Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MSTR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Aug. 16, 2021

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $698.2300 (-4.11%) ($692.0400 - $698.2300) on Mon. Aug. 16, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.93% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $698.2300(-4.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR declines -2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSTR advances 7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(63%)    IWF(63%)    QQQ(63%)    IVW(62%)    IWO(62%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -2.965% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-35%)    UUP(-18%)    VXX(-12%)    TLT(-1%)    TBT(-0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.965% (StdDev 5.93%)
Hourly BBV -1.3 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $729.48(-4.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $718.58(-2.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $663.38(5.25%)
To recent high   -9.5%
To recent low   54.8%
Market Cap   $6.47b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 12.31% (three month std-dev: 5.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 2.07%(57%) Average negative next day return: -1.81%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 5.18%(14%) Average negative next three day return: -4.36%(86%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 4.99%(29%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.72%(71%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210916

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_16_2021	606.39	663.38	718.58	729.48	723.2	712.42	698.23(-4.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-129	-130	-172	2	0.67	77%	0.13	62.2	5.93%	-1.3	0.4	64	1.5
2	Aug_13_2021	605.6	653.99	713.53	744.14	737.29	723.52	728.16(1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-104	-160	-145	20	0.59	72%	0.18	60.4	5.93%	-0.5	0.9	56	1.6
3	Aug_12_2021	604.5	643.98	703.78	747.76	748.14	733.98	718.88(-4.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-125	-130	-175	26	0.67	72%	0.16	55.9	6.05%	-1.5	0.9	73	1.8
4	Aug_11_2021	603.51	635.06	694.82	746.72	754.98	751.06	749.08(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-8	-0	-41	92	0.68	72%	0.13	52.1	6.09%	-0.9	1.3	73	1.9
5	Aug_10_2021	602.75	625.3	684.59	730.56	746.13	762.29	753.04(-2.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	150	220	144	169	0.71	69%	0.05	44.2	6.09%	-0	1.6	73	1.7

6	Aug_9_2021	602.46	616.17	671.91	705.32	724.94	758.89	771.54(3.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	393	410	430	282	1.26	69%	0	34.2	6.17%	0.9	2.1	78	1.7
7	Aug_6_2021	602.46	606.21	662.23	678.5	687.41	729.96	746.24(4.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	416	470	454	300	1.23	69%	0.01	23.7	6.17%	1.5	2.1	78	1.6
8	Aug_5_2021	602.38	599.32	641.67	654.07	661.56	691	713.68(6.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	443	350	491	299	1.08	69%	-0.1	13.3	6.18%	2	2	71	1.1
9	Aug_4_2021	603.01	593.7	625.83	636.11	639.16	644.85	668.31(6.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	159	80	160	157	0.83	67%	-0.09	1.1	6.13%	1.5	1.4	66	0.9
10	Aug_3_2021	603.57	591.55	614.95	632.35	628.05	632.12	626.81(-1.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-16	20	-46	74	0.84	66%	-0.24	-3.2	6.1%	-0.4	0.7	60	0.9

11	Aug_2_2021	605.03	591.44	603.58	632.95	635.09	633.47	637.46(2.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	96	-10	88	119	1.13	66%	-0.24	-2.2	6.11%	1.1	0.9	58	-0.3
12	Jul_30_2021	606.49	590.85	590.22	643.27	631.83	623.98	624.1(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-127	-140	-174	13	0.51	66%	-0.3	10.8	6.15%	-0.9	0.6	56	0.5
13	Jul_29_2021	608.32	591.61	580.39	626.24	648.07	636.7	623.85(-3.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	87	-20	87	85	0.52	66%	-0.22	7.2	6.15%	-1.8	0.6	51	0.7
14	Jul_28_2021	609.64	593.13	571.74	612.64	626.84	639.68	649.55(3.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	-25	210	-36	10	1.02	66%	-0.12	9.2	6.15%	0.5	1	54	0.5
15	Jul_27_2021	610.38	593.21	561.93	594.38	603.42	659.44	629.8(-8.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	400	700	472	184	0.89	66%	-0	9.1	6.14%	0.3	0.7	50	0.3

16	Jul_26_2021	610.39	592.54	556.06	569.21	585.53	614	689.07(27.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	673	430	803	284	1.73	70%	0.11	0	6.05%	1.7	1.7	55	0.4
17	Jul_23_2021	609.69	585.27	544.03	531.01	539.36	547.4	538.93(-3.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-52	150	-33	-110	0.51	62%	-0.17	-26.2	5.02%	-1.5	-0.9	31	-0.2
18	Jul_22_2021	610.74	587.82	552.16	528.02	529.14	557.06	555.86(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	228	380	299	15	0.69	62%	-0.29	-32.4	5.01%	0.7	-0.6	31	-0
19	Jul_21_2021	612.52	588.07	557.61	524.71	522.44	531.33	558.25(10.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	246	110	323	14	1.02	62%	-0.31	-40.2	5.09%	1.6	-0.6	30	0.7
20	Jul_20_2021	614.43	588.15	564.94	525.14	517.7	501.23	503.95(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-221	-270	-223	-213	0.68	58%	-0.46	-46.4	4.9%	-0.3	-1.6	11	-0.5

21	Jul_19_2021	617.29	592.57	577.99	540.69	531.69	513.54	498.04(-4.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-326	-290	-352	-248	0.67	58%	-0.42	-43.6	4.9%	-1.6	-2	26	-2.8
22	Jul_16_2021	619.87	599.32	592.23	558.75	552.6	534.18	523.99(-2.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-255	-270	-278	-185	0.6	61%	-0.34	-26.9	4.98%	-1.2	-1.8	51	0.3
23	Jul_15_2021	622.01	604.83	605.07	579.48	570.21	549.83	539.31(-3.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-311	-300	-353	-183	0.66	61%	-0.46	-1.4	5.02%	-1.5	-1.7	47	1
24	Jul_14_2021	624.88	609.32	617.93	594.99	592.29	571.02	560.41(-3.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-249	-260	-291	-123	0.63	55%	-0.21	25.3	5%	-1.6	-1.3	56	1.6
25	Jul_13_2021	626.2	612.99	628.66	610.75	606.42	590.6	581.69(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-255	-200	-308	-94	0.66	61%		63.4	5.14%	-1	-0.9	59	1.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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