Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 4, 2015

Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Tue. Jun. 25, 2024)

(Microsoft)
MSFT latest price $44.0727 (-0.85%) ($44.0179 - $44.6483) on Mon. May. 4, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.74% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $44.0727(-0.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSFT advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSFT advances 7.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSFT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(87%)    XLK(82%)    SPY(79%)    VT(71%)    XLY(68%)
Factors Impacting MSFT price   MSFT will decline at least -0.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-13%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    UUP(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.87% (StdDev 1.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.54(-1.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.93(2.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.69(8.31%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   19.7%
Market Cap   $333.674b

Microsoft Corp. engages in the development and support of software, services, devices, and solutions. It operates through the following business segments: Productivity and Business Processes; Intelligent Cloud; and More Personal Computing. The Productivity and Business Processes segment comprises products and services in the portfolio of productivity, communication, and information services of the company spanning a variety of devices and platform. The Intelligent Cloud segment refers to the public, private, and hybrid serve products and cloud services of the company which can power modern business. The More Personal Computing segment encompasses products and services geared towards the interests of end users, developers, and IT professionals across all devices. The firm also offers operating systems; cross-device productivity applications; server applications; business solution applications; desktop and server management tools; software development tools; video games; personal computers, tablets; gaming and entertainment consoles; other intelligent devices; and related accessories. The company was founded by Paul Gardner Allen and William Henry Gates III in 1975 and is headquartered in Redmond, WA.

$. MSFT price fluctuates within 6.96% (three month std-dev: 1.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150604

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_4_2015	40.14	40.69	42.93	44.54			44.07(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	67	-10000	1	264	34.04	73%	0.02	69.5	1.74%	0	1.2	83	0
2	May_1_2015	40.13	40.37	42.47	44.5			44.45(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	74	-10000	4	285	38.94	75%	0.05	72.4	1.72%	0	1.5	84	0
3	Apr_30_2015	40.11	39.98	41.84	44.36			44.44(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	93	-10000	26	294	64.73	67%	0.05	72.2	1.73%	0	1.7	85	0
4	Apr_29_2015	40.09	39.61	41.25	43.39			44.82(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	84	-10000	29	248	47.8	69%	0.05	64.6	1.81%	0	2.1	88	0
5	Apr_28_2015	40.07	39.21	40.61	42.28			44.91(2.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	76	-10000	32	206	60.73	63%	0.05	54.4	1.82%	0	2.5	88	0

6	Apr_27_2015	40.05	38.81	39.89	41.09			43.88(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	56	-10000	25	148	59.25	49%	-0.02	43.9	1.86%	0	2.8	86	0
7	Apr_24_2015	40.06	38.46	39.28	40.15			43.73(10.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.5	44	-10000	27	94	130.93	49%	0	32.8	2.19%	0	3.7	85	0
8	Apr_23_2015	40.06	38.13	38.68	39.01			39.6(0.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	20	-10000	6	62	46.31	34%	-0.1	13.6	1.76%	0	2	80	0
9	Apr_22_2015	40.1	38.04	38.5	38.79			39.27(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	18	-10000	4	58	25.06	38%	-0.12	-0.6	1.76%	0	1.9	71	0
10	Apr_21_2015	40.15	38.04	38.36	38.66			38.95(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	5	57	26.01	38%	-0.15	1.2	1.79%	0	1.5	70	0

11	Apr_20_2015	40.21	38.02	38.25	38.48			39.2(3.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	18	-10000	6	54	46.06	38%	-0.1	1.8	1.79%	0	1.8	68	0
12	Apr_17_2015	40.25	38	38.12	38.27			38.02(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-10000	-1	48	42.39	33%	-0.05	2.3	1.75%	0	0	59	0
13	Apr_16_2015	40.27	38.03	38.01	38.29			38.52(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	4	45	22.51	36%	-0.12	10.9	1.75%	0	0.7	62	0
14	Apr_15_2015	40.32	38.04	37.88	38.16			38.6(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	-10000	4	33	27.34	36%	-0.12	8.4	1.77%	0	0.8	58	0
15	Apr_14_2015	40.37	38.04	37.73	38.01			38.05(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-10000	1	9	24.24	36%	-0.12	0.6	1.76%	0	0.1	34	0

16	Apr_13_2015	40.42	38.01	37.67	37.99			38.15(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	-10000	1	-7	30.28	36%	-0.15	-8.5	1.76%	0	0.2	36	0
17	Apr_10_2015	40.48	37.99	37.59	37.95			38.12(0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-10000	8	-20	28.02	36%	-0.15	-15.9	1.76%	0	0.2	35	0
18	Apr_9_2015	40.54	37.96	37.54	37.69			37.9(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	-10000	4	-43	25.72	36%	-0.17	-39.1	1.77%	0	-0.1	41	0
19	Apr_8_2015	40.61	37.98	37.53	37.55			37.84(-0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	-10000	4	-59	24.75	41%	-0.15	-51.4	1.77%	0	-0.2	39	0
20	Apr_7_2015	40.67	38.01	37.65	37.41			37.94(-0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-12	-10000	3	-57	28.81	41%	-0.17	-63.7	1.81%	0	-0.1	49	0

21	Apr_6_2015	40.74	38.06	37.75	37.31			37.96(3.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-11	-10000	3	-54	39.22	39%	-0.27	-70.8	1.82%	0	-0.1	51	0
22	Apr_2_2015	40.85	38.1	37.85	37.2			36.81(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-10000	-5	-54	37.49	34%	-0.2	-79.2	1.77%	0	-1.7	42	0
23	Apr_1_2015	40.93	38.23	38.04	37.37			37.2(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-10000	-4	-37	36.87	34%	-0.17	-82	1.77%	0	-1.4	50	0
24	Mar_31_2015	41	38.33	38.21	37.5			37.14(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-10000	-12	-30	34.89	34%	-0.17	-83.4	1.78%	0	-1.6	40	0
25	Mar_30_2015	41.07	38.45	38.32	37.91			37.42(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-11	-10000	-10	-12	35.05	34%		-70.5	1.79%	0	-1.3	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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