Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 24, 2017

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $202.9600 (-1.04%) ($199.0000 - $205.9600) on Tue. Jan. 24, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.74% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $202.9600(-1.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSTR advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(50%)    IWO(50%)    SKYY(48%)    ARKK(46%)    IWC(46%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -0.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-9%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    TLT(-4%)    XHB(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.87% (StdDev 1.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $202.22(0.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $201.85(0.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $200.46(1.25%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   18.1%
Market Cap   $1.881b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 1.07% (three month std-dev: 1.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.46%(25%) Average negative next day return: -1.47%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.56%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.29%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.07%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.69%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170224

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_24_2017	186.99	200.46	201.85	202.22	201.65	202.97	202.96(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	40	36	44	0.1	73%	0.09	20.6	1.74%	0	1.2	61	0
2	Jan_23_2017	186.82	200.12	201.44	201.82	201.56	201.84	205.1(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	51	10	52	49	0.07	73%	0.2	4.7	1.77%	0	2.3	67	0
3	Jan_20_2017	186.45	199.85	200.82	201.56	201.07	200.34	201.55(1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-24	-30	-36	13	0.1	73%	0.19	3.4	1.76%	0	1	58	0
4	Jan_19_2017	186.1	199.94	200.63	201.34	201.68	201.27	199(-1.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-6	-10	-15	23	0.08	73%	0.18	-2.1	1.77%	0	-0.5	56	0
5	Jan_18_2017	185.76	200.14	200.57	201.74	201.53	201.8	202.51(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	10	4	30	0.06	73%	0.2	7.3	1.76%	0	1.2	51	0

6	Jan_17_2017	185.39	200.02	200.1	201.39	200.91	202.09	200.92(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	34	30	34	34	0.05	73%	0.29	1	1.76%	0	0.4	48	0
7	Jan_13_2017	184.85	200.03	199.77	200.94	200.49	201.25	203.8(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	60	20	65	45	0.05	73%	0.2	-4.7	1.73%	0	1.8	68	0
8	Jan_12_2017	184.48	199.8	199.2	200.01	199.56	201.25	200.47(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	2	-0	0	7	0.06	73%	0.19	-15.2	1.73%	0	0.3	50	0
9	Jan_11_2017	184.13	199.97	199.2	199.84	199.61	199.73	201(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	0	14	1	0.09	73%	0.18	-4	1.73%	0	0.5	43	0
10	Jan_10_2017	183.8	199.97	199.2	199.23	199.56	199.4	200.78(1.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	5	-0	10	-9	0.07	73%	0.19	0.9	1.73%	0	0.4	44	0

11	Jan_9_2017	183.45	200	198.91	198.64	199.06	199.49	198.63(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-7	20	-3	-19	0.07	73%	0.18	11.5	1.73%	0	-0.6	47	0
12	Jan_6_2017	183.12	200.12	198.69	198.39	198.92	199.72	199.17(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	29	40	42	-12	0.08	73%	0.19	27.9	1.73%	0	-0.4	46	0
13	Jan_5_2017	182.77	200.1	198.78	198.26	198.38	198.62	199.61(0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	7	10	17	-23	0.11	73%	0.2	35.1	1.73%	0	-0.2	51	0
14	Jan_4_2017	182.41	200.06	199.15	197.86	198.37	198.13	197.94(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-18	-0	-11	-39	0.12	76%	0.19	36.3	1.73%	0	-0.9	40	0
15	Jan_3_2017	182.07	199.99	199.65	198.56	198.75	198.14	197.84(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-20	-33	-39	0.11	72%	0.27	48.2	1.79%	0	-1	45	0

16	Dec_30_2016	181.58	199.75	199.93	199.24	199.71	198.61	197.4(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-30	-24	-30	0.06	72%	0.18	34.7	1.82%	0	-0.8	46	0
17	Dec_29_2016	181.26	199.52	200.36	199	200.01	199.36	198.5(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-37	-10	-37	-37	0.04	67%	0.18	19.4	1.82%	0	-0.3	47	0
18	Dec_28_2016	180.93	199.33	200.5	199.36	199.74	200.81	197.6(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	40	-19	-25	0.07	67%	0.18	15.6	1.86%	0	-0.5	51	0
19	Dec_27_2016	180.6	199.24	201.18	200.62	200.75	200.67	201.48(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	-0	48	21	0.07	70%	0.29	22.7	1.84%	0	0.6	56	0
20	Dec_23_2016	180.08	198.92	201.21	200.96	201.04	198.67	201.22(2.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-55	-80	-69	-14	0.05	70%	0.21	24	1.83%	0	0.6	60	0

21	Dec_22_2016	179.71	198.74	201.19	200.79	201.69	200.84	196.18(-2.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-72	-20	-92	-10	0.08	68%	0.17	23.1	1.81%	0	-0.7	61	0
22	Dec_21_2016	179.41	198.86	201.73	201.87	202.58	203.41	200.31(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	45	40	37	67	0.09	72%	0.18	34.2	1.8%	0	0.4	69	0
23	Dec_20_2016	179.08	198.77	201.59	201.72	201.85	202.55	203.89(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	39	30	28	71	0.14	72%	0.18	40.4	1.78%	0	1.4	69	0
24	Dec_19_2016	178.75	198.4	201.06	201.83	201.49	201.76	203.18(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	0	11	71	0.07	72%	0.16	50	1.78%	0	1.4	65	0
25	Dec_16_2016	178.47	198.05	200.35	201.57	201.94	201.16	200.4(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	20	-20	3	69	0.11	72%		50.9	1.78%	0	0.7	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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