Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 23, 2021

Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Thu. Apr. 25, 2024)

(Microsoft)
MSFT latest price $289.4650 (1.14%) ($289.4650 - $289.4650) on Fri. Jul. 23, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.23% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $289.4650(1.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSFT advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSFT advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSFT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(84%)    QQQ(84%)    IVW(83%)    SPY(78%)    FIVG(70%)
Factors Impacting MSFT price   MSFT will decline at least -0.615% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-37%)    UUP(-20%)    VXX(-10%)    TBT(-6%)    IGOV(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.615% (StdDev 1.23%)
Hourly BBV 1.1 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $282.5(2.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $281.72(2.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $277.9(4.16%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   21%
Market Cap   $2191.54b

Microsoft Corp. engages in the development and support of software, services, devices, and solutions. It operates through the following business segments: Productivity and Business Processes; Intelligent Cloud; and More Personal Computing. The Productivity and Business Processes segment comprises products and services in the portfolio of productivity, communication, and information services of the company spanning a variety of devices and platform. The Intelligent Cloud segment refers to the public, private, and hybrid serve products and cloud services of the company which can power modern business. The More Personal Computing segment encompasses products and services geared towards the interests of end users, developers, and IT professionals across all devices. The firm also offers operating systems; cross-device productivity applications; server applications; business solution applications; desktop and server management tools; software development tools; video games; personal computers, tablets; gaming and entertainment consoles; other intelligent devices; and related accessories. The company was founded by Paul Gardner Allen and William Henry Gates III in 1975 and is headquartered in Redmond, WA.

$. MSFT price fluctuates within 2.08% (three month std-dev: 1.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.04%(44%) Average negative next day return: -1.32%(56%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 2.33%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.65%(50%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 3.58%(48%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.77%(52%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210823

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_23_2021	254.45	277.9	281.72	282.5	284.03	287.84	289.47(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	247	110	278	153	18.45	66%	0.25	79.3	1.23%	1.1	2	66	-0.2
2	Jul_22_2021	253.82	276.74	280.48	280.8	280.76	283.2	286.21(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	145	60	160	101	19.26	66%	0.24	78.2	1.23%	1.5	1.7	70	-0
3	Jul_21_2021	253.22	275.7	279.49	279.67	279.45	280.22	280.18(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	70	20	71	65	16.28	64%	0.19	79.8	1.22%	1.1	0.8	67	0.7
4	Jul_20_2021	252.75	274.98	279.46	280.33	279.54	278.33	280.26(1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-15	-40	-35	44	16.94	64%	0.17	85.1	1.22%	0.6	0.9	65	-0.5
5	Jul_19_2021	252.31	274.11	279.17	280.5	280.35	278.68	276.4(-1.62%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-80	-40	-116	30	24.54	62%	0.17	83.5	1.21%	-1.5	0.4	66	-2.8

6	Jul_16_2021	251.87	273.39	279.33	280.66	281.53	280.76	280.95(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	4	-10	-25	91	21.83	65%	0.21	80.6	1.19%	-0.4	1.1	76	0.3
7	Jul_15_2021	251.34	272.43	278.41	280	280.59	282.02	280.57(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	40	11	108	18.23	67%	0.18	79.5	1.2%	-1.1	1.2	74	1
8	Jul_14_2021	250.88	271.3	277.44	279.22	279.86	282.3	283.48(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	178	70	178	178	16.99	67%	0.2	75.6	1.2%	1.2	1.6	81	1.6
9	Jul_13_2021	250.37	270.05	276.21	278.53	278.16	279.16	281.12(1.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	99	20	83	145	21.26	67%	0.19	79	1.21%	1.2	1.5	80	1.2
10	Jul_12_2021	249.89	268.92	274.91	277.76	277.89	277.43	277.2(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	39	-10	11	122	12.05	65%	0.15	82.7	1.2%	0.4	1.2	80	1.2

11	Jul_9_2021	249.52	267.95	273.83	277.82	277.9	277.16	277.65(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-3	-20	-41	113	17.22	65%	0.14	87	1.2%	-0.4	1.3	83	1.1
12	Jul_8_2021	249.17	266.92	272.74	276.5	277.86	278.35	276.66(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	58	30	30	140	18.7	65%	0.13	91.4	1.2%	-0.6	1.4	80	-0.1
13	Jul_7_2021	248.84	265.77	271.63	275.26	276.46	278.64	280.04(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	138	70	124	181	19.03	68%	0.15	89.8	1.2%	1.3	1.9	92	1
14	Jul_6_2021	248.47	264.38	270.11	273.51	274.07	277.36	277.25(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	183	90	177	199	22.65	68%	0.13	91.7	1.2%	0.7	1.8	86	0.9
15	Jul_2_2021	248.14	263.14	268.6	271.66	272.58	274.28	277.48(2.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	210	50	213	199	21.11	70%	0.13	86.5	1.24%	1.9	2.1	86	1.5

16	Jul_1_2021	247.81	261.79	266.91	269.32	270.2	270.78	271.09(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	54	20	34	112	12.12	70%	0.12	78.7	1.22%	0.7	1.3	83	1.7
17	Jun_30_2021	247.52	260.51	265.94	268.42	268.88	270.88	270.47(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	91	60	79	128	13.2	72%	0.11	70.2	1.26%	0.7	1.4	83	1.5
18	Jun_29_2021	247.24	259.36	264.66	267.39	267.91	269.62	271.28(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	150	50	149	153	15.08	72%	0.12	63.9	1.28%	1.6	1.7	89	1.4
19	Jun_28_2021	246.94	258.14	263.37	266.19	266.41	266.88	267.96(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	65	10	49	114	13.88	72%	0.11	61.3	1.27%	1.1	1.5	88	1.7
20	Jun_25_2021	246.68	257.21	262.44	265.07	265.78	266.19	265.8(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	54	20	36	109	13.19	72%	0.1	62.2	1.27%	-0.2	1.3	85	2

21	Jun_24_2021	246.43	256.38	261.64	264.08	264.91	265.94	266.59(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	77	40	62	123	15.63	72%	0.09	61.4	1.28%	0.7	1.6	90	1.7
22	Jun_23_2021	246.2	255.58	260.66	263.05	263.49	265.36	265.3(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	103	50	89	145	15.13	72%	0.11	69.5	1.29%	0.7	1.6	92	1.7
23	Jun_22_2021	245.94	254.85	259.49	261.47	262.51	263.88	265.3(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	147	50	142	163	16.61	74%	0.11	74.7	1.29%	1.7	1.9	83	1.4
24	Jun_21_2021	245.68	254.08	258.21	260.14	260.52	261.62	262.34(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	63	30	44	121	19.3	74%	0.12	81.2	1.3%	0.9	1.6	81	0.6
25	Jun_18_2021	245.38	253.21	257.26	259.43	259.59	261.14	260.9(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	96	40	82	137	25.17	69%		75	1.3%	0.7	1.6	72	-0.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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