Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 16, 2017

Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Mon. Jun. 24, 2024)

(Microsoft)
MSFT latest price $81.4364 (0.27%) ($81.1819 - $81.6517) on Thu. Nov. 16, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.02% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $81.4364(0.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSFT declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSFT advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSFT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(88%)    IVW(87%)    IWF(87%)    XLK(83%)    SPY(81%)
Factors Impacting MSFT price   MSFT will decline at least -0.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-11%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.51% (StdDev 1.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $81.59(-0.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $81.83(-0.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $80.57(1.08%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   15.9%
Market Cap   $616.555b

Microsoft Corp. engages in the development and support of software, services, devices, and solutions. It operates through the following business segments: Productivity and Business Processes; Intelligent Cloud; and More Personal Computing. The Productivity and Business Processes segment comprises products and services in the portfolio of productivity, communication, and information services of the company spanning a variety of devices and platform. The Intelligent Cloud segment refers to the public, private, and hybrid serve products and cloud services of the company which can power modern business. The More Personal Computing segment encompasses products and services geared towards the interests of end users, developers, and IT professionals across all devices. The firm also offers operating systems; cross-device productivity applications; server applications; business solution applications; desktop and server management tools; software development tools; video games; personal computers, tablets; gaming and entertainment consoles; other intelligent devices; and related accessories. The company was founded by Paul Gardner Allen and William Henry Gates III in 1975 and is headquartered in Redmond, WA.

$. MSFT price fluctuates within 2.92% (three month std-dev: 1.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171216

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_16_2017	73.28	80.57	81.83	81.59			81.44(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-10000	-2	2	20.96	76%	0.19	61.6	1.02%	0	0.4	49	0
2	Nov_15_2017	73.14	80.31	81.88	81.68			81.22(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10000	-5	38	19.38	76%	0.19	60.6	1.02%	0	0.4	79	0
3	Nov_14_2017	73	80.05	81.87	81.91			81.86(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	19	-10000	-1	80	18.8	78%	0.19	62.4	1.01%	0	0.7	84	0
4	Nov_13_2017	72.86	79.74	81.8	81.95			81.74(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	26	-10000	-2	110	14.2	78%	0.16	63.7	1.03%	0	0.7	81	0
5	Nov_10_2017	72.74	79.45	81.8	82.05			81.68(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	37	-10000	-1	149	19.4	75%	0.19	66.1	1.04%	0	0.8	81	0

6	Nov_9_2017	72.6	79.14	81.79	82.11			81.9(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	46	-10000	0	185	21.17	75%	0.19	68.3	1.06%	0	1	83	0
7	Nov_8_2017	72.46	78.8	81.32	82.1			82.35(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	54	-10000	6	198	18.03	75%	0.21	69.8	1.06%	0	1.2	88	0
8	Nov_7_2017	72.31	78.41	80.78	81.83			82.07(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	53	-10000	5	198	17.94	75%	0.19	70.7	1.06%	0	1.2	88	0
9	Nov_6_2017	72.17	78.02	80.27	81.62			82.27(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	53	-10000	3	203	19.86	75%	0.19	73.4	1.06%	0	1.5	90	0
10	Nov_3_2017	72.03	77.61	79.73	81.5			81.94(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	54	-10000	1	212	17.63	75%	0.21	78.2	1.06%	0	1.5	89	0

11	Nov_2_2017	71.88	77.21	79.21	81.44			81.86(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	76	-10000	24	233	23.99	75%	0.18	84.8	1.06%	0	1.7	89	0
12	Nov_1_2017	71.75	76.8	78.61	80.41			81.01(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	66	-10000	21	199	22.31	75%	0.18	81	1.06%	0	1.6	89	0
13	Oct_31_2017	71.62	76.39	78.07	79.52			81.01(-0.85%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	59	-10000	20	174	27.09	75%	0.2	75.2	1.06%	0	1.8	90	0
14	Oct_30_2017	71.48	75.94	77.51	78.68			81.7(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	56	-10000	24	153	31.76	75%	0.18	72.4	1.06%	0	2.4	96	0
15	Oct_27_2017	71.35	75.47	76.87	77.7			81.62(6.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	49	-10000	24	124	71.07	72%	0.17	74.3	1.06%	0	3	96	0

16	Oct_26_2017	71.23	75	76.2	76.72			76.71(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	36	-10000	6	126	32.12	63%	0.1	78.7	0.74%	0	1.1	92	0
17	Oct_25_2017	71.16	74.77	76.05	76.56			76.58(-0.29%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0	38	-10000	7	129	20.41	63%	0.08	73.7	0.74%	0	1.1	92	0
18	Oct_24_2017	71.1	74.54	75.84	76.36			76.8(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	41	-10000	9	138	17.52	63%	0.1	65.2	0.74%	0	1.3	99	0
19	Oct_23_2017	71.03	74.27	75.6	76.11			76.77(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	43	-10000	8	146	20.63	63%	0.11	55.9	0.74%	0	1.5	99	0
20	Oct_20_2017	70.95	73.99	75.35	75.88			76.75(1.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	44	-10000	9	150	22.87	63%	0.13	49.8	0.75%	0	1.7	91	0

21	Oct_19_2017	70.86	73.77	75.07	75.62			75.88(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	42	-10000	5	153	15.09	61%	0.11	46.8	0.74%	0	1.4	90	0
22	Oct_18_2017	70.78	73.59	74.88	75.47			75.59(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	48	-10000	8	169	13.3	61%	0.1	44.8	0.74%	0	1.4	91	0
23	Oct_17_2017	70.71	73.45	74.61	75.24			75.57(-0.08%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.2	49	-10000	9	167	16.82	61%	0.07	42.4	0.74%	0	1.6	91	0
24	Oct_16_2017	70.66	73.33	74.29	74.99			75.62(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	49	-10000	10	164	12.38	61%	0.11	43.5	0.75%	0	1.8	93	0
25	Oct_13_2017	70.58	73.19	73.99	74.72			75.47(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	48	-10000	10	163	15.34	64%		42.9	0.76%	0	2	93	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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