Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MSTR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jun. 24, 2016

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $173.1200 (-5.37%) ($172.6000 - $179.5800) on Fri. Jun. 24, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.82% (three month average)
RSI   21
Latest Price   $173.1200(-5.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSTR declines -3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWO(50%)    SKYY(48%)    ARKK(46%)    IWC(46%)    IWM(46%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -0.91% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-9%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    TLT(-5%)    IPO(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.91% (StdDev 1.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

Resistance Level   $186.07
5 Day Moving Average   $180.37(-4.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $182.06(-4.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $186.07(-6.96%)
To recent high   -11.1%
To recent low   0.6%
Market Cap   $1.604b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 2.83% (three month std-dev: 1.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 1.38%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.75%(50%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 1.75%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.54%(50%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 1.18%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.47%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160724

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_24_2016	176.94	186.07	182.06	180.37	180.39	178.63	173.12(-5.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-128	-70	-121	-150	0.3	56%	0.03	-28.6	1.82%	0	-2.5	21	0
2	Jun_23_2016	176.89	186.88	183.58	181.58	182.49	181.49	182.94(1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-41	-20	-19	-107	0.1	58%	0.07	-18.2	1.7%	0	-0.9	42	0
3	Jun_22_2016	176.77	187.11	184.42	181.94	182.3	182.16	179.62(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-71	0	-56	-115	0.06	57%	0.05	-9.3	1.75%	0	-1.8	34	0
4	Jun_21_2016	176.69	187.64	185.67	182.99	183	183.48	182.2(-0.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-1	20	21	-66	0.06	57%	0.05	9.8	1.74%	0	-1.4	46	0
5	Jun_20_2016	176.6	187.76	186.81	183.65	183.28	182.43	183.97(2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-27	-40	-15	-64	0.1	57%	0.04	16.5	1.73%	0	-1	48	0

6	Jun_17_2016	176.53	187.59	187.84	184.12	183.81	182.51	179.18(-3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-81	-50	-81	-79	0.14	57%	0.02	15	1.76%	0	-2	34	0
7	Jun_16_2016	176.5	187.67	188.9	185.83	185.27	184.12	184.72(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-60	-50	-61	-55	0.07	61%	0.05	20.8	1.72%	0	-0.7	46	0
8	Jun_15_2016	176.41	187.5	189.53	187.31	186.6	185.1	184.86(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-69	-70	-78	-41	0.06	61%	0.05	24.3	1.72%	0	-0.6	49	0
9	Jun_14_2016	176.32	187.26	189.78	188.79	188.39	186.41	185.5(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-78	-80	-92	-36	0.09	61%	0.06	20.5	1.73%	0	-0.4	45	0
10	Jun_13_2016	176.22	187.15	189.97	190.47	190.3	188.11	186.32(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-83	-80	-104	-19	0.07	61%	0.06	25.1	1.74%	0	-0.2	56	0

11	Jun_10_2016	176.11	186.97	190.47	192.15	191.99	190.36	187.76(-2.25%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-51	-60	-77	29	0.08	61%	0.07	34	1.75%	0	0.2	64	0
12	Jun_9_2016	175.99	186.81	190.55	192.33	192.86	192.5	192.09(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	5	-0	-18	73	0.07	64%	0.1	39.5	1.73%	0	1.1	70	0
13	Jun_8_2016	175.81	186.44	190.06	192.06	192.14	193.61	192.3(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	58	50	42	107	0.08	64%	0.11	44.2	1.73%	0	1.2	67	0
14	Jun_7_2016	175.62	186.29	189.75	190.89	190.77	193.23	193.88(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	121	90	113	143	0.16	64%	0.12	48.6	1.73%	0	1.6	71	0
15	Jun_6_2016	175.41	185.95	188.72	189.42	189.02	190.67	194.71(3.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	98	50	90	123	0.21	64%	0.13	47.5	1.72%	0	2	65	0

16	Jun_3_2016	175.19	185.31	187.2	188.67	188.05	188.31	188.69(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	43	-0	27	89	0.09	61%	0.09	51.6	1.69%	0	0.9	60	0
17	Jun_2_2016	175.03	184.87	186.27	188.53	188.14	187.37	190.7(2.27%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	10	-30	-9	65	0.11	61%	0.1	47	1.69%	0	1.5	58	0
18	Jun_1_2016	174.85	184.33	185.23	187.81	188.19	187.79	186.47(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-25	-10	-45	36	0.23	66%	0.08	32.1	1.7%	0	0.5	52	0
19	May_31_2016	174.71	184.03	184.53	188.4	188.65	188.91	186.54(-2.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	26	10	18	48	0.19	59%	0.08	25.6	1.7%	0	0.6	43	0
20	May_27_2016	174.57	183.89	184.11	187.79	188.38	188.59	190.93(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	46	20	47	41	0.08	69%	0.11	19.6	1.89%	0	1.8	52	0

21	May_26_2016	174.37	183.29	183.17	185.46	186.55	188.4	188.03(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	41	90	48	19	0.03	69%	0.1	-11.8	1.9%	0	1.3	57	0
22	May_25_2016	174.2	183	182.73	183.62	184.54	188.18	187.09(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	114	150	137	44	0.1	69%	0.09	-32	1.9%	0	1.1	60	0
23	May_24_2016	174.04	183.08	182.47	182.26	182.16	184.71	189.39(3.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	120	100	146	42	0.12	71%	0.11	-38.5	1.89%	0	1.6	63	0
24	May_23_2016	173.85	183.03	182.41	180.18	180.09	180.89	183.52(2.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	30	30	42	-5	0.09	69%	0.07	-55.9	1.88%	0	0.1	56	0
25	May_20_2016	173.72	183.11	182.81	179.97	179.68	179.61	179.28(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10	-7	-21	0.14	67%		-55.1	1.86%	0	-0.9	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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