Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MSFT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Sep. 9, 2021

Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Tue. Jun. 25, 2024)

(Microsoft)
MSFT latest price $297.2500 (-0.69%) ($297.0000 - $297.2500) on Thu. Sep. 9, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.87% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $297.2500(-0.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSFT declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSFT declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSFT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(84%)    QQQ(84%)    IVW(83%)    SPY(78%)    FIVG(70%)
Factors Impacting MSFT price   MSFT will decline at least -0.435% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-36%)    UUP(-20%)    VXX(-10%)    TBT(-6%)    IGOV(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.435% (StdDev 0.87%)
Hourly BBV -1.6 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $298.96
5 Day Moving Average   $299.66(-0.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $300.41(-1.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $298.96(-0.57%)
To recent high   -2.6%
To recent low   17.3%
Market Cap   $2250.48b

Microsoft Corp. engages in the development and support of software, services, devices, and solutions. It operates through the following business segments: Productivity and Business Processes; Intelligent Cloud; and More Personal Computing. The Productivity and Business Processes segment comprises products and services in the portfolio of productivity, communication, and information services of the company spanning a variety of devices and platform. The Intelligent Cloud segment refers to the public, private, and hybrid serve products and cloud services of the company which can power modern business. The More Personal Computing segment encompasses products and services geared towards the interests of end users, developers, and IT professionals across all devices. The firm also offers operating systems; cross-device productivity applications; server applications; business solution applications; desktop and server management tools; software development tools; video games; personal computers, tablets; gaming and entertainment consoles; other intelligent devices; and related accessories. The company was founded by Paul Gardner Allen and William Henry Gates III in 1975 and is headquartered in Redmond, WA.

$. MSFT price fluctuates within 1.48% (three month std-dev: 0.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 1.05%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.49%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 1.06%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.44%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 1.16%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.27%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20211009

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_9_2021	271.7	298.96	300.41	299.66	299.42	298.25	297.25(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-107	-30	-117	-77	19.63	82%	0.14	63.5	0.87%	-1.6	-0.4	54	1
2	Sep_8_2021	271.32	298.52	300.91	300.58	300.27	299.65	299.32(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-65	-20	-78	-27	11.46	82%	0.15	59.9	0.87%	-0.9	0.2	67	1.2
3	Sep_7_2021	270.91	297.91	301.25	301.1	300.88	300.58	299.97(-0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-26	-10	-40	15	13.57	82%	0.2	56.2	0.87%	-1.1	0.4	63	1.1
4	Sep_3_2021	270.38	297.36	301.74	301.83	301.35	300.89	301.19(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-13	-20	-33	47	10.44	84%	0.16	58.4	0.9%	-0.3	0.6	61	1.6
5	Sep_2_2021	269.96	296.76	302.03	301.55	301.94	301.17	300.58(-0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-10	-26	71	11.75	84%	0.17	59.6	0.91%	-1.6	0.6	63	1.6

6	Sep_1_2021	269.51	296.19	301.72	301.24	301.74	301.81	301.86(-0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-5	10	-34	81	18.44	84%	0.16	58.6	0.91%	-1.4	0.9	68	1.7
7	Aug_31_2021	269.07	295.46	300.72	301.27	301.27	302.71	301.92(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	74	30	57	126	25.73	84%	0.17	58.9	0.92%	0.5	1	71	1.5
8	Aug_30_2021	268.6	294.7	299.88	301.43	301.22	301.68	303.58(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	122	10	107	165	12.52	84%	0.18	59.6	0.92%	1.3	1.3	74	1.5
9	Aug_27_2021	268.12	293.76	299.01	301.74	300.96	299.83	299.79(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-51	-30	-102	104	18.4	83%	0.18	60	0.91%	-0.7	0.9	67	1.4
10	Aug_26_2021	267.65	293.03	298.34	302.64	302.29	300.76	299.05(-0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-37	-40	-92	130	17.42	83%	0.19	62.1	0.92%	-1.9	0.9	65	0.9

11	Aug_25_2021	267.15	292.41	297.47	302.19	303	302.09	302.04(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	7	-10	-41	152	19.26	87%	0.21	61.7	0.91%	-0.9	1.5	69	1.6
12	Aug_24_2021	266.6	291.6	296	299.93	301.83	303.83	302.72(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	128	70	108	186	18.14	88%	0.2	60.2	0.91%	-1.1	1.8	73	1.5
13	Aug_23_2021	266.06	290.74	294.34	297.98	298.85	303.92	305.12(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	312	130	332	251	17.66	88%	0.15	62	0.93%	0.8	2.6	78	1.5
14	Aug_20_2021	265.66	289.84	292.57	295.92	295.82	299.84	304.27(2.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	375	90	411	265	40.68	89%	0.24	76.3	0.94%	1.5	3.2	78	1.1
15	Aug_19_2021	265.03	289.02	290.91	293.58	293.55	293.79	296.79(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	149	10	151	141	24.94	88%	0.23	101.8	0.94%	2.1	2.5	73	-0.2

16	Aug_18_2021	264.42	288.46	290.07	292.15	292.45	291.81	290.73(-0.78%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-39	-10	-67	44	21.6	87%	0.23	100	0.93%	-0.5	0.7	59	0.5
17	Aug_17_2021	263.82	287.96	289.73	291.4	292.21	293.31	293.01(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	79	30	74	94	15.48	87%	0.22	80	0.92%	0.5	1.5	66	1.1
18	Aug_16_2021	263.23	287.33	289.06	289.99	290.63	293.09	294.8(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	161	70	176	117	22.41	87%	0.24	59.4	0.94%	1.6	1.9	71	1.5
19	Aug_13_2021	262.61	286.42	288.05	288.67	288.72	291.11	292.58(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	170	60	193	101	13.97	89%	0.23	53.5	0.96%	1.5	1.7	58	1.6
20	Aug_12_2021	262.01	285.83	287.26	287.91	287.62	288.16	289.63(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	87	10	101	46	10.33	79%	0.21	54.4	0.98%	1.8	1.1	48	1.8

21	Aug_11_2021	261.46	285.38	286.96	287.77	287.41	286.33	286.97(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-43	-30	-52	-16	13.95	79%	0.2	61.2	1.05%	-0.4	0.5	53	1.9
22	Aug_10_2021	260.95	285.21	286.9	287.8	287.98	287.08	285.97(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-61	-20	-76	-14	13.63	73%	0.2	64.5	1.05%	-1.6	0.2	66	1.7
23	Aug_9_2021	260.44	284.98	286.95	287.89	288.26	288.49	288.19(-0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	10	-2	27	11.12	73%	0.22	64.7	1.09%	-0.4	0.8	71	1.7
24	Aug_6_2021	259.86	284.45	286.97	287.25	287.82	288.88	288.79(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	69	30	69	70	9.88	75%	0.23	58.5	1.11%	0.8	1.1	78	1.6
25	Aug_5_2021	259.27	283.9	286.99	286.48	286.87	288.03	288.95(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	87	30	87	85	10.66	75%		59.2	1.11%	1.6	1.2	64	1.1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.