Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 28, 2024

Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Apr. 26, 2024)

(Microsoft)
MSFT latest price $421.2050 (0%) ($421.2050 - $421.8000) on Thu. Mar. 28, 2024.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.22% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $421.2050(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSFT declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSFT advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSFT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(86%)    IVW(82%)    SPY(76%)    XBI(67%)    SMH(66%)
Factors Impacting MSFT price   MSFT will decline at least -0.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-53%)    VIXM(-35%)    TLT(1%)    UUP(5%)    GLD(8%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.61% (StdDev 1.22%)
Hourly BBV -0.2 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $423.32(-0.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $422.69(-0.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $417.22(0.96%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   14.5%
Market Cap   $3188.943b

Microsoft Corp. engages in the development and support of software, services, devices, and solutions. It operates through the following business segments: Productivity and Business Processes; Intelligent Cloud; and More Personal Computing. The Productivity and Business Processes segment comprises products and services in the portfolio of productivity, communication, and information services of the company spanning a variety of devices and platform. The Intelligent Cloud segment refers to the public, private, and hybrid serve products and cloud services of the company which can power modern business. The More Personal Computing segment encompasses products and services geared towards the interests of end users, developers, and IT professionals across all devices. The firm also offers operating systems; cross-device productivity applications; server applications; business solution applications; desktop and server management tools; software development tools; video games; personal computers, tablets; gaming and entertainment consoles; other intelligent devices; and related accessories. The company was founded by Paul Gardner Allen and William Henry Gates III in 1975 and is headquartered in Redmond, WA.

$. MSFT price fluctuates within 1.91% (three month std-dev: 1.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.47%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.5%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.69%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20240426

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_28_2024	393.18	417.22	422.69	423.32	421.84	421.28	421.21(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-41	-20	-65	30	10.77	62%	0.16	46.1	1.22%	-0.2	0.5	66	1.1
2	Mar_27_2024	392.57	416.79	423.07	425.02	423.81	421.52	421.21(-0.18%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-56	-50	-91	49	11.19	62%	0.16	51.5	1.22%	-1.4	0.5	62	1.6
3	Mar_26_2024	391.93	416.12	422.58	425.71	425.94	422.41	421.97(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-116	-60	-168	39	16.61	62%	0.17	56.8	1.22%	-1	0.7	68	1.4
4	Mar_25_2024	391.25	415.39	421.97	425.51	426.64	426.11	422.99(-1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-73	-0	-121	73	11.99	62%	0.19	60.3	1.22%	-1.4	0.9	68	1.8
5	Mar_22_2024	390.52	414.61	420.25	424.4	426.15	429.47	429.22(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	177	70	177	176	10.39	64%	0.22	59.7	1.21%	0.7	1.8	59	1.8

6	Mar_21_2024	389.68	413.6	417.99	421.93	423.19	427.18	429.71(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	244	70	263	187	14.35	64%	0.22	59.6	1.21%	1.4	2.2	59	1.9
7	Mar_20_2024	388.81	412.62	415.87	421	419.98	422.83	424.66(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	151	40	156	136	12.31	64%	0.23	64	1.2%	2.3	1.8	58	1.6
8	Mar_19_2024	387.92	411.45	413.65	419.12	420.09	419.2	421(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	122	-10	127	108	13.11	64%	0.22	55.4	1.2%	1	1.5	60	1.6
9	Mar_18_2024	387.05	410.48	411.83	417.95	418.65	417.13	417.41(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-104	-20	-135	-9	13.03	64%	0.24	43	1.2%	-0.2	1.1	59	1.3
10	Mar_15_2024	386.13	409.8	411.48	415.3	418.08	420.97	416.86(-1.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	113	70	122	85	29.53	64%	0.24	20.1	1.2%	-0.5	1.2	58	1.2

11	Mar_14_2024	385.21	409.24	411.23	413.21	414.91	420.16	425.08(2.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	298	100	342	166	27.17	64%	0.23	5.5	1.18%	1.2	2.7	61	1.8
12	Mar_13_2024	384.33	408.35	409.81	410.04	410.24	415.19	415.25(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	243	90	283	121	12.13	62%	0.23	-16.7	1.18%	0.9	1.5	52	2
13	Mar_12_2024	383.45	407.88	408.97	407.43	408.74	409.67	415.14(2.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	236	30	278	108	16.89	62%	0.24	-33.6	1.18%	1.7	1.7	62	2.3
14	Mar_11_2024	382.55	407.81	408.12	404.94	405.5	405.3	404.19(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-96	0	-108	-59	11.96	59%	0.21	-39.8	1.13%	-0.6	-0.8	55	0.6
15	Mar_8_2024	381.75	408.59	408.51	407.09	405	407.82	406.4(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	30	29	16	12.9	59%	0.2	-16	1.14%	0.2	-0.4	54	0.3

16	Mar_7_2024	380.97	408.93	408.91	408.9	407.13	405.7	409.23(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	100	-40	111	67	13.26	59%	0.22	3.1	1.13%	1.5	0.1	54	1
17	Mar_6_2024	380.15	409.13	409.15	409.61	408.69	402.18	402.18(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-298	-120	-360	-112	18.27	57%	0.2	20	1.12%	-0.9	-1.3	43	0.4
18	Mar_5_2024	379.41	409.34	409.25	410.62	411.35	408.56	402.71(-2.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-274	-40	-332	-99	26.88	57%	0.19	23	1.13%	-1.7	-1.3	47	1
19	Mar_4_2024	378.68	409.56	409.3	411.52	412.61	415.2	414.92(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	101	50	111	71	12.93	59%	0.24	26.4	1.06%	0.9	1.1	47	1.6
20	Mar_1_2024	377.78	409.4	408.19	410.05	410.68	414.14	415.48(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	212	60	251	95	13.79	59%	0.23	26.9	1.08%	1.8	1.2	42	1.4

21	Feb_29_2024	376.91	408.78	407.18	409.02	408.69	410.02	412.76(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	120	20	147	37	14.12	59%	0.22	19.5	1.08%	2.3	0.8	48	1.5
22	Feb_28_2024	376.07	408.06	406.73	408.85	408.08	407.23	407.25(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-36	-20	-33	-43	9.62	58%	0.22	13.1	1.08%	0	-0.2	43	1.4
23	Feb_27_2024	375.25	408.14	406.65	407.72	409.24	407.35	407.2(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	-20	-30	-49	11.06	58%	0.22	15.4	1.08%	-0.8	-0.2	53	1.6
24	Feb_26_2024	374.44	408.25	407.37	406.62	407.85	408.93	407.55(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-59	30	-59	-59	15.37	58%	0.22	20.8	1.08%	-1.4	-0.1	52	1.3
25	Feb_23_2024	373.62	408.1	408.56	405.91	406.4	411.13	410.35(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	205	90	250	69	11.78	58%		22	1.08%	0.5	0.4	48	1.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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