Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $171.7800 (0.87%) ($169.6000 - $172.3100) on Fri. Sep. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.64% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $171.7800(0.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSTR declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(50%)    IWO(50%)    SKYY(48%)    ARKK(46%)    IWC(46%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -0.82% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-9%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    TLT(-4%)    BOTZ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.82% (StdDev 1.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $168.1(2.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $168.36(2.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $168.7(1.83%)
To recent high   -9.8%
To recent low   4.7%
Market Cap   $1.592b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 1.45% (three month std-dev: 1.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.33%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 2.42%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.99%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161023

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_23_2016	176.94	168.7	168.36	168.1	168.71	170.23	171.78(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	64	70	84	3	0.12	42%	-0.05	5.5	1.64%	0	1.3	54	0
2	Sep_22_2016	177.02	168.51	168.19	166.71	167.28	168.66	170.3(1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	45	70	65	-15	0.16	42%	-0.06	-5.8	1.65%	0	0.8	57	0
3	Sep_21_2016	177.12	168.33	168.36	166.18	166.39	167.19	167.63(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	22	40	37	-23	0.13	42%	-0.07	-6.5	1.64%	0	-0.3	54	0
4	Sep_20_2016	177.25	168.38	168.74	166.33	166.44	165.9	166.55(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-20	-7	-30	0.13	46%	-0.1	0.7	1.65%	0	-0.8	51	0
5	Sep_19_2016	177.43	168.41	169.16	167.01	167.04	165.6	164.25(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-67	-60	-76	-40	0.11	46%	-0.09	9.4	1.67%	0	-1.8	49	0

6	Sep_16_2016	177.59	168.56	169.77	168.65	168.3	166.98	164.84(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-60	-60	-74	-16	0.18	43%	-0.1	34.4	1.71%	0	-1.7	46	0
7	Sep_15_2016	177.77	168.64	170.11	169.82	169.58	168.48	167.62(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-42	-50	-57	3	0.08	43%	-0.13	49.6	1.7%	0	-0.5	49	0
8	Sep_14_2016	178	168.49	170.09	170.82	170.48	169.63	168.39(-0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-30	-40	-47	20	0.11	43%	-0.12	55.1	1.7%	0	-0	56	0
9	Sep_13_2016	178.21	168.35	169.99	171.49	171.12	170.68	169.93(-1.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-9	-20	-23	35	0.25	43%	-0.09	62.2	1.7%	0	0.7	54	0
10	Sep_12_2016	178.37	168.19	169.64	171.63	171.32	171.32	172.45(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10	3	47	0.13	43%	-0.11	69.7	1.69%	0	1.8	65	0

11	Sep_9_2016	178.57	167.83	169.13	171.09	170.94	171.57	170.7(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	29	20	22	50	0.22	41%	-0.1	66.2	1.7%	0	1.3	63	0
12	Sep_8_2016	178.75	167.59	168.87	170.42	170.39	171.32	172.65(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	60	40	59	63	0.13	41%	-0.09	64.1	1.7%	0	2.4	72	0
13	Sep_7_2016	178.91	167.22	168.26	169.25	169.19	170.31	171.71(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	52	50	52	53	0.12	41%	-0.1	55	1.7%	0	2.5	74	0
14	Sep_6_2016	179.09	166.87	167.89	168.3	167.99	169.47	170.63(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	60	60	62	52	0.09	45%	-0.14	41.9	1.7%	0	2.4	65	0
15	Sep_2_2016	179.34	166.55	167.49	167.37	167.18	168.08	169.78(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	54	30	59	40	0.07	47%	-0.1	5	1.74%	0	2.4	58	0

16	Sep_1_2016	179.52	166.36	167.15	166.91	166.53	166.52	167.32(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	3	-10	-1	14	0.07	47%	-0.11	-38.6	1.75%	0	0.8	56	0
17	Aug_31_2016	179.72	166.36	166.99	166.91	166.92	166.27	166.79(-0.1%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-7	-30	-13	10	0.08	45%	-0.09	-114.5	1.75%	0	0.5	52	0
18	Aug_30_2016	179.88	166.36	166.75	167.11	167.23	166.55	166.96(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-30	-40	-3	0.06	45%	-0.08	-175.7	1.77%	0	0.6	55	0
19	Aug_29_2016	180.02	166.22	166.6	167.4	167.75	167.57	166(-0.88%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-10	-0	-17	10	0.13	45%	-0.07	-162.7	1.78%	0	-0.1	54	0
20	Aug_26_2016	180.15	166.49	166.68	167.57	168.11	167.57	167.47(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	15	0	11	28	0.1	45%	-0.07	-133.8	1.79%	0	0.4	61	0

21	Aug_25_2016	180.27	166.81	166.48	167.41	167.54	167.92	168.32(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	20	0	20	0.11	45%	-0.08	-85.8	1.79%	0	0.3	55	0
22	Aug_24_2016	180.41	167.55	166.24	166.86	167.14	168.29	166.78(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	46	50	49	37	0.11	48%	-0.09	-72.3	1.79%	0	-0.1	58	0
23	Aug_23_2016	180.57	168.28	166.12	166.31	166.28	167.17	168.42(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	47	40	52	30	0.08	51%	-0.09	-68.9	1.84%	0	0	53	0
24	Aug_22_2016	180.74	169.03	165.76	165.7	165.33	165.98	166.88(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	20	18	6	0.1	51%	-0.09	-65.7	1.86%	0	-0.3	48	0
25	Aug_19_2016	180.9	169.85	165.52	165.68	165.2	165.39	166.64(0.64%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.1	13	-0	19	-7	0.07	51%		-60.9	1.86%	0	-0.4	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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