Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $178.2900 (2.56%) ($175.0400 - $179.9100) on Fri. Jul. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.88% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $178.2900(2.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSTR declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWO(50%)    SKYY(48%)    ARKK(46%)    IWC(46%)    IWM(46%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -0.94% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-9%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    TLT(-4%)    IPO(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.94% (StdDev 1.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $174.06(2.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $172.93(3.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $177.95(0.19%)
To recent high   -8.4%
To recent low   6.7%
Market Cap   $1.652b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 3.46% (three month std-dev: 1.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.57%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.48%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.51%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.12%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.51%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.24%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160808

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_8_2016	178.79	177.95	172.93	174.06	173.88	175.55	178.29(2.56%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	56	60	84	-28	0.11	55%	0.16	-69.9	1.88%	0	0.1	49	0
2	Jul_7_2016	178.5	178.57	173.22	173.41	173.88	173.28	173.84(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	6	10	28	-62	0.08	53%	0.1	-65.1	1.85%	0	-0.7	38	0
3	Jul_6_2016	178.32	179.45	173.73	173.5	172.65	172.22	172.9(0.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-9	-30	13	-76	0.09	53%	0.12	-58.1	1.87%	0	-0.9	37	0
4	Jul_5_2016	178.11	180.47	174.59	172.55	172.5	172.03	172.88(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-30	-20	-7	-100	0.09	53%	0.12	-54.8	1.87%	0	-1	36	0
5	Jul_1_2016	177.9	181.53	175.63	171.4	171.66	173.08	172.39(-1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	60	18	-107	0.07	53%	0.13	-55.3	1.86%	0	-1.1	35	0

6	Jun_30_2016	177.67	182.37	176.32	171.55	170.67	172.98	175.02(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	18	80	59	-105	0.15	53%	0.15	-55.9	1.85%	0	-0.9	36	0
7	Jun_29_2016	177.41	183.16	177.23	173.13	170.99	170.24	174.32(3.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-28	-70	4	-124	0.19	56%	0.13	-50.4	1.86%	0	-1.2	31	0
8	Jun_28_2016	177.18	183.8	178.25	174.19	173.49	168.36	168.15(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-168	-220	-159	-193	0.09	53%	0.07	-50.7	1.85%	0	-2.1	22	0
9	Jun_27_2016	177.05	184.8	180.04	177	176.62	171.74	167.13(-3.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-257	-200	-268	-225	0.27	53%	0.06	-43.9	1.85%	0	-2.7	19	0
10	Jun_24_2016	176.94	186.07	182.06	180.37	180.39	178.63	173.12(-5.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-128	-70	-121	-150	0.3	56%	0.03	-28.6	1.82%	0	-2.5	21	0

11	Jun_23_2016	176.89	186.88	183.58	181.58	182.49	181.49	182.94(1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-41	-20	-19	-107	0.1	58%	0.07	-18.2	1.7%	0	-0.9	42	0
12	Jun_22_2016	176.77	187.11	184.42	181.94	182.3	182.16	179.62(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-71	0	-56	-115	0.06	57%	0.05	-9.3	1.75%	0	-1.8	34	0
13	Jun_21_2016	176.69	187.64	185.67	182.99	183	183.48	182.2(-0.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-1	20	21	-66	0.06	57%	0.05	9.8	1.74%	0	-1.4	46	0
14	Jun_20_2016	176.6	187.76	186.81	183.65	183.28	182.43	183.97(2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-27	-40	-15	-64	0.1	57%	0.04	16.5	1.73%	0	-1	48	0
15	Jun_17_2016	176.53	187.59	187.84	184.12	183.81	182.51	179.18(-3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-81	-50	-81	-79	0.14	57%	0.02	15	1.76%	0	-2	34	0

16	Jun_16_2016	176.5	187.67	188.9	185.83	185.27	184.12	184.72(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-60	-50	-61	-55	0.07	61%	0.05	20.8	1.72%	0	-0.7	46	0
17	Jun_15_2016	176.41	187.5	189.53	187.31	186.6	185.1	184.86(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-69	-70	-78	-41	0.06	61%	0.05	24.3	1.72%	0	-0.6	49	0
18	Jun_14_2016	176.32	187.26	189.78	188.79	188.39	186.41	185.5(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-78	-80	-92	-36	0.09	61%	0.06	20.5	1.73%	0	-0.4	45	0
19	Jun_13_2016	176.22	187.15	189.97	190.47	190.3	188.11	186.32(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-83	-80	-104	-19	0.07	61%	0.06	25.1	1.74%	0	-0.2	56	0
20	Jun_10_2016	176.11	186.97	190.47	192.15	191.99	190.36	187.76(-2.25%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-51	-60	-77	29	0.08	61%	0.07	34	1.75%	0	0.2	64	0

21	Jun_9_2016	175.99	186.81	190.55	192.33	192.86	192.5	192.09(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	5	-0	-18	73	0.07	64%	0.1	39.5	1.73%	0	1.1	70	0
22	Jun_8_2016	175.81	186.44	190.06	192.06	192.14	193.61	192.3(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	58	50	42	107	0.08	64%	0.11	44.2	1.73%	0	1.2	67	0
23	Jun_7_2016	175.62	186.29	189.75	190.89	190.77	193.23	193.88(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	121	90	113	143	0.16	64%	0.12	48.6	1.73%	0	1.6	71	0
24	Jun_6_2016	175.41	185.95	188.72	189.42	189.02	190.67	194.71(3.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	98	50	90	123	0.21	64%	0.13	47.5	1.72%	0	2	65	0
25	Jun_3_2016	175.19	185.31	187.2	188.67	188.05	188.31	188.69(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	43	-0	27	89	0.09	61%		51.6	1.69%	0	0.9	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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