Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Mon. Jul. 1, 2024)

(Microsoft)
MSFT latest price $58.5178 (0.43%) ($58.2162 - $58.6518) on Tue. Nov. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.09% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $58.5178(0.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSFT advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSFT advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSFT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(88%)    IWF(87%)    IVW(86%)    XLK(82%)    SPY(80%)
Factors Impacting MSFT price   MSFT will decline at least -0.545% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-9%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.545% (StdDev 1.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $57.95(0.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $57.11(2.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $57(2.66%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9.5%
Market Cap   $443.038b

Microsoft Corp. engages in the development and support of software, services, devices, and solutions. It operates through the following business segments: Productivity and Business Processes; Intelligent Cloud; and More Personal Computing. The Productivity and Business Processes segment comprises products and services in the portfolio of productivity, communication, and information services of the company spanning a variety of devices and platform. The Intelligent Cloud segment refers to the public, private, and hybrid serve products and cloud services of the company which can power modern business. The More Personal Computing segment encompasses products and services geared towards the interests of end users, developers, and IT professionals across all devices. The firm also offers operating systems; cross-device productivity applications; server applications; business solution applications; desktop and server management tools; software development tools; video games; personal computers, tablets; gaming and entertainment consoles; other intelligent devices; and related accessories. The company was founded by Paul Gardner Allen and William Henry Gates III in 1975 and is headquartered in Redmond, WA.

$. MSFT price fluctuates within 1.49% (three month std-dev: 1.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161222

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_22_2016	54.54	57	57.11	57.95			58.52(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	-10000	14	72	23.21	71%	0.07	48.3	1.09%	0	1.8	60	0
2	Nov_21_2016	54.5	56.96	56.98	57.52			58.27(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	29	-10000	19	57	19.65	71%	0.18	53.5	1.09%	0	1.6	57	0
3	Nov_18_2016	54.4	56.94	56.88	56.92			57.78(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	15	-10000	11	26	27.69	71%	0.17	57	1.09%	0	1.1	54	0
4	Nov_17_2016	54.31	56.88	56.68	56.59			58.06(1.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	11	-10000	15	0	32.13	71%	0.18	48.8	1.08%	0	1.3	55	0
5	Nov_16_2016	54.21	56.71	56.5	56.14			57.11(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-11	-10000	-1	-39	27.33	69%	0.2	35.5	1.07%	0	0.4	49	0

6	Nov_15_2016	54.1	56.6	56.43	56.16			56.36(1.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-19	-10000	-8	-51	35.9	68%	0.2	35.7	1.06%	0	-0.2	41	0
7	Nov_14_2016	53.99	56.53	56.48	56.39			55.27(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-25	-10000	-15	-54	41.33	65%	0.15	40.9	1.03%	0	-1.1	30	0
8	Nov_11_2016	53.91	56.5	56.66	56.83			56.13(0.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-7	-10000	2	-33	38.77	69%	0.13	47.3	1.02%	0	-0.3	34	0
9	Nov_10_2016	53.84	56.44	56.74	56.77			55.82(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-13	-10000	-4	-38	57.82	69%	0.15	41.7	1.01%	0	-0.5	46	0
10	Nov_9_2016	53.76	56.37	56.88	56.87			57.22(-0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	-10000	5	-5	49.63	77%	0.17	39.7	0.97%	0	0.6	70	0

11	Nov_8_2016	53.67	56.23	56.92	56.73			57.51(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	-10000	5	16	22.94	77%	0.19	34.3	0.97%	0	0.9	69	0
12	Nov_7_2016	53.57	56.08	56.95	56.6			57.46(2.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	4	39	31.66	77%	0.19	32.5	0.97%	0	1	68	0
13	Nov_4_2016	53.47	55.96	56.99	56.5			55.83(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-10000	-9	70	28.7	74%	0.15	33.3	0.91%	0	-0.1	64	0
14	Nov_3_2016	53.39	55.92	57.09	56.72			56.31(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	23	-10000	-7	111	21.6	74%	0.19	39	0.9%	0	0.3	66	0
15	Nov_2_2016	53.29	55.85	56.94	56.89			56.52(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	25	-10000	-9	128	22.15	74%	0.17	43.7	0.9%	0	0.5	70	0

16	Nov_1_2016	53.2	55.77	56.79	57.12			56.87(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	31	-10000	-9	152	24.53	74%	0.19	47.1	0.9%	0	0.8	71	0
17	Oct_31_2016	53.1	55.65	56.6	57.35			56.98(0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	38	-10000	-8	177	26.43	74%	0.15	50.6	0.9%	0	1	71	0
18	Oct_28_2016	53.02	55.53	56.36	57.55			56.94(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	49	-10000	2	191	33.57	74%	0.17	58.5	0.9%	0	1.1	62	0
19	Oct_27_2016	52.93	55.41	56.14	57.51			57.16(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	65	-10000	21	197	28.48	74%	0.15	60.7	0.9%	0	1.4	65	0
20	Oct_26_2016	52.85	55.28	55.84	56.97			57.66(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	56	-10000	23	156	29.91	74%	0.15	50.2	0.9%	0	2	69	0

21	Oct_25_2016	52.77	55.14	55.5	56.38			58(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.5	47	-10000	25	114	35.14	74%	0.17	42.3	0.9%	0	2.7	72	0
22	Oct_24_2016	52.68	54.98	55.12	55.75			58.01(2.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	40	-10000	29	74	54.07	74%	0.17	38	0.9%	0	3.5	74	0
23	Oct_21_2016	52.59	54.77	54.8	55.03			56.74(4.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.2	21	-10000	18	28	80.03	70%	0.13	23.2	0.88%	0	3.6	67	0
24	Oct_20_2016	52.52	54.65	54.6	54.6			54.44(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	1	-10000	3	-6	49.46	72%	0.1	5.3	0.71%	0	-0.7	46	0
25	Oct_19_2016	52.47	54.68	54.64	54.54			54.71(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	-10000	3	-6	22.88	66%		8.8	0.96%	0	0.1	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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