Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $172.6500 (0.55%) ($169.4500 - $172.9900) on Thu. Sep. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.7% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $172.6500(0.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSTR advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWO(50%)    SKYY(48%)    ARKK(46%)    IWC(46%)    IWM(46%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-9%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    TLT(-4%)    IPO(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $170.42(1.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $168.87(2.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $167.59(3.02%)
To recent high   -10.2%
To recent low   5.3%
Market Cap   $1.6b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 1.28% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 0.43%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.89%(67%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 1.36%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -1%(60%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 1.41%(53%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.24%(47%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161008

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_8_2016	178.75	167.59	168.87	170.42	170.39	171.32	172.65(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	60	40	59	63	0.13	41%	-0.09	64.1	1.7%	0	2.4	72	INF
2	Sep_7_2016	178.91	167.22	168.26	169.25	169.19	170.31	171.71(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	52	50	52	53	0.12	41%	-0.1	55	1.7%	0	2.5	74	INF
3	Sep_6_2016	179.09	166.87	167.89	168.3	167.99	169.47	170.63(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	60	60	62	52	0.09	45%	-0.14	41.9	1.7%	0	2.4	65	INF
4	Sep_2_2016	179.34	166.55	167.49	167.37	167.18	168.08	169.78(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	54	30	59	40	0.07	47%	-0.1	5	1.74%	0	2.4	58	INF
5	Sep_1_2016	179.52	166.36	167.15	166.91	166.53	166.52	167.32(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	3	-10	-1	14	0.07	47%	-0.11	-38.6	1.75%	0	0.8	56	INF

6	Aug_31_2016	179.72	166.36	166.99	166.91	166.92	166.27	166.79(-0.1%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-7	-30	-13	10	0.08	45%	-0.09	-114.5	1.75%	0	0.5	52	INF
7	Aug_30_2016	179.88	166.36	166.75	167.11	167.23	166.55	166.96(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-30	-40	-3	0.06	45%	-0.08	-175.7	1.77%	0	0.6	55	INF
8	Aug_29_2016	180.02	166.22	166.6	167.4	167.75	167.57	166(-0.88%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-10	-0	-17	10	0.13	45%	-0.07	-162.7	1.78%	0	-0.1	54	INF
9	Aug_26_2016	180.15	166.49	166.68	167.57	168.11	167.57	167.47(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	15	0	11	28	0.1	45%	-0.07	-133.8	1.79%	0	0.4	61	INF
10	Aug_25_2016	180.27	166.81	166.48	167.41	167.54	167.92	168.32(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	20	0	20	0.11	45%	-0.08	-85.8	1.79%	0	0.3	55	INF

11	Aug_24_2016	180.41	167.55	166.24	166.86	167.14	168.29	166.78(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	46	50	49	37	0.11	48%	-0.09	-72.3	1.79%	0	-0.1	58	INF
12	Aug_23_2016	180.57	168.28	166.12	166.31	166.28	167.17	168.42(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	47	40	52	30	0.08	51%	-0.09	-68.9	1.84%	0	0	53	INF
13	Aug_22_2016	180.74	169.03	165.76	165.7	165.33	165.98	166.88(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	20	18	6	0.1	51%	-0.09	-65.7	1.86%	0	-0.3	48	INF
14	Aug_19_2016	180.9	169.85	165.52	165.68	165.2	165.39	166.64(0.64%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.1	13	-0	19	-7	0.07	51%	-0.07	-60.9	1.86%	0	-0.4	35	INF
15	Aug_18_2016	181.03	170.84	165.47	165.44	165.31	164.69	165.58(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-18	-30	-11	-37	0.08	51%	-0.09	-59.4	1.86%	0	-0.6	27	INF

16	Aug_17_2016	181.19	171.72	165.36	165.55	165.4	165.01	164.02(-0.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-44	-20	-32	-80	0.11	51%	-0.07	-54.4	1.86%	0	-0.8	15	INF
17	Aug_16_2016	181.32	172.99	165.65	165.86	165.77	165.92	165.4(-0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-18	0	6	-89	0.07	51%	-0.04	-49.2	1.87%	0	-0.8	22	INF
18	Aug_15_2016	181.39	174.03	165.82	165.79	165.68	165.78	166.75(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-18	0	15	-118	0.07	51%	-0.08	-46.7	1.87%	0	-0.7	21	INF
19	Aug_12_2016	181.54	175.04	166.27	165.33	165.2	165.61	165.43(-0.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-38	20	0	-151	0.09	51%	-0.04	-44.9	1.87%	0	-1	20	INF
20	Aug_11_2016	181.62	176.12	167.15	165.51	165.19	165.57	166.13(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-23	10	23	-162	0.13	48%	-0.02	-42	1.87%	0	-1	18	INF

21	Aug_10_2016	181.65	176.96	168.88	165.18	165.23	164.78	165.58(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-46	-20	-3	-174	0.11	48%	-0.06	-40.8	1.89%	0	-1.2	27	INF
22	Aug_9_2016	181.75	177.81	170.53	165.43	165.29	164.81	165.06(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-74	-20	-33	-196	0.1	51%	-0.06	-37.9	1.9%	0	-1.4	22	INF
23	Aug_8_2016	181.86	178.7	172.47	165.87	165.78	165.67	164.44(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-68	-10	-27	-190	0.11	51%	-0.06	-34.7	1.94%	0	-1.7	28	INF
24	Aug_5_2016	181.97	179.58	174.47	167.38	166.75	165.78	166.32(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-76	-50	-39	-186	0.14	51%	-0.02	-28.3	1.95%	0	-1.7	28	INF
25	Aug_4_2016	182	180.27	176.6	169.09	168.4	165.89	164.49(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-118	-120	-92	-194	0.13	51%		-22.1	1.94%	0	-2.1	26	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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