Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MSTR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jul. 29, 2016

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $174.8900 (-5.51%) ($161.8950 - $175.1350) on Fri. Jul. 29, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.96% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $174.8900(-5.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR declines -1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSTR declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWO(50%)    SKYY(48%)    ARKK(46%)    IWC(46%)    IWM(46%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -0.98% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-9%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    TLT(-4%)    IPO(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.98% (StdDev 1.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

Resistance Level   $181.82
5 Day Moving Average   $182.53(-4.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $184.7(-5.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $181.82(-3.81%)
To recent high   -10.2%
To recent low   4.6%
Market Cap   $1.621b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 3.02% (three month std-dev: 1.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 3.14%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.41%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.41%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -0.12%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.01%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.03%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160829

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_29_2016	182.01	181.82	184.7	182.53	181.25	178.08	174.89(-5.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-203	-140	-237	-101	0.59	55%	0.04	47	1.96%	0	-1.3	46	0
2	Jul_28_2016	181.93	181.9	186.03	185.12	185.07	184.51	185.08(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	9	-20	1	34	0.16	57%	0.09	54.8	1.84%	0	0.6	63	0
3	Jul_27_2016	181.76	181.38	185.79	184.87	185.24	184.41	182.98(-1.2%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-34	-30	-53	22	0.14	57%	0.09	48.2	1.9%	0	0.3	67	0
4	Jul_26_2016	181.6	180.69	185.73	186.37	186.04	185.62	185.21(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-6	-20	-29	62	0.13	58%	0.09	40.2	1.9%	0	0.7	72	0
5	Jul_25_2016	181.43	179.83	185.41	186.63	187.05	186.07	184.51(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-30	-18	84	0.07	55%	0.08	27.2	1.92%	0	0.7	71	0

6	Jul_22_2016	181.28	179.27	185.07	187.21	187.39	186.45	187.84(2.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-12	-30	-47	92	0.13	55%	0.1	26.1	1.95%	0	1.3	78	0
7	Jul_21_2016	181.1	178.95	184.15	187.09	187.86	188.03	183.79(-3.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	31	20	1	119	0.2	54%	0.09	25.3	1.95%	0	0.7	67	0
8	Jul_20_2016	180.94	178.7	183.26	186.77	187.41	188.33	190.48(2.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	74	40	51	141	0.12	57%	0.1	21	1.89%	0	1.8	83	0
9	Jul_19_2016	180.76	178.2	181.51	184.99	185.91	187.7	186.55(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	79	80	59	138	0.11	55%	0.14	12	1.88%	0	1.4	86	0
10	Jul_18_2016	180.5	177.99	180.16	184	184.58	186.5	187.4(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	112	80	97	157	0.18	55%	0.17	5.9	1.88%	0	1.6	89	0

11	Jul_15_2016	180.2	177.52	178.64	182.63	182.96	184.12	187.21(2.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	85	50	69	133	0.21	55%	0.16	-8.3	1.88%	0	1.8	70	0
12	Jul_14_2016	179.91	177.3	177.35	180.85	181.75	182.66	182.21(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	68	50	57	100	0.12	53%	0.15	-24.5	1.86%	0	1	47	0
13	Jul_13_2016	179.64	177.36	176.52	179.17	180.26	181.8	181.58(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	73	80	70	80	0.12	55%	0.16	-38.8	1.86%	0	0.8	51	0
14	Jul_12_2016	179.35	177.49	175.2	177.44	178.19	180.83	181.6(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	90	120	102	52	0.14	55%	0.16	-53.1	1.88%	0	0.7	47	0
15	Jul_11_2016	179.07	177.66	173.75	175.69	176	178.72	180.55(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	100	110	128	17	0.09	55%	0.16	-65.5	1.88%	0	0.5	44	0

16	Jul_8_2016	178.79	177.95	172.93	174.06	173.88	175.55	178.29(2.56%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	56	60	84	-28	0.11	55%	0.16	-69.9	1.88%	0	0.1	49	0
17	Jul_7_2016	178.5	178.57	173.22	173.41	173.88	173.28	173.84(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	6	10	28	-62	0.08	53%	0.1	-65.1	1.85%	0	-0.7	38	0
18	Jul_6_2016	178.32	179.45	173.73	173.5	172.65	172.22	172.9(0.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-9	-30	13	-76	0.09	53%	0.12	-58.1	1.87%	0	-0.9	37	0
19	Jul_5_2016	178.11	180.47	174.59	172.55	172.5	172.03	172.88(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-30	-20	-7	-100	0.09	53%	0.12	-54.8	1.87%	0	-1	36	0
20	Jul_1_2016	177.9	181.53	175.63	171.4	171.66	173.08	172.39(-1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	60	18	-107	0.07	53%	0.13	-55.3	1.86%	0	-1.1	35	0

21	Jun_30_2016	177.67	182.37	176.32	171.55	170.67	172.98	175.02(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	18	80	59	-105	0.15	53%	0.15	-55.9	1.85%	0	-0.9	36	0
22	Jun_29_2016	177.41	183.16	177.23	173.13	170.99	170.24	174.32(3.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-28	-70	4	-124	0.19	56%	0.13	-50.4	1.86%	0	-1.2	31	0
23	Jun_28_2016	177.18	183.8	178.25	174.19	173.49	168.36	168.15(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-168	-220	-159	-193	0.09	53%	0.07	-50.7	1.85%	0	-2.1	22	0
24	Jun_27_2016	177.05	184.8	180.04	177	176.62	171.74	167.13(-3.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-257	-200	-268	-225	0.27	53%	0.06	-43.9	1.85%	0	-2.7	19	0
25	Jun_24_2016	176.94	186.07	182.06	180.37	180.39	178.63	173.12(-5.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-128	-70	-121	-150	0.3	56%		-28.6	1.82%	0	-2.5	21	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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