Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 26, 2016

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $188.0300 (0.5%) ($186.4500 - $190.1000) on Thu. May. 26, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.9% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $188.0300(0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWO(50%)    SKYY(48%)    ARKK(46%)    IWC(46%)    IWM(46%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -0.95% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-9%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    TLT(-5%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.95% (StdDev 1.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $185.46(1.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $183.17(2.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $183.29(2.59%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   18.6%
Market Cap   $1.742b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 1.95% (three month std-dev: 1.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160626

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_26_2016	174.37	183.29	183.17	185.46	186.55	188.4	188.03(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	41	90	48	19	0.03	69%	0.1	-11.8	1.9%	0	1.3	57	INF
2	May_25_2016	174.2	183	182.73	183.62	184.54	188.18	187.09(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	114	150	137	44	0.1	69%	0.09	-32	1.9%	0	1.1	60	INF
3	May_24_2016	174.04	183.08	182.47	182.26	182.16	184.71	189.39(3.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	120	100	146	42	0.12	71%	0.11	-38.5	1.89%	0	1.6	63	INF
4	May_23_2016	173.85	183.03	182.41	180.18	180.09	180.89	183.52(2.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	30	30	42	-5	0.09	69%	0.07	-55.9	1.88%	0	0.1	56	INF
5	May_20_2016	173.72	183.11	182.81	179.97	179.68	179.61	179.28(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10	-7	-21	0.14	67%	0.04	-55.1	1.86%	0	-0.9	43	INF

6	May_19_2016	173.65	183.72	183.19	180.55	180.41	179.29	178.84(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-50	-35	-21	0.07	69%	0.04	-46	1.87%	0	-1.2	52	INF
7	May_18_2016	173.58	184.19	183.38	181.67	181.43	179.75	180.26(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-65	-70	-76	-31	0.15	62%	0.05	-39.3	1.89%	0	-1	48	INF
8	May_17_2016	173.49	184.6	183.43	182.66	182.91	181.52	179(-1.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-70	-50	-80	-38	0.13	64%	0.04	-32	1.99%	0	-1.4	38	INF
9	May_16_2016	173.42	185.12	183.65	184.96	184.75	183.11	182.49(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-51	-70	-60	-23	0.09	64%	0.08	-9.6	1.99%	0	-0.7	41	INF
10	May_13_2016	173.29	185.41	183.82	186.09	186.38	184.29	182.15(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-50	-70	-61	-15	0.12	64%	0.07	7.3	1.99%	0	-0.9	47	INF

11	May_12_2016	173.17	185.63	183.6	186.17	186.93	186.38	184.45(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-28	-10	-30	-20	0.15	64%	0.09	17.2	2%	0	-0.3	42	INF
12	May_11_2016	173.01	185.8	183.41	185.25	185.81	188.47	185.19(-2.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	44	110	59	-2	0.15	64%	0.1	20.7	2%	0	-0.2	47	INF
13	May_10_2016	172.84	185.89	183.79	184.23	183.86	187.49	190.5(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	126	130	158	30	0.18	68%	0.15	18.9	1.97%	0	1.2	51	INF
14	May_9_2016	172.58	185.49	183.59	182.19	181.51	183.14	188.16(3.06%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.6	67	50	94	-14	0.28	68%	0.13	3.9	1.97%	0	0.7	48	INF
15	May_6_2016	172.35	185.13	183.25	181.38	180.47	180.24	182.57(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	-20	8	-61	0.14	66%	0.09	-6.5	1.95%	0	-0.6	43	INF

16	May_5_2016	172.2	184.99	184.1	180.73	180.78	179.87	179.83(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	-30	-27	-74	0.15	57%	0.07	-14.6	1.96%	0	-1.2	43	INF
17	May_4_2016	172.08	185.02	184.96	181.28	180.97	180.7	180.07(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-36	-20	-26	-64	0.13	55%	0.07	-12.3	2.15%	0	-1.2	41	INF
18	May_3_2016	171.96	185.17	185.81	183.26	180.47	181.68	180.34(-2.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-33	0	-28	-47	0.14	55%	0.08	2.8	2.17%	0	-1.2	43	INF
19	May_2_2016	171.83	185.35	186.74	185.16	182.52	181.24	184.1(2.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	16	-90	23	-4	0.21	54%	0.11	23.3	2.15%	0	-0.3	54	INF
20	Apr_29_2016	171.64	185.39	187.18	185.44	184.03	179.27	179.32(-1.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-124	-200	-145	-59	0.13	52%	0.08	40.6	2.13%	0	-1.6	52	INF

21	Apr_28_2016	171.51	185.61	187.97	187.93	185.9	183.8	182.57(-3.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-130	-110	-162	-34	0.34	52%	0.11	71.8	2.14%	0	-0.8	59	INF
22	Apr_27_2016	171.33	185.51	188.58	189.07	188.72	188.79	189.97(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-0	24	64	0.22	56%	0.18	91.9	2.09%	0	1.1	70	INF
23	Apr_26_2016	171.02	185.05	188.28	188.73	188.51	187.99	189.83(2.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-2	-20	-20	51	0.4	56%	0.19	93.5	2.11%	0	1.2	62	INF
24	Apr_25_2016	170.7	184.46	187.6	188.64	188.83	188.66	185.5(-3.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-0	-13	54	0.19	54%	0.15	83.3	2.11%	0	0.2	55	INF
25	Apr_22_2016	170.45	183.84	187.22	189.19	188.92	189.03	191.8(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	-0	12	66	0.14	58%		82.9	2.08%	0	1.7	62	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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