Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $196.1800 (-2.06%) ($195.3600 - $200.8100) on Thu. Dec. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.81% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $196.1800(-2.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSTR advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(50%)    IWO(50%)    SKYY(48%)    ARKK(46%)    IWC(46%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -0.905% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-9%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    TLT(-4%)    XHB(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.905% (StdDev 1.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.3%

Resistance Level   $198.74
5 Day Moving Average   $200.79(-2.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $201.19(-2.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $198.74(-1.29%)
To recent high   -4%
To recent low   19.7%
Market Cap   $1.818b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 1.86% (three month std-dev: 1.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.66%(80%) Average negative next day return: -1.14%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 0.04%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -0.56%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 4.53%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.68%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170122

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_22_2016	179.71	198.74	201.19	200.79	201.69	200.84	196.18(-2.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-72	-20	-92	-10	0.08	68%	0.17	23.1	1.81%	0	-0.7	61	0
2	Dec_21_2016	179.41	198.86	201.73	201.87	202.58	203.41	200.31(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	45	40	37	67	0.09	72%	0.18	34.2	1.8%	0	0.4	69	0
3	Dec_20_2016	179.08	198.77	201.59	201.72	201.85	202.55	203.89(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	39	30	28	71	0.14	72%	0.18	40.4	1.78%	0	1.4	69	0
4	Dec_19_2016	178.75	198.4	201.06	201.83	201.49	201.76	203.18(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	0	11	71	0.07	72%	0.16	50	1.78%	0	1.4	65	0
5	Dec_16_2016	178.47	198.05	200.35	201.57	201.94	201.16	200.4(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	20	-20	3	69	0.11	72%	0.09	50.9	1.78%	0	0.7	62	0

6	Dec_15_2016	178.31	197.89	199.58	201.68	201.63	201.23	201.55(0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-21	-10	-42	44	0.1	72%	0.1	59.5	1.79%	0	1.1	56	0
7	Dec_14_2016	178.13	197.62	198.64	201.57	201.71	202.72	199.59(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	35	40	26	61	0.11	72%	0.08	68.2	1.79%	0	0.6	52	0
8	Dec_13_2016	177.98	197.31	198.11	201.34	201.34	202.04	204.44(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	69	20	68	71	0.09	78%	0.11	68.7	1.77%	0	2.2	61	0
9	Dec_12_2016	177.78	196.68	197.14	200.17	199.95	200.7	201.87(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	20	24	40	0.09	78%	0.08	65.1	1.78%	0	1.8	61	0
10	Dec_9_2016	177.64	196.39	196.41	198.95	199.03	200.64	200.97(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	70	60	78	47	0.11	78%	0.1	69.9	1.78%	0	1.7	60	0

11	Dec_8_2016	177.46	195.99	196.03	197.14	197.41	199.19	200.98(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	85	70	100	39	0.11	78%	0.06	61.5	1.79%	0	2	57	0
12	Dec_7_2016	177.36	195.53	195.67	195.26	195.04	197.43	198.45(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	60	80	75	14	0.06	78%	0.07	43.9	1.78%	0	1.2	55	0
13	Dec_6_2016	177.24	195.12	195.62	194.38	193.89	195.63	198.57(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	81	60	100	23	0.1	78%	0.06	23.3	1.78%	0	1.3	63	0
14	Dec_5_2016	177.13	194.8	195.4	193.71	193.16	192.65	195.76(1.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	12	-30	19	-8	0.08	78%	0.05	12.3	1.78%	0	0.4	61	0
15	Dec_2_2016	177.04	194.54	195.48	193.57	192.9	192.16	191.94(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-66	-40	-72	-46	0.06	76%	0.06	7.9	1.78%	0	-1	40	0

16	Dec_1_2016	176.94	194.43	196.06	194.75	194.21	193.68	191.6(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-24	-30	-28	-11	0.12	76%	0.06	42.7	1.79%	0	-1	49	0
17	Nov_30_2016	176.84	194.47	196.6	196.07	195.51	193.65	194.03(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-38	-80	-51	0	0.12	76%	0.07	87.9	1.76%	0	-0.2	57	0
18	Nov_29_2016	176.71	194.52	196.57	196.98	196.42	194.73	195.23(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-72	-70	-95	-3	0.06	76%	0.08	134.2	1.76%	0	0.2	63	0
19	Nov_28_2016	176.57	194.49	196.32	197.32	197.5	197.37	195.03(-1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-12	-0	-25	29	0.09	76%	0.1	173.2	1.77%	0	0.2	57	0
20	Nov_25_2016	176.4	194.33	196.5	197.65	197.63	198.1	197.85(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	20	19	61	0.04	76%	0.16	211.8	1.75%	0	1.2	66	0

21	Nov_23_2016	176.12	193.2	196.05	197.57	197.32	197.62	198.21(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	10	20	69	0.05	76%	0.14	95.5	1.75%	0	0.7	69	0
22	Nov_22_2016	175.87	191.96	195.43	197.23	197.06	197.15	198.57(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	0	22	68	0.07	76%	0.13	83.7	1.75%	0	0.8	61	0
23	Nov_21_2016	175.64	190.71	194.59	196.13	196.35	197.02	196.93(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	30	24	51	0.07	76%	0.14	75.3	1.75%	0	0.7	52	0
24	Nov_18_2016	175.39	189.61	194.11	195.17	195.34	196.97	196.68(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	60	46	47	0.1	76%	0.13	66.7	1.75%	0	0.8	52	0
25	Nov_17_2016	175.17	188.27	193.47	195.18	194.8	195.69	197.47(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	65	30	68	55	0.06	76%		61	1.75%	0	0.9	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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