Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MSFT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 18, 2017

Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Thu. Jun. 27, 2024)

(Microsoft)
MSFT latest price $75.5853 (0.03%) ($75.3516 - $75.8190) on Wed. Oct. 18, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.74% (three month average)
RSI   91
Latest Price   $75.5853(0.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSFT advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSFT advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSFT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(88%)    IWF(87%)    IVW(86%)    XLK(82%)    SPY(80%)
Factors Impacting MSFT price   MSFT will decline at least -0.37% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-11%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.37% (StdDev 0.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $75.47(0.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $74.88(0.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $73.59(2.71%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   9.3%
Market Cap   $572.256b

Microsoft Corp. engages in the development and support of software, services, devices, and solutions. It operates through the following business segments: Productivity and Business Processes; Intelligent Cloud; and More Personal Computing. The Productivity and Business Processes segment comprises products and services in the portfolio of productivity, communication, and information services of the company spanning a variety of devices and platform. The Intelligent Cloud segment refers to the public, private, and hybrid serve products and cloud services of the company which can power modern business. The More Personal Computing segment encompasses products and services geared towards the interests of end users, developers, and IT professionals across all devices. The firm also offers operating systems; cross-device productivity applications; server applications; business solution applications; desktop and server management tools; software development tools; video games; personal computers, tablets; gaming and entertainment consoles; other intelligent devices; and related accessories. The company was founded by Paul Gardner Allen and William Henry Gates III in 1975 and is headquartered in Redmond, WA.

$. MSFT price fluctuates within 1.94% (three month std-dev: 0.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171118

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_18_2017	70.78	73.59	74.88	75.47			75.59(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	48	-10000	8	169	13.3	61%	0.1	44.8	0.74%	0	1.4	91	0
2	Oct_17_2017	70.71	73.45	74.61	75.24			75.57(-0.08%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.2	49	-10000	9	167	16.82	61%	0.07	42.4	0.74%	0	1.6	91	0
3	Oct_16_2017	70.66	73.33	74.29	74.99			75.62(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	49	-10000	10	164	12.38	61%	0.11	43.5	0.75%	0	1.8	93	0
4	Oct_13_2017	70.58	73.19	73.99	74.72			75.47(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	48	-10000	10	163	15.34	64%	0.11	42.9	0.76%	0	2	93	0
5	Oct_12_2017	70.5	73.07	73.7	74.43			75.11(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	43	-10000	8	147	16.88	66%	0.13	45.7	0.77%	0	2	71	0

6	Oct_11_2017	70.41	72.95	73.38	74.21			74.43(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	-10000	12	132	15.39	65%	0.11	47.2	0.79%	0	1.6	69	0
7	Oct_10_2017	70.33	72.88	73.13	73.87			74.3(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	37	-10000	14	105	13.94	65%	0.11	50.4	0.79%	0	1.7	59	0
8	Oct_9_2017	70.25	72.79	72.84	73.47			74.3(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	-10000	11	63	11.39	65%	0.13	45.8	0.79%	0	1.9	53	0
9	Oct_6_2017	70.16	72.71	72.54	73.15			74.02(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	14	-10000	10	27	13.96	67%	0.13	42.9	0.8%	0	1.8	54	0
10	Oct_5_2017	70.07	72.61	72.36	72.85			73.99(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	11	-10000	14	3	21.2	68%	0.13	30	0.81%	0	2.1	52	0

11	Oct_4_2017	69.98	72.52	72.17	72.44			72.74(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	-10000	6	-29	13.32	66%	0.07	15.5	0.8%	0	0.4	49	0
12	Oct_3_2017	69.93	72.46	72.18	72.28			72.32(-0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	-10000	7	-41	12.19	63%	0.1	10.3	0.8%	0	-0.2	41	0
13	Oct_2_2017	69.86	72.44	72.28	72.09			72.66(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-5	-10000	9	-45	15.3	63%	0.1	6.7	0.81%	0	0.3	49	0
14	Sep_29_2017	69.79	72.4	72.32	71.82			72.55(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-15	-10000	0	-61	17.08	59%	0.09	3.3	0.82%	0	0.2	48	0
15	Sep_28_2017	69.73	72.41	72.39	71.81			71.94(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-14	-10000	-2	-50	10.88	57%	0.09	16.5	0.85%	0	-0.7	51	0

16	Sep_27_2017	69.67	72.43	72.48	71.87			71.92(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	-10000	-7	-46	19.57	54%	0.07	28.9	0.85%	0	-0.8	47	0
17	Sep_26_2017	69.62	72.4	72.61	72.09			71.35(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.1	-15	-10000	-13	-22	18.02	52%	0.07	35.1	0.88%	0	-1.5	52	0
18	Sep_25_2017	69.57	72.39	72.77	72.51			71.35(-1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-6	-10000	-11	10	24.15	52%	0.07	53.9	0.89%	0	-1.4	50	0
19	Sep_22_2017	69.52	72.38	72.93	72.88			72.47(0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-10000	-6	39	14.11	57%	0.1	67.9	0.88%	0	0.1	55	0
20	Sep_21_2017	69.45	72.3	72.9	73.06			72.27(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	9	-10000	-3	44	19.19	57%	0.07	69.8	0.88%	0	-0	46	0

21	Sep_20_2017	69.4	72.24	72.93	73.16			72.98(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-10000	-2	54	21.59	56%	0.1	64.8	0.88%	0	0.8	57	0
22	Sep_19_2017	69.33	72.15	72.79	73.22			73.47(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	5	63	16.09	58%	0.1	67.2	0.89%	0	1.5	67	0
23	Sep_18_2017	69.26	71.99	72.61	73.07			73.2(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	2	61	23.31	58%	0.1	56.6	0.9%	0	1.3	67	0
24	Sep_15_2017	69.19	71.86	72.49	72.99			73.35(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	8	70	38.58	58%	0.12	56.6	0.9%	0	1.6	68	0
25	Sep_14_2017	69.11	71.72	72.43	72.73			72.82(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	2	73	15.73	58%		57.6	0.9%	0	1.2	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.