Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 29, 2021

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $617.3100 (6.73%) ($607.5001 - $696.4763) on Fri. Jan. 29, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.48% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $617.3100(6.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSTR advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BLOK(67%)    IWO(58%)    IBUY(57%)    IPO(56%)    IWF(56%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -3.24% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-31%)    UUP(-17%)    VXX(-12%)    IGOV(-3%)    TBT(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.24% (StdDev 6.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -9.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $573.4(7.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $568.91(8.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $534.83(15.42%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   281.1%
Market Cap   $5.721b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 10.1% (three month std-dev: 6.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.81%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 15.97%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 29.94%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210301

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_29_2021	281.72	534.83	568.91	573.4	578.23	612.23	617.31(6.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	470	440	544	246	1.44	80%	1.78	106.3	6.48%	0	1.5	60	-2.7
2	Jan_28_2021	276.8	523.71	569.07	565.35	560.15	553.13	578.38(7.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	95	-120	101	77	0.76	76%	1.66	97.3	6.46%	0	0.9	57	-2.2
3	Jan_27_2021	272.29	513.57	563.56	553.76	554.71	544.24	540.1(-3.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-128	-130	-160	-32	0.66	75%	1.54	87.8	6.55%	0	0.4	61	-3
4	Jan_26_2021	268.16	505.62	561.75	555.91	551.16	567.17	559.81(-2.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	180	4	50	0.48	74%	1.15	86	6.51%	0	0.7	68	0.3
5	Jan_25_2021	265.12	494.36	555.99	562.39	552.76	565.19	571.42(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	187	110	200	149	0.68	74%	1.71	86.6	6.56%	0	1	70	0.8

6	Jan_22_2021	260.65	482.97	552.05	563.72	558.84	535.15	577.03(10.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-56	-320	-95	60	1.13	74%	1.76	91.2	6.55%	0	1.2	74	1.5
7	Jan_21_2021	256.14	470.89	547.76	574.51	569.62	540.34	520.46(-5.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-309	-390	-406	-18	1.18	73%	1.53	93.8	6.45%	0	0.6	71	1.8
8	Jan_20_2021	252.28	461.2	544.74	574.27	586.63	582.53	550.82(-6.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-8	20	-61	150	1.23	73%	1.69	92.4	6.41%	0	1	77	1.7
9	Jan_19_2021	248.09	448.98	533.56	566.96	573.21	598.9	592.21(2.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	209	350	190	266	1.04	76%	2.33	89	6.31%	0	1.5	81	1.3
10	Jan_15_2021	242.43	434.15	517.16	547.61	549.23	590.73	578.07(-8.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	458	540	480	391	1.61	76%	1.87	81.3	6.28%	0	1.5	84	0.7

11	Jan_14_2021	237.98	420.01	498.67	538.33	521.86	547.52	631(21.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	383	250	387	372	1.91	79%	2.14	81.3	6.13%	0	2.2	86	1.2
12	Jan_13_2021	232.99	402.16	473.96	519.28	511.54	507.73	519.26(0.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	128	-100	80	272	0.62	76%	1.68	84.2	5.64%	0	1.4	82	1.4
13	Jan_12_2021	229.15	390.08	459.1	511.53	516.71	496.2	514.24(3.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-14	-250	-91	219	0.67	76%	1.67	78.8	5.65%	0	1.5	83	1.1
14	Jan_11_2021	225.38	378.44	444.81	494.41	504.19	515.35	495.49(-6.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-21	210	-101	220	1.49	76%	1.63	71	5.64%	0	1.4	84	0.2
15	Jan_8_2021	221.76	367.91	428.04	480.36	488.6	537.22	531.64(-0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	563	750	585	498	1.65	81%	1.83	64.8	5.54%	0	2.1	91	1.6

16	Jan_7_2021	217.77	355.07	408.15	451.74	458.43	493.04	535.75(11.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	647	570	692	512	2.28	81%	1.9	56.6	5.56%	0	2.6	91	1.5
17	Jan_6_2021	213.71	342	386.86	422.58	423.28	439.98	480.55(12.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	282	280	269	320	1.54	79%	1.66	50.1	5.43%	0	2.4	90	-0.4
18	Jan_5_2021	210.23	333.97	370.05	399.69	405.31	423.82	428.63(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	272	360	262	300	1.1	77%	1.42	44.4	5.28%	0	2	89	-0.5
19	Jan_4_2021	207.29	328.4	357.23	387.96	389.92	406.58	425.22(9.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	291	310	288	301	1.47	77%	1.75	49.2	5.28%	0	2.3	85	-1.6
20	Dec_31_2020	203.73	323.12	344.21	367.44	375.88	386.81	388.55(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	232	270	227	245	0.74	76%	1.27	51.4	5.21%	0	1.9	80	1.2

21	Dec_30_2020	201.17	319.37	335.13	357.17	361.01	373.26	389.97(6.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	175	270	164	208	0.94	76%	1.31	59.9	5.21%	0	2.3	81	1.3
22	Dec_29_2020	198.56	315.63	324.5	345.47	348.66	364.95	366.07(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	214	350	216	208	0.74	74%	1.26	77.6	5.18%	0	2	76	0.2
23	Dec_28_2020	196.09	314.02	315.75	335.78	340.32	348.76	370(14.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	242	210	261	186	1.1	75%	1.67	97.6	5.18%	0	2.3	56	1.2
24	Dec_24_2020	192.86	308.98	306.95	322.02	325.38	332.38	322.61(-4.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	63	180	62	65	0.25	72%	1.05	100.4	4.87%	0	0.6	48	1.3
25	Dec_23_2020	190.86	306.49	303.67	317.06	317.16	331.88	337.18(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	166	330	191	91	0.59	70%		101.8	4.84%	0	1.3	50	0.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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