Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 21, 2017

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $187.5900 (-0.28%) ($186.0201 - $191.4400) on Fri. Apr. 21, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.03% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $187.5900(-0.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSTR advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(50%)    IWO(50%)    SKYY(48%)    ARKK(46%)    IWC(46%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -0.515% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-9%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    TLT(-4%)    XHB(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.515% (StdDev 1.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $186.26(0.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $185.09(1.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $185.77(0.98%)
To recent high   -8.5%
To recent low   3.3%
Market Cap   $1.738b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 1.03% (three month std-dev: 1.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.37%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.76%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.4%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.45%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170521

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_21_2017	193.76	185.77	185.09	186.26	186.39	187.49	187.59(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	95	40	108	55	0.1	36%	-0.02	-32	1.03%	0	1	47	INF
2	Apr_20_2017	193.8	185.69	184.66	185.06	185.21	186.23	188.11(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	65	40	83	11	0.06	36%	-0.03	-62.4	1.03%	0	1.3	47	INF
3	Apr_19_2017	193.86	185.62	184.23	184.22	184.24	185.29	185.94(0.29%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	42	40	63	-22	0.03	33%	-0.05	-84.7	1.04%	0	0.2	43	INF
4	Apr_18_2017	193.96	185.7	184.21	184.17	183.92	184.19	185.41(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	26	10	46	-35	0.04	33%	-0.05	-85.1	1.05%	0	-0.2	42	INF
5	Apr_17_2017	194.06	186.02	184.37	184.04	183.99	183.2	184.23(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-35	-30	-25	-64	0.08	33%	-0.07	-63	1.06%	0	-0.8	42	INF

6	Apr_13_2017	194.2	186.38	184.7	183.76	184.22	183.66	181.61(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-65	-10	-60	-81	0.03	28%	-0.09	-50.3	1.05%	0	-1.7	36	INF
7	Apr_12_2017	194.38	186.86	185.37	184.13	184.32	184.78	183.92(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	20	-1	-46	0.03	30%	-0.08	-44.2	1.06%	0	-1.1	41	INF
8	Apr_11_2017	194.53	187.17	185.75	184.17	184.37	184.77	185.67(0.48%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	22	20	38	-28	0.03	30%	-0.06	-44.4	1.06%	0	-0.6	44	INF
9	Apr_10_2017	194.65	187.32	185.94	184.29	184.49	183.86	184.79(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-30	-20	-22	-52	0.04	30%	-0.06	-41.7	1.06%	0	-1	36	INF
10	Apr_7_2017	194.77	187.53	186.16	184.82	184.89	183.97	182.8(-0.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-100	-30	-103	-91	0.06	26%	-0.08	-35.9	1.05%	0	-2	16	INF

11	Apr_6_2017	194.92	187.77	186.54	185.82	186.25	185.11	183.49(-0.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-66	-40	-63	-74	0.09	26%	-0.07	-33	1.06%	0	-2	20	INF
12	Apr_5_2017	195.06	188	186.87	186.78	186.96	185.82	184.11(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-94	-40	-97	-86	0.06	26%	-0.05	-30.1	1.06%	0	-2	26	INF
13	Apr_4_2017	195.15	188.27	187.19	187.52	187.53	187.38	186.25(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-52	-10	-48	-63	0.04	28%	-0.03	-34.1	1.05%	0	-1.2	36	INF
14	Apr_3_2017	195.21	188.35	187.37	187.81	187.92	188.1	187.43(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	16	10	31	-29	0.08	28%	-0.05	-42	1.05%	0	-0.6	47	INF
15	Mar_31_2017	195.31	188.39	187.82	187.72	187.54	187.69	187.8(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	8	0	19	-27	0.05	28%	-0.03	-60.7	1.05%	0	-0.4	47	INF

16	Mar_30_2017	195.37	188.49	188.18	187.38	186.92	187.74	188.29(0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	21	20	32	-14	0.05	28%	-0.02	-76.9	1.06%	0	-0.1	56	INF
17	Mar_29_2017	195.4	188.58	188.43	187.01	186.52	187.39	187.81(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	53	20	70	3	0.04	28%	-0.02	-76.9	1.06%	0	-0.4	52	INF
18	Mar_28_2017	195.43	188.86	188.65	186.84	186.26	186.1	187.74(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	13	-20	23	-17	0.04	25%	-0.02	-79.5	1.06%	0	-0.5	46	INF
19	Mar_27_2017	195.47	189.06	188.75	186.89	186.19	185.65	186.94(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-77	-30	-84	-56	0.05	25%	-0.02	-77.8	1.09%	0	-0.9	50	INF
20	Mar_24_2017	195.51	189.42	188.96	187.98	187.58	186.42	186.14(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-55	-50	-64	-28	0.03	25%	-0.02	-59	1.09%	0	-1.3	46	INF

21	Mar_23_2017	195.54	189.82	189.1	189.13	188.99	186.73	186.41(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-111	-90	-133	-45	0.07	33%	-0.03	-45.5	1.1%	0	-1.4	41	INF
22	Mar_22_2017	195.59	190.17	189.27	190.05	190.18	188.75	186.95(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-113	-50	-138	-39	0.1	31%	-0.05	-36.6	1.15%	0	-1.3	41	INF
23	Mar_21_2017	195.68	190.54	189.52	190.67	191.1	191.25	187.99(-2.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-3	10	-7	11	0.09	31%	-0.04	-25.7	1.17%	0	-1	35	INF
24	Mar_20_2017	195.75	190.92	189.51	190.79	190.75	191.61	192.42(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	53	30	60	30	0.07	34%	0.01	-18	1.16%	0	0.6	49	INF
25	Mar_17_2017	195.74	190.93	189.04	190.08	189.77	190.95	191.86(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	61	40	78	10	0.1	34%		-19.4	1.17%	0	0.3	41	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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