Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 13, 2017

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $132.2100 (2.87%) ($128.5600 - $133.4600) on Wed. Sep. 13, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.43% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $132.2100(2.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSTR advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(51%)    IWO(51%)    SKYY(49%)    ARKK(47%)    IWC(47%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -1.715% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-9%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-6%)    TLT(-4%)    XHB(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.715% (StdDev 3.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $129.11(2.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $128.59(2.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $127.51(3.69%)
To recent high   -31.3%
To recent low   5.6%
Market Cap   $1.225b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 1.31% (three month std-dev: 3.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.03%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.23%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.58%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171013

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_13_2017	167.05	127.51	128.59	129.11	129	129.66	132.21(2.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	25	30	23	30	0.13	22%	-0.36	7.6	3.43%	0	2.8	80	0
2	Sep_12_2017	167.65	127.51	128.01	128.3	128.54	128.58	128.52(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	10	4	18	0.27	22%	-0.37	-17.6	3.41%	0	0.9	66	0
3	Sep_11_2017	168.28	127.3	127.8	128.26	128.47	128.35	128.2(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	4	-0	-1	17	0.14	22%	-0.36	-28.8	3.41%	0	0.7	70	0
4	Sep_8_2017	168.89	127.33	127.57	128.32	128.35	128.5	128.25(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	10	-3	17	0.14	23%	-0.36	-49.5	3.41%	0	0.7	63	0
5	Sep_7_2017	169.5	127.29	127.32	128.47	128.49	128.59	128.36(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	10	10	22	0.09	23%	-0.35	-66	3.42%	0	0.8	53	0

6	Sep_6_2017	170.09	127.38	127.05	127.95	128.22	128.2	128.19(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	10	3	11	0.16	23%	-0.34	-84.9	3.42%	0	0.5	45	0
7	Sep_5_2017	170.67	127.52	126.84	127.65	127.7	128.38	128.31(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	40	7	8	0.12	22%	-0.33	-91.2	3.42%	0	0.5	46	0
8	Sep_1_2017	171.24	127.68	126.52	127.25	127.29	128.24	128.5(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	50	27	8	0.1	27%	-0.31	-70.4	3.4%	0	0.3	45	0
9	Aug_31_2017	171.78	128	126.25	126.7	126.61	127.01	129(2.6%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	12	20	17	-4	0.13	27%	-0.33	-76.6	3.42%	0	0.4	47	0
10	Aug_30_2017	172.35	128.19	126.05	126.03	126.16	126.34	125.73(-0.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-2	10	3	-16	0.14	28%	-0.35	-145.3	3.39%	0	-0.8	39	0

11	Aug_29_2017	172.96	128.68	126.32	126.01	126.1	126.21	126.7(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	10	6	-17	0.16	28%	-0.34	-198.2	3.4%	0	-0.6	30	0
12	Aug_28_2017	173.55	129.13	126.49	125.9	125.92	125.98	126.31(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-6	0	-0	-24	0.1	28%	-0.33	-254.7	3.43%	0	-0.8	26	0
13	Aug_25_2017	174.13	129.53	126.73	125.68	126.04	125.99	125.76(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-4	10	4	-29	0.04	28%	-0.34	-277	3.42%	0	-0.9	21	0
14	Aug_24_2017	174.72	130.21	127.05	125.71	125.81	125.87	125.64(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-15	10	-6	-41	0.04	28%	-0.34	-103.2	3.42%	0	-0.3	15	0
15	Aug_23_2017	175.31	133.11	127.27	126.08	125.91	126.09	125.64(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-14	10	-3	-45	0.06	27%	-0.35	-76.2	3.42%	0	-0.4	27	0

16	Aug_22_2017	175.93	136.15	127.76	126.69	126.45	125.76	126.14(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-18	-40	-7	-49	0.13	27%	-0.36	-63.9	3.43%	0	-0.5	24	0
17	Aug_21_2017	176.56	139.24	128.28	127.2	126.99	125.74	125.21(-0.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-40	-70	-32	-62	0.15	27%	-0.36	-57	3.43%	0	-0.6	20	0
18	Aug_18_2017	177.19	142.39	128.97	127.94	127.88	127.14	125.93(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-40	-26	-57	0.18	27%	-0.36	-52.6	3.43%	0	-0.6	29	0
19	Aug_17_2017	177.83	145.38	129.92	128.56	128.72	128.25	127.46(-0.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-17	-20	-6	-51	0.12	26%	-0.35	-49.8	3.43%	0	-0.7	23	0
20	Aug_16_2017	178.45	148.36	130.53	128.62	128.81	128.61	128.72(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-37	-10	-11	-114	0.13	26%	-0.34	-48.2	3.43%	0	-0.7	9	0

21	Aug_15_2017	179.05	151.33	131.22	128.99	128.87	129.19	128.69(-0.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-46	10	-5	-168	0.19	28%	-0.33	-47.1	3.43%	0	-0.8	8	0
22	Aug_14_2017	179.64	154.29	131.96	129.55	129.41	129.01	128.92(-0.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-55	-20	-0	-218	0.34	28%	-0.33	-46.5	3.44%	0	-0.9	8	0
23	Aug_11_2017	180.23	157.13	132.54	130.19	129.89	128.55	129.01(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-98	-80	-36	-283	0.16	27%	-0.32	-46.4	3.44%	0	-1	9	0
24	Aug_10_2017	180.81	159.95	133.61	131.54	131.24	129.82	127.74(-2.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-109	-80	-38	-321	0.14	27%	-0.34	-46.5	3.43%	0	-1.2	12	0
25	Aug_9_2017	181.42	162.92	139.28	132.7	132.67	131.22	130.6(-0.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-103	-80	-34	-309	0.12	26%		-46.8	3.43%	0	-1.2	12	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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