Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 23, 2017

Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Thu. Jun. 20, 2024)

(Microsoft)
MSFT latest price $68.9847 (1.35%) ($67.7350 - $69.0234) on Fri. Jun. 23, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.86% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $68.9847(1.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSFT advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSFT declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSFT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(88%)    IWF(87%)    IVW(86%)    XLK(82%)    SPY(80%)
Factors Impacting MSFT price   MSFT will decline at least -0.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-11%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.43% (StdDev 0.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $68.3(1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $68.13(1.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $68.51(0.69%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   10.4%
Market Cap   $522.283b

Microsoft Corp. engages in the development and support of software, services, devices, and solutions. It operates through the following business segments: Productivity and Business Processes; Intelligent Cloud; and More Personal Computing. The Productivity and Business Processes segment comprises products and services in the portfolio of productivity, communication, and information services of the company spanning a variety of devices and platform. The Intelligent Cloud segment refers to the public, private, and hybrid serve products and cloud services of the company which can power modern business. The More Personal Computing segment encompasses products and services geared towards the interests of end users, developers, and IT professionals across all devices. The firm also offers operating systems; cross-device productivity applications; server applications; business solution applications; desktop and server management tools; software development tools; video games; personal computers, tablets; gaming and entertainment consoles; other intelligent devices; and related accessories. The company was founded by Paul Gardner Allen and William Henry Gates III in 1975 and is headquartered in Redmond, WA.

$. MSFT price fluctuates within 1.28% (three month std-dev: 0.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170723

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_23_2017	64.57	68.51	68.13	68.3			68.98(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-9	-10000	8	-58	27.62	67%	0.14	46.1	0.86%	0	0.5	41	0
2	Jun_22_2017	64.48	68.44	68.03	68.07			68.06(-0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-21	-10000	2	-89	22.97	67%	0.11	46.6	0.85%	0	-0.4	40	0
3	Jun_21_2017	64.41	68.38	68.18	68.07			68.07(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-20	-10000	0	-78	19.89	64%	0.11	46.9	0.86%	0	-0.3	53	0
4	Jun_20_2017	64.34	68.31	68.36	68			67.73(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10000	-5	-59	21.51	64%	0.08	41.4	0.87%	0	-0.5	53	0
5	Jun_19_2017	64.29	68.25	68.61	68.14			68.66(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	-10000	7	-30	23.8	68%	0.09	44	0.85%	0	0.4	53	0

6	Jun_16_2017	64.23	68.11	68.73	67.93			67.81(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-10000	-2	-25	48.35	66%	0.09	34	0.84%	0	-0.2	52	0
7	Jun_15_2017	64.17	68.02	68.9	67.99			67.72(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-10000	-14	-8	26.07	66%	0.11	31.9	0.84%	0	-0.2	54	0
8	Jun_14_2017	64.1	67.91	68.95	68.39			68.07(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	-10000	-14	28	25.51	66%	0.12	33.5	0.84%	0	0.1	61	0
9	Jun_13_2017	64.02	67.87	68.93	68.8			68.44(1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-10000	-12	64	25.26	66%	0.13	43.9	0.84%	0	0.4	64	0
10	Jun_12_2017	63.94	67.75	68.92	69.16			67.6(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	14	-10000	-17	105	47.76	64%	0.13	48	0.83%	0	-0.1	62	0

11	Jun_9_2017	63.86	67.68	68.97	69.65			68.12(-2.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	34	-10000	-10	164	49.19	64%	0.13	54.2	0.82%	0	0.3	70	0
12	Jun_8_2017	63.78	67.57	68.92	69.92			69.7(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	67	-10000	13	229	24.59	72%	0.16	57.7	0.76%	0	1.3	84	0
13	Jun_7_2017	63.68	67.42	68.63	69.57			70.13(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	71	-10000	19	227	22.3	72%	0.17	55.2	0.76%	0	1.7	89	0
14	Jun_6_2017	63.57	67.22	68.27	69.07			70.25(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	60	-10000	16	191	31.51	72%	0.11	50.2	0.76%	0	2.1	66	0
15	Jun_5_2017	63.5	67.02	67.87	68.66			70.02(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	56	-10000	17	173	33.32	72%	0.16	47	0.76%	0	2.4	71	0

16	Jun_2_2017	63.4	66.82	67.42	68.21			69.52(2.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	48	-10000	16	144	34.77	68%	0.16	47.1	0.76%	0	2.6	70	0
17	Jun_1_2017	63.3	66.65	67.02	67.8			67.91(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	-10000	10	117	21.6	67%	0.11	48.4	0.73%	0	1.6	63	0
18	May_31_2017	63.23	66.57	66.77	67.54			67.66(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-10000	9	87	30.44	69%	0.13	50	0.72%	0	1.4	55	0
19	May_30_2017	63.15	66.52	66.71	67.32			68.21(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	33	-10000	16	85	17.07	67%	0.19	52.8	0.71%	0	2.3	60	0
20	May_26_2017	63.03	66.44	66.47	66.94			67.77(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	27	-10000	18	52	19.83	69%	0.13	60	0.75%	0	2.2	58	0

21	May_25_2017	62.95	66.34	66.27	66.5			67.44(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	15	-10000	15	16	21.85	69%	0.13	62.5	0.75%	0	2.1	56	0
22	May_24_2017	62.87	66.26	66.27	66.13			66.62(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	4	-10000	10	-15	14.67	67%	0.11	68.8	0.75%	0	0.7	53	0
23	May_23_2017	62.8	66.2	66.11	65.88			66.53(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.2	-14	-10000	-6	-37	15.43	67%	0.06	76.3	0.75%	0	0.6	49	0
24	May_22_2017	62.76	66.14	66.09	66.02			66.31(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-5	-10000	3	-27	16.24	67%	0.11	98.8	0.75%	0	0.3	46	0
25	May_19_2017	62.69	66.08	66.1	65.94			65.57(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-10000	-2	-41	26.96	65%		87.3	0.73%	0	-0.7	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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