Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 28, 2016

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $170.2500 (0.7%) ($169.2300 - $170.6599) on Wed. Sep. 28, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.44% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $170.2500(0.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(50%)    IWO(50%)    SKYY(48%)    ARKK(46%)    IWC(46%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -0.72% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-9%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    TLT(-4%)    XHB(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.72% (StdDev 1.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $170.45(-0.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $168.43(1.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $169.17(0.64%)
To recent high   -10.6%
To recent low   3.8%
Market Cap   $1.578b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 1.4% (three month std-dev: 1.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.38%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.24%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.72%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.98%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.81%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161028

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_28_2016	176.42	169.17	168.43	170.45	170.36	169.88	170.25(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-20	-8	-2	0.12	53%	-0.12	35.7	1.44%	0	0.5	43	0
2	Sep_27_2016	176.63	169.01	168.22	169.93	170.26	170.3	169.06(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8	10	-5	-15	0.13	47%	-0.11	27	1.44%	0	0	44	0
3	Sep_26_2016	176.82	168.87	168.28	169.43	169.76	170.85	170.87(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	39	50	52	0	0.13	47%	-0.07	18.4	1.5%	0	0.8	50	0
4	Sep_23_2016	176.94	168.7	168.36	168.1	168.71	170.23	171.78(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	64	70	84	3	0.12	42%	-0.05	5.5	1.64%	0	1.3	54	0
5	Sep_22_2016	177.02	168.51	168.19	166.71	167.28	168.66	170.3(1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	45	70	65	-15	0.16	42%	-0.06	-5.8	1.65%	0	0.8	57	0

6	Sep_21_2016	177.12	168.33	168.36	166.18	166.39	167.19	167.63(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	22	40	37	-23	0.13	42%	-0.07	-6.5	1.64%	0	-0.3	54	0
7	Sep_20_2016	177.25	168.38	168.74	166.33	166.44	165.9	166.55(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-20	-7	-30	0.13	46%	-0.1	0.7	1.65%	0	-0.8	51	0
8	Sep_19_2016	177.43	168.41	169.16	167.01	167.04	165.6	164.25(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-67	-60	-76	-40	0.11	46%	-0.09	9.4	1.67%	0	-1.8	49	0
9	Sep_16_2016	177.59	168.56	169.77	168.65	168.3	166.98	164.84(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-60	-60	-74	-16	0.18	43%	-0.1	34.4	1.71%	0	-1.7	46	0
10	Sep_15_2016	177.77	168.64	170.11	169.82	169.58	168.48	167.62(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-42	-50	-57	3	0.08	43%	-0.13	49.6	1.7%	0	-0.5	49	0

11	Sep_14_2016	178	168.49	170.09	170.82	170.48	169.63	168.39(-0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-30	-40	-47	20	0.11	43%	-0.12	55.1	1.7%	0	-0	56	0
12	Sep_13_2016	178.21	168.35	169.99	171.49	171.12	170.68	169.93(-1.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-9	-20	-23	35	0.25	43%	-0.09	62.2	1.7%	0	0.7	54	0
13	Sep_12_2016	178.37	168.19	169.64	171.63	171.32	171.32	172.45(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10	3	47	0.13	43%	-0.11	69.7	1.69%	0	1.8	65	0
14	Sep_9_2016	178.57	167.83	169.13	171.09	170.94	171.57	170.7(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	29	20	22	50	0.22	41%	-0.1	66.2	1.7%	0	1.3	63	0
15	Sep_8_2016	178.75	167.59	168.87	170.42	170.39	171.32	172.65(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	60	40	59	63	0.13	41%	-0.09	64.1	1.7%	0	2.4	72	0

16	Sep_7_2016	178.91	167.22	168.26	169.25	169.19	170.31	171.71(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	52	50	52	53	0.12	41%	-0.1	55	1.7%	0	2.5	74	0
17	Sep_6_2016	179.09	166.87	167.89	168.3	167.99	169.47	170.63(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	60	60	62	52	0.09	45%	-0.14	41.9	1.7%	0	2.4	65	0
18	Sep_2_2016	179.34	166.55	167.49	167.37	167.18	168.08	169.78(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	54	30	59	40	0.07	47%	-0.1	5	1.74%	0	2.4	58	0
19	Sep_1_2016	179.52	166.36	167.15	166.91	166.53	166.52	167.32(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	3	-10	-1	14	0.07	47%	-0.11	-38.6	1.75%	0	0.8	56	0
20	Aug_31_2016	179.72	166.36	166.99	166.91	166.92	166.27	166.79(-0.1%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-7	-30	-13	10	0.08	45%	-0.09	-114.5	1.75%	0	0.5	52	0

21	Aug_30_2016	179.88	166.36	166.75	167.11	167.23	166.55	166.96(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-30	-40	-3	0.06	45%	-0.08	-175.7	1.77%	0	0.6	55	0
22	Aug_29_2016	180.02	166.22	166.6	167.4	167.75	167.57	166(-0.88%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-10	-0	-17	10	0.13	45%	-0.07	-162.7	1.78%	0	-0.1	54	0
23	Aug_26_2016	180.15	166.49	166.68	167.57	168.11	167.57	167.47(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	15	0	11	28	0.1	45%	-0.07	-133.8	1.79%	0	0.4	61	0
24	Aug_25_2016	180.27	166.81	166.48	167.41	167.54	167.92	168.32(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	20	0	20	0.11	45%	-0.08	-85.8	1.79%	0	0.3	55	0
25	Aug_24_2016	180.41	167.55	166.24	166.86	167.14	168.29	166.78(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	46	50	49	37	0.11	48%		-72.3	1.79%	0	-0.1	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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