Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 6, 2016

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $182.3400 (-0.42%) ($180.4300 - $183.1500) on Wed. Apr. 6, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.26% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $182.3400(-0.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSTR advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWO(50%)    SKYY(48%)    ARKK(46%)    IWC(46%)    IWM(46%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -1.13% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    TLT(-5%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.13% (StdDev 2.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $182.52(-0.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $178.85(1.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $174.75(4.34%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   22.1%
Market Cap   $1.69b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 3.46% (three month std-dev: 2.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 1.69%(58%) Average negative next day return: -1.41%(42%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 1.83%(58%) Average negative next three day return: -1.63%(42%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 2.03%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.36%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160506

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_6_2016	166.47	174.75	178.85	182.52	182.61	183.01	182.34(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	9	20	-13	73	0.08	55%	0.22	60.4	2.26%	0	1.3	72	0
2	Apr_5_2016	166.11	174.01	178.18	182.23	182.25	183.9	183.1(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	71	60	57	114	0.17	55%	0.23	57.2	2.28%	0	1.5	74	0
3	Apr_4_2016	165.73	173.26	177.38	181.17	181.13	182.2	184.71(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	87	40	75	124	0.1	55%	0.27	62.2	2.3%	0	2	72	0
4	Apr_1_2016	165.29	172.43	176.35	178.63	178.96	180.6	182.75(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	59	70	46	98	0.17	55%	0.25	66	2.32%	0	2.1	65	0
5	Mar_31_2016	164.87	171.78	174.97	176.64	177.08	180.05	179.72(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	101	120	99	107	0.11	55%	0.22	76.3	2.34%	0	1.8	66	0

6	Mar_30_2016	164.51	171.17	173.75	174.6	174.68	177.32	180.87(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	92	110	94	87	0.13	55%	0.25	83.5	2.37%	0	2.4	66	0
7	Mar_29_2016	164.1	170.68	172.23	173.58	172.99	174.1	177.79(3.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	48	30	45	57	0.09	55%	0.21	120.8	2.38%	0	2.2	64	0
8	Mar_28_2016	163.75	169.85	171.22	173.13	173.04	172.05	172.02(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-40	-5	34	0.08	51%	0.13	120	2.35%	0	0.6	56	0
9	Mar_24_2016	163.53	169.22	171.08	173.75	173.49	171.87	172.82(1.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-27	-70	-45	26	0.1	51%	0.15	99.3	2.38%	0	0.8	56	0
10	Mar_23_2016	163.28	168.52	170.52	172.98	173.79	174.03	169.48(-3.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	20	-6	31	0.1	51%	0.1	93.3	2.39%	0	0.2	48	0

11	Mar_22_2016	163.11	167.93	170.43	172.56	172.65	175.11	175.77(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	71	100	74	61	0.12	57%	0.22	78.7	2.35%	0	1.3	63	0
12	Mar_21_2016	162.75	166.81	169.58	170.57	170.26	173.55	175.55(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	89	130	102	49	0.09	57%	0.23	68	2.38%	0	1.4	53	0
13	Mar_18_2016	162.37	165.77	168.83	169.07	168.31	170.2	175.12(3.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	71	70	81	39	0.14	57%	0.24	62.3	2.42%	0	1.4	68	0
14	Mar_17_2016	161.98	164.68	168.14	168.16	167.51	166.98	168.98(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-30	10	17	0.16	51%	0.13	58.4	2.37%	0	0.6	66	0
15	Mar_16_2016	161.77	163.75	168.28	167.79	167.79	166.41	167.38(0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-28	-60	-41	11	0.11	51%	0.12	56.4	2.4%	0	0.5	66	0

16	Mar_15_2016	161.58	163.23	168.38	167.96	168.28	168.05	165.81(-1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-13	-0	-28	34	0.17	51%	0.09	58.5	2.44%	0	0.4	66	0
17	Mar_14_2016	161.44	162.59	169.03	168.33	168.56	169.17	168.04(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	34	30	18	82	0.06	51%	0.14	57.8	2.47%	0	0.7	74	0
18	Mar_11_2016	161.22	161.81	168.41	168.47	168.14	168.52	170.59(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	10	21	95	0.07	51%	0.21	54.8	2.5%	0	1.2	73	0
19	Mar_10_2016	160.88	160.76	167.28	168.15	167.44	167.95	167.12(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	10	-5	91	0.09	51%	0.14	42.1	2.51%	0	0.8	72	0
20	Mar_9_2016	160.65	159.93	166.47	168.15	167.93	167.76	168.24(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	39	-20	13	118	0.12	51%	0.18	32	2.55%	0	1.1	77	0

21	Mar_8_2016	160.36	159.1	165.38	168.88	168.22	166.92	167.65(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-70	-33	101	0.11	51%	0.18	20.9	2.6%	0	1.1	62	0
22	Mar_7_2016	160.07	158.44	163.96	169.83	168.7	168.11	168.75(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-40	-24	114	0.17	51%	0.23	14	2.65%	0	1.4	68	0
23	Mar_4_2016	159.7	157.77	162.57	168.26	169.1	169.51	168.98(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	63	30	40	131	0.09	51%	0.25	0	2.71%	0	1.6	68	0
24	Mar_3_2016	159.3	157.59	161.01	166.18	166.68	169.3	170.78(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	70	120	51	125	0.15	51%	0.33	0	2.76%	0	1.9	72	0
25	Mar_2_2016	158.78	157.47	158.85	163.65	164.03	168.7	168.24(-2.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	129	210	127	136	0.11	51%		0	2.81%	0	1.5	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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