Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 2, 2021

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $635.8600 (-2.08%) ($634.1800 - $635.8600) on Fri. Jul. 2, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.5% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $635.8600(-2.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR advances 2.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSTR advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BLOK(61%)    IBUY(61%)    IWF(61%)    QQQ(61%)    IVW(60%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -2.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-34%)    UUP(-17%)    VXX(-12%)    TLT(-1%)    IGOV(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.75% (StdDev 5.5%)
Hourly BBV -1.5 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $647.85(-1.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $608.23(4.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $583.87(8.9%)
To recent high   -22.8%
To recent low   41%
Market Cap   $5.893b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 11.03% (three month std-dev: 5.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 24 Average positive next day return: 3.31%(58%) Average negative next day return: -3.23%(42%) Sample size 24 Average positive next three day return: 6.04%(71%) Average negative next three day return: -5.93%(29%) Sample size 24 Average positive next weekly return: 11.76%(63%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.48%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210802

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_2_2021	646.71	583.87	608.23	647.85	653.04	640.86	635.86(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-86	-110	-111	-12	0.53	64%	-0.59	69	5.5%	-1.5	0.8	57	1.5
2	Jul_1_2021	650.54	576.47	606.62	630.67	650.08	655.88	649.34(-2.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	54	150	54	54	0.58	64%	-0.52	59.5	5.54%	-0.5	1.1	69	1.7
3	Jun_30_2021	653.91	568.47	603.76	617.55	626	665.22	665.48(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	277	480	314	166	0.77	64%	-0.95	55.2	5.52%	0.6	1.5	72	1.5
4	Jun_29_2021	660.15	559.88	598.59	595.05	605.57	644.27	664.96(6.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	592	500	685	312	1.53	64%	-0.58	48.5	5.54%	1.1	1.7	73	1.4
5	Jun_28_2021	664.03	550.3	594.02	572.51	577.5	586.77	623.59(13.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	254	140	285	160	1.6	62%	-0.28	40.9	5.48%	2	1.2	75	1.7

6	Jun_25_2021	665.87	542.59	590.94	564.12	559.68	566.87	549.96(-5.79%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-43	70	-69	36	0.81	56%	-0.32	39	5.22%	-1.6	0.1	67	2
7	Jun_24_2021	668.04	539.98	588.79	579.18	567.6	568.23	583.77(5.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	96	-50	86	126	0.7	60%	-0.24	48.4	5.17%	1.1	0.7	69	1.7
8	Jun_23_2021	669.65	534.92	581.93	588.11	577.96	552.49	552.95(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-191	-360	-257	7	1.05	57%	-0.21	55.9	5.22%	-0.2	0.3	65	1.7
9	Jun_22_2021	671.05	531.04	578.26	602.2	596.9	566.97	552.29(-5.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-355	-380	-456	-50	2.44	57%	-0.12	61.5	5.28%	-0.8	0.4	62	1.4
10	Jun_21_2021	671.88	527.22	570.23	617.82	614.67	603.44	581.64(-6.97%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-210	-140	-292	38	1.26	57%	-0.05	68.3	5.3%	-1.6	0.9	70	0.6

11	Jun_18_2021	672.24	520.74	559.84	620.77	626.87	626.84	625.23(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	97	30	64	194	1	63%	0.07	64.3	5.26%	-0.4	1.7	79	-0.2
12	Jun_17_2021	671.76	512.73	545.6	598.87	619.65	625.91	628.44(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	175	170	164	206	0.82	63%	0.13	56.3	5.3%	0.9	2	72	1
13	Jun_16_2021	670.86	503.66	531.16	574.46	591.83	626.91	623.38(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	287	510	305	234	0.96	63%	0.1	40.5	5.37%	0.5	2.3	73	0.9
14	Jun_15_2021	670.21	496.2	517.78	550.85	562.59	613.39	630.43(5.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	634	700	720	377	1.18	63%	0.09	22.9	5.42%	1.1	3.1	75	1
15	Jun_14_2021	669.61	488.36	501.47	516.21	531.37	556.76	596.36(15.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	548	420	631	300	1.36	60%	0.03	-11.5	5.37%	1.5	3.6	72	1.4

16	Jun_11_2021	669.42	483.73	487.98	490.92	496.89	511.78	515.72(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	120	250	135	75	0.47	48%	-0.01	-77.9	4.99%	0.8	1.7	67	1.4
17	Jun_10_2021	669.46	482.29	485.42	484.59	485.07	505.97	506.39(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	236	300	273	126	0.86	48%	-0.07	-119.9	5.06%	1	1.4	58	1.2
18	Jun_9_2021	669.92	483.53	482.76	481.19	479.49	482	505.34(10.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	175	30	200	99	1.16	59%	-0.13	-121.2	5.1%	2	1	62	1
19	Jun_8_2021	670.8	486.49	479.22	479.76	475.45	464.16	457.25(-2.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-146	-190	-175	-57	1.03	51%	-0.33	-95.1	5.25%	-0.5	-1	44	1.2
20	Jun_7_2021	673	491.86	481.12	483.82	484.17	476.98	469.89(-2.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-85	-100	-104	-26	0.53	51%	-0.17	-88.6	5.24%	-1.2	-0.7	46	1.4

21	Jun_4_2021	674.12	498.85	479.66	483.86	486.08	486.74	484.07(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-22	20	-26	-9	0.25	42%	-0.22	-72.9	5.25%	-0.8	-0.3	42	1.5
22	Jun_3_2021	675.63	504.16	478.55	485.89	482.59	491.35	489.4(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	110	49	19	0.31	42%	-0.05	-69.7	5.45%	0.5	-0.3	50	1.2
23	Jun_2_2021	675.94	510.39	475.19	484.42	483.79	485.43	498.19(4.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	102	20	126	31	0.35	42%	-0.03	-66.9	5.45%	2.2	-0.2	42	1.5
24	Jun_1_2021	676.11	515.6	473.67	479.08	480.98	473.82	477.55(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-68	-90	-67	-71	0.38	42%	0.19	-69.9	5.44%	-0.2	-0.7	34	1.1
25	May_28_2021	674.82	523.12	474.58	478.17	479.46	482.15	470.09(-4.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-63	50	-56	-84	0.43	42%		-62.9	5.47%	-1.5	-0.8	34	1.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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