Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 12, 2021

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $1032.8400 (2.14%) ($961.0100 - $1032.8400) on Fri. Feb. 12, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.43% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $1032.8400(2.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR advances 4.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSTR advances 38.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BLOK(66%)    IBUY(58%)    IWO(58%)    IWF(57%)    QQQ(57%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -4.215% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-31%)    UUP(-17%)    VXX(-12%)    IGOV(-2%)    TBT(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.215% (StdDev 8.43%)
Hourly BBV 0.2 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $1069.21(-3.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $907.42(13.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $744.76(38.68%)
To recent high   -19.1%
To recent low   452.5%
Market Cap   $9.571b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 28.74% (three month std-dev: 8.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.22%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -7.26%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 7.2%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210312

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_12_2021	358.41	744.76	907.42	1069.21	1084.43	1013.04	1032.84(2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-420	-75	244	0.76	78%	2.62	80.5	8.43%	0.2	1.3	78	1.5
2	Feb_11_2021	349.27	723.47	867	1023.34	1092.09	1022.86	1011.19(3.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-435	-240	-590	29	1.55	78%	2.61	80	8.46%	-0.8	1.4	77	1.3
3	Feb_10_2021	340.38	698.16	824.6	973.63	1040.24	1155.81	979.39(-23.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	252	980	221	343	2.24	78%	2.56	75.7	8.46%	-0.6	1.4	79	1
4	Feb_9_2021	331.87	674.13	781.35	926.13	972.27	1161.32	1277.09(22.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	1830	1510	2077	1088	2.23	85%	3.62	73.3	7.77%	1.5	3.2	88	1.1
5	Feb_8_2021	320.27	632.39	705.55	808.62	838.47	924.66	1045.54(30.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	1191	830	1347	723	1.93	83%	2.93	77.7	7.4%	1.9	3.2	78	1.1

6	Feb_5_2021	311.14	604.75	655.17	726.25	749.47	783.23	803.48(5.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	416	410	448	318	0.72	81%	2.17	93.1	6.54%	1.5	2.3	72	1.1
7	Feb_4_2021	304.54	590.53	631.39	689.01	706.94	752.28	762.68(2.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	387	530	426	271	0.59	81%	2.03	104.8	6.54%	1	2.4	61	1.1
8	Feb_3_2021	298.48	575.96	606.59	652.15	678.85	715.71	741.89(7.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	549	500	625	320	0.82	81%	2.07	110.6	6.55%	1.2	2.6	70	0.7
9	Feb_2_2021	292.44	560.08	586.32	611.8	636.91	661.6	689.53(8.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	303	390	345	178	0.47	81%	1.97	103.9	6.52%	0	2.2	68	-0.1
10	Feb_1_2021	286.8	546.79	575.22	585.85	597.56	641.99	633.66(2.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	285	580	326	162	0.52	80%	1.8	102.7	6.48%	0	1.5	67	-1.3

11	Jan_29_2021	281.72	534.83	568.91	573.4	578.23	612.23	617.31(6.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	470	440	544	246	1.44	80%	1.78	106.3	6.48%	0	1.5	60	-2.7
12	Jan_28_2021	276.8	523.71	569.07	565.35	560.15	553.13	578.38(7.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	95	-120	101	77	0.76	76%	1.66	97.3	6.46%	0	0.9	57	-2.2
13	Jan_27_2021	272.29	513.57	563.56	553.76	554.71	544.24	540.1(-3.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-128	-130	-160	-32	0.66	75%	1.54	87.8	6.55%	0	0.4	61	-3
14	Jan_26_2021	268.16	505.62	561.75	555.91	551.16	567.17	559.81(-2.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	180	4	50	0.48	74%	1.15	86	6.51%	0	0.7	68	0.3
15	Jan_25_2021	265.12	494.36	555.99	562.39	552.76	565.19	571.42(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	187	110	200	149	0.68	74%	1.71	86.6	6.56%	0	1	70	0.8

16	Jan_22_2021	260.65	482.97	552.05	563.72	558.84	535.15	577.03(10.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-56	-320	-95	60	1.13	74%	1.76	91.2	6.55%	0	1.2	74	1.5
17	Jan_21_2021	256.14	470.89	547.76	574.51	569.62	540.34	520.46(-5.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-309	-390	-406	-18	1.18	73%	1.53	93.8	6.45%	0	0.6	71	1.8
18	Jan_20_2021	252.28	461.2	544.74	574.27	586.63	582.53	550.82(-6.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-8	20	-61	150	1.23	73%	1.69	92.4	6.41%	0	1	77	1.7
19	Jan_19_2021	248.09	448.98	533.56	566.96	573.21	598.9	592.21(2.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	209	350	190	266	1.04	76%	2.33	89	6.31%	0	1.5	81	1.3
20	Jan_15_2021	242.43	434.15	517.16	547.61	549.23	590.73	578.07(-8.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	458	540	480	391	1.61	76%	1.87	81.3	6.28%	0	1.5	84	0.7

21	Jan_14_2021	237.98	420.01	498.67	538.33	521.86	547.52	631(21.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	383	250	387	372	1.91	79%	2.14	81.3	6.13%	0	2.2	86	1.2
22	Jan_13_2021	232.99	402.16	473.96	519.28	511.54	507.73	519.26(0.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	128	-100	80	272	0.62	76%	1.68	84.2	5.64%	0	1.4	82	1.4
23	Jan_12_2021	229.15	390.08	459.1	511.53	516.71	496.2	514.24(3.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-14	-250	-91	219	0.67	76%	1.67	78.8	5.65%	0	1.5	83	1.1
24	Jan_11_2021	225.38	378.44	444.81	494.41	504.19	515.35	495.49(-6.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-21	210	-101	220	1.49	76%	1.63	71	5.64%	0	1.4	84	0.2
25	Jan_8_2021	221.76	367.91	428.04	480.36	488.6	537.22	531.64(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	563	750	585	498	1.65	81%		64.8	5.54%	0	2.1	91	1.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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