Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $188.2600 (-0.01%) ($186.5900 - $191.7150) on Thu. Apr. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.08% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $188.2600(-0.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   MSTR advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWO(50%)    SKYY(48%)    ARKK(46%)    IWC(46%)    IWM(46%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -1.04% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    TLT(-5%)    IBUY(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.04% (StdDev 2.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $188.06(0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $185.94(1.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $182.9(2.93%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   26.1%
Market Cap   $1.745b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 2.68% (three month std-dev: 2.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.43%(25%) Average negative next day return: -0.26%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.65%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.71%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.62%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160521

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_21_2016	170.07	182.9	185.94	188.06	188.55	189.01	188.26(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	22	20	12	52	0.11	58%	0.19	78.4	2.08%	0	1.1	61	0
2	Apr_20_2016	169.75	182	185.06	188	188.06	188.82	188.28(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	30	24	56	0.12	58%	0.2	72.2	2.1%	0	1.1	66	0
3	Apr_19_2016	169.41	181.37	184.45	187.76	187.66	188.1	189.35(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	43	10	37	61	0.19	58%	0.22	81.3	2.12%	0	1.5	65	0
4	Apr_18_2016	169.04	180.66	183.77	186.42	186.82	187.31	188.25(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	20	30	55	0.2	58%	0.21	84.7	2.14%	0	1.5	69	0
5	Apr_15_2016	168.68	179.98	183.35	184.91	185.4	187.21	186.17(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	80	46	67	0.18	58%	0.2	84.8	2.15%	0	1.2	74	0

6	Apr_14_2016	168.34	179.14	182.98	183.44	184.09	186.32	187.95(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	98	100	100	90	0.18	58%	0.23	74.6	2.17%	0	1.7	75	0
7	Apr_13_2016	167.96	178.12	182.13	181.67	182.04	183.59	187.07(2.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	67	70	64	76	0.11	58%	0.23	63.5	2.19%	0	1.7	77	0
8	Apr_12_2016	167.58	177.07	181.46	180.72	180.61	181.86	182.65(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	50	30	62	0.1	55%	0.19	55.9	2.19%	0	1	60	0
9	Apr_11_2016	167.27	176.35	181	180.81	180.64	180.49	180.72(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	26	-10	14	61	0.13	55%	0.17	54.9	2.21%	0	0.8	58	0
10	Apr_8_2016	166.99	175.85	180.22	181.61	181.19	179.36	178.8(-0.17%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-30	-80	-52	38	0.07	55%	0.15	60.9	2.23%	0	0.5	57	0

11	Apr_7_2016	166.74	175.29	179.71	182.4	182.35	180.8	179.1(-1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-27	-60	-53	51	0.07	55%	0.16	60.2	2.25%	0	0.6	65	0
12	Apr_6_2016	166.47	174.75	178.85	182.52	182.61	183.01	182.34(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	9	20	-13	73	0.08	55%	0.22	60.4	2.26%	0	1.3	72	0
13	Apr_5_2016	166.11	174.01	178.18	182.23	182.25	183.9	183.1(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	71	60	57	114	0.17	55%	0.23	57.2	2.28%	0	1.5	74	0
14	Apr_4_2016	165.73	173.26	177.38	181.17	181.13	182.2	184.71(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	87	40	75	124	0.1	55%	0.27	62.2	2.3%	0	2	72	0
15	Apr_1_2016	165.29	172.43	176.35	178.63	178.96	180.6	182.75(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	59	70	46	98	0.17	55%	0.25	66	2.32%	0	2.1	65	0

16	Mar_31_2016	164.87	171.78	174.97	176.64	177.08	180.05	179.72(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	101	120	99	107	0.11	55%	0.22	76.3	2.34%	0	1.8	66	0
17	Mar_30_2016	164.51	171.17	173.75	174.6	174.68	177.32	180.87(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	92	110	94	87	0.13	55%	0.25	83.5	2.37%	0	2.4	66	0
18	Mar_29_2016	164.1	170.68	172.23	173.58	172.99	174.1	177.79(3.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	48	30	45	57	0.09	55%	0.21	120.8	2.38%	0	2.2	64	0
19	Mar_28_2016	163.75	169.85	171.22	173.13	173.04	172.05	172.02(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-40	-5	34	0.08	51%	0.13	120	2.35%	0	0.6	56	0
20	Mar_24_2016	163.53	169.22	171.08	173.75	173.49	171.87	172.82(1.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-27	-70	-45	26	0.1	51%	0.15	99.3	2.38%	0	0.8	56	0

21	Mar_23_2016	163.28	168.52	170.52	172.98	173.79	174.03	169.48(-3.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	20	-6	31	0.1	51%	0.1	93.3	2.39%	0	0.2	48	0
22	Mar_22_2016	163.11	167.93	170.43	172.56	172.65	175.11	175.77(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	71	100	74	61	0.12	57%	0.22	78.7	2.35%	0	1.3	63	0
23	Mar_21_2016	162.75	166.81	169.58	170.57	170.26	173.55	175.55(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	89	130	102	49	0.09	57%	0.23	68	2.38%	0	1.4	53	0
24	Mar_18_2016	162.37	165.77	168.83	169.07	168.31	170.2	175.12(3.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	71	70	81	39	0.14	57%	0.24	62.3	2.42%	0	1.4	68	0
25	Mar_17_2016	161.98	164.68	168.14	168.16	167.51	166.98	168.98(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-30	10	17	0.16	51%		58.4	2.37%	0	0.6	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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