Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MSTR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jul. 23, 2021

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $538.9300 (-3.05%) ($538.9300 - $538.9300) on Fri. Jul. 23, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.02% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $538.9300(-3.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSTR declines -8.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BLOK(61%)    IBUY(61%)    IWF(61%)    QQQ(61%)    IVW(60%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -2.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-35%)    UUP(-17%)    VXX(-12%)    TLT(-2%)    IGOV(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.51% (StdDev 5.02%)
Hourly BBV -1.5 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $585.27
5 Day Moving Average   $531.01(1.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $544.03(-0.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $585.27(-7.92%)
To recent high   -20.8%
To recent low   19.5%
Market Cap   $4.994b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 8.92% (three month std-dev: 5.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 2.23%(25%) Average negative next day return: -8.2%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 5.58%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -10.59%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 11.9%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -17.68%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210823

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_23_2021	609.69	585.27	544.03	531.01	539.36	547.4	538.93(-3.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-52	150	-33	-110	0.51	62%	-0.17	-26.2	5.02%	-1.5	-0.9	31	-0.2
2	Jul_22_2021	610.74	587.82	552.16	528.02	529.14	557.06	555.86(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	228	380	299	15	0.69	62%	-0.29	-32.4	5.01%	0.7	-0.6	31	-0
3	Jul_21_2021	612.52	588.07	557.61	524.71	522.44	531.33	558.25(10.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	246	110	323	14	1.02	62%	-0.31	-40.2	5.09%	1.6	-0.6	30	0.7
4	Jul_20_2021	614.43	588.15	564.94	525.14	517.7	501.23	503.95(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-221	-270	-223	-213	0.68	58%	-0.46	-46.4	4.9%	-0.3	-1.6	11	-0.5
5	Jul_19_2021	617.29	592.57	577.99	540.69	531.69	513.54	498.04(-4.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-326	-290	-352	-248	0.67	58%	-0.42	-43.6	4.9%	-1.6	-2	26	-2.8

6	Jul_16_2021	619.87	599.32	592.23	558.75	552.6	534.18	523.99(-2.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-255	-270	-278	-185	0.6	61%	-0.34	-26.9	4.98%	-1.2	-1.8	51	0.3
7	Jul_15_2021	622.01	604.83	605.07	579.48	570.21	549.83	539.31(-3.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-311	-300	-353	-183	0.66	61%	-0.46	-1.4	5.02%	-1.5	-1.7	47	1
8	Jul_14_2021	624.88	609.32	617.93	594.99	592.29	571.02	560.41(-3.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-249	-260	-291	-123	0.63	55%	-0.21	25.3	5%	-1.6	-1.3	56	1.6
9	Jul_13_2021	626.2	612.99	628.66	610.75	606.42	590.6	581.69(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-255	-200	-308	-94	0.66	61%	-0.48	63.4	5.14%	-1	-0.9	59	1.2
10	Jul_12_2021	629.21	613.99	633.5	621.04	619.78	613.57	588.36(-6.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-99	-80	-130	-7	0.69	61%	-0.6	92.5	5.49%	-1.7	-0.7	54	1.2

11	Jul_9_2021	633.03	611.02	631.06	630.54	628.2	622.24	627.63(1.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-30	-80	-48	25	0.36	64%	-0.47	91.3	5.43%	0.4	0.4	51	1.1
12	Jul_8_2021	636.05	605.39	627.17	634.88	630.15	626	616.84(-3.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-92	-70	-121	-6	0.46	64%	-0.52	86	5.44%	-1.2	0.3	50	-0.1
13	Jul_7_2021	639.4	600.26	621.62	644.61	637.51	634.16	639.21(0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-29	-70	-46	24	0.45	64%	-0.5	85.9	5.46%	-0.1	0.8	53	1
14	Jul_6_2021	642.63	591.66	613.36	649.76	645.09	634.3	633.16(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-78	-140	-102	-5	0.43	64%	-0.63	76.7	5.52%	-1.4	0.7	51	0.9
15	Jul_2_2021	646.71	583.87	608.23	647.85	653.04	640.86	635.86(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-86	-110	-111	-12	0.53	64%	-0.59	69	5.5%	-1.5	0.8	57	1.5

16	Jul_1_2021	650.54	576.47	606.62	630.67	650.08	655.88	649.34(-2.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	54	150	54	54	0.58	64%	-0.52	59.5	5.54%	-0.5	1.1	69	1.7
17	Jun_30_2021	653.91	568.47	603.76	617.55	626	665.22	665.48(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	277	480	314	166	0.77	64%	-0.95	55.2	5.52%	0.6	1.5	72	1.5
18	Jun_29_2021	660.15	559.88	598.59	595.05	605.57	644.27	664.96(6.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	592	500	685	312	1.53	64%	-0.58	48.5	5.54%	1.1	1.7	73	1.4
19	Jun_28_2021	664.03	550.3	594.02	572.51	577.5	586.77	623.59(13.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	254	140	285	160	1.6	62%	-0.28	40.9	5.48%	2	1.2	75	1.7
20	Jun_25_2021	665.87	542.59	590.94	564.12	559.68	566.87	549.96(-5.79%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-43	70	-69	36	0.81	56%	-0.32	39	5.22%	-1.6	0.1	67	2

21	Jun_24_2021	668.04	539.98	588.79	579.18	567.6	568.23	583.77(5.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	96	-50	86	126	0.7	60%	-0.24	48.4	5.17%	1.1	0.7	69	1.7
22	Jun_23_2021	669.65	534.92	581.93	588.11	577.96	552.49	552.95(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-191	-360	-257	7	1.05	57%	-0.21	55.9	5.22%	-0.2	0.3	65	1.7
23	Jun_22_2021	671.05	531.04	578.26	602.2	596.9	566.97	552.29(-5.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-355	-380	-456	-50	2.44	57%	-0.12	61.5	5.28%	-0.8	0.4	62	1.4
24	Jun_21_2021	671.88	527.22	570.23	617.82	614.67	603.44	581.64(-6.97%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-210	-140	-292	38	1.26	57%	-0.05	68.3	5.3%	-1.6	0.9	70	0.6
25	Jun_18_2021	672.24	520.74	559.84	620.77	626.87	626.84	625.23(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	97	30	64	194	1	63%		64.3	5.26%	-0.4	1.7	79	-0.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.