.7	79%	0.45	54.7	4.99%	0.8	1.3	84	1.7
15	Oct_19_2021	630.05	660.71	719.23	733.69	736.18	734.36	729.22(-1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-48	-10	-91	81	0.71	75%	0.16	50.3	4.97%	-0.9	1	84	1.9

16	Oct_18_2021	629.03	653.55	711.97	729.41	734.8	744.42	739.5(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	128	110	112	175	0.54	75%	0.44	45.7	5.01%	-0	1.3	83	2.1
17	Oct_15_2021	626.25	646.95	699.15	727.83	726.89	738	749.34(3.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	168	100	158	199	0.69	75%	0.42	47.5	5.03%	1.1	1.7	77	2
18	Oct_14_2021	623.62	640.43	685.58	719.54	722.45	725.19	726.65(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	140	40	125	184	0.25	75%	0.41	46.9	5.05%	0.8	1.5	74	1.9
19	Oct_13_2021	621.1	635.26	671.1	712.67	717.76	715.78	723.72(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	52	0	24	136	0.24	75%	0.42	46.4	5.07%	0	1.7	73	1.5
20	Oct_12_2021	618.5	629.45	655.6	702.47	708.12	719.72	707.85(-3.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	79	140	58	141	0.37	70%	0.39	41.3	5.07%	-0.7	1.6	75	1.4

21	Oct_11_2021	616.07	625.23	642.3	691.18	699.34	719.74	731.59(3.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	332	240	359	249	0.55	70%	0.47	29.6	5.12%	1.1	2.4	77	1.3
22	Oct_8_2021	613.18	618.86	627.83	665.74	679.34	696.52	707.9(2.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	305	240	336	210	0.66	70%	0.4	6.7	5.11%	1.6	2.4	66	1.9
23	Oct_7_2021	610.76	614.87	616.23	646.47	653.46	678.93	692.3(2.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	256	310	286	164	0.5	70%	0.4	-17.7	5.12%	1.3	2.4	59	1.4
24	Oct_6_2021	608.31	611.59	606.2	623.33	635.06	662.15	672.71(3.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	421	360	490	215	0.68	70%	0.31	-52.3	5.11%	1.2	2.2	56	0.7
25	Oct_5_2021	606.4	609.9	596.37	601.84	610.89	627.98	651.4(7.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	281	240	334	123	0.42	70%		-88	5.1%	2	1.6	56	0.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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