Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 21, 2014

Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(Microsoft)
MSFT latest price $43.5254 (-1.48%) ($43.1535 - $44.4961) on Fri. Nov. 21, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $43.5254(-1.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSFT declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSFT advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSFT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(86%)    XLK(81%)    SPY(78%)    VT(70%)    XLY(67%)
Factors Impacting MSFT price   MSFT will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-13%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    UUP(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.05(-1.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.17(-1.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.43(0.22%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   13%
Market Cap   $329.531b

Microsoft Corp. engages in the development and support of software, services, devices, and solutions. It operates through the following business segments: Productivity and Business Processes; Intelligent Cloud; and More Personal Computing. The Productivity and Business Processes segment comprises products and services in the portfolio of productivity, communication, and information services of the company spanning a variety of devices and platform. The Intelligent Cloud segment refers to the public, private, and hybrid serve products and cloud services of the company which can power modern business. The More Personal Computing segment encompasses products and services geared towards the interests of end users, developers, and IT professionals across all devices. The firm also offers operating systems; cross-device productivity applications; server applications; business solution applications; desktop and server management tools; software development tools; video games; personal computers, tablets; gaming and entertainment consoles; other intelligent devices; and related accessories. The company was founded by Paul Gardner Allen and William Henry Gates III in 1975 and is headquartered in Redmond, WA.

$. MSFT price fluctuates within 2.49% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_21_2014	40.89	43.43	44.17	44.05			43.53(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-10000	-9	33	42.88	56%	0.15	80.7	1.2%	0	0.1	63	0
2	Nov_20_2014	40.83	43.34	44.22	44.28			44.18(1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-10000	-4	69	21.51	58%	0.17	86.5	1.18%	0	0.7	76	0
3	Nov_19_2014	40.76	43.17	44.19	44.39			43.74(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	25	-10000	-2	104	26.18	59%	0.15	87.4	1.18%	0	0.4	79	0
4	Nov_18_2014	40.7	43	44.15	44.44			44.21(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	32	-10000	1	123	24	59%	0.17	87.1	1.18%	0	0.8	76	0
5	Nov_17_2014	40.63	42.81	44.03	44.41			44.59(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	-10000	4	136	30.32	59%	0.17	85.2	1.18%	0	1.1	81	0

6	Nov_14_2014	40.56	42.58	43.85	44.3			44.7(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	-10000	6	148	29.08	60%	0.17	81.7	1.18%	0	1.3	85	0
7	Nov_13_2014	40.49	42.31	43.62	44.14			44.72(1.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	42	-10000	6	149	26.21	62%	0.17	74.1	1.18%	0	1.4	81	0
8	Nov_12_2014	40.42	42.01	43.3	43.98			43.97(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	44	-10000	7	155	22.72	60%	0.17	64.3	1.17%	0	1.1	84	0
9	Nov_11_2014	40.35	41.76	43.11	43.81			44.05(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	50	-10000	9	171	23.45	60%	0.15	53.2	1.17%	0	1.3	86	0
10	Nov_10_2014	40.29	41.53	42.89	43.58			44.07(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	52	-10000	10	176	36.37	60%	0.17	46.7	1.17%	0	1.5	79	0

11	Nov_7_2014	40.22	41.29	42.63	43.32			43.88(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	55	-10000	13	182	28	61%	0.17	38.8	1.17%	0	1.6	81	0
12	Nov_6_2014	40.15	41.07	42.39	43			43.9(1.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	62	-10000	19	192	33.04	61%	0.17	30.4	1.18%	0	1.9	83	0
13	Nov_5_2014	40.08	40.92	42.06	42.53			43.14(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	53	-10000	9	185	22.45	60%	0.15	23.7	1.17%	0	1.6	84	0
14	Nov_4_2014	40.02	40.85	41.75	42.3			42.88(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	53	-10000	8	186	21.53	61%	0.13	23.7	1.17%	0	1.6	77	0
15	Nov_3_2014	39.97	40.75	41.5	42.11			42.77(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	55	-10000	11	188	23.13	61%	0.15	18.2	1.18%	0	1.7	71	0

16	Oct_31_2014	39.91	40.67	41.2	41.83			42.32(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	49	-10000	6	176	35.85	59%	0.15	11.4	1.18%	0	1.4	70	0
17	Oct_30_2014	39.85	40.62	40.91	41.68			41.51(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	47	-10000	7	168	30.07	58%	0.13	6.7	1.17%	0	0.8	63	0
18	Oct_29_2014	39.8	40.59	40.62	41.5			42.03(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	45	-10000	17	130	30.28	59%	0.13	1.1	1.16%	0	1.3	52	0
19	Oct_28_2014	39.75	40.55	40.31	41.09			41.91(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	-10000	12	63	29.05	58%	0.13	-14	1.16%	0	1.3	45	0
20	Oct_27_2014	39.7	40.53	40.05	40.8			41.39(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	14	25	30.37	56%	0.13	-22.3	1.16%	0	0.8	50	0

21	Oct_24_2014	39.65	40.53	39.84	40.47			41.58(2.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	9	-10000	19	-22	61.08	55%	0.1	-32.7	1.16%	0	1	48	0
22	Oct_23_2014	39.61	40.54	39.63	40.02			40.58(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	-10000	18	-80	45.45	52%	0.13	-48.3	1.13%	0	0	43	0
23	Oct_22_2014	39.56	40.58	39.68	39.61			40.01(-1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-22	-10000	10	-116	33.58	51%	0.1	-58.3	1.11%	0	-0.5	42	0
24	Oct_21_2014	39.52	40.7	39.86	39.4			40.46(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-25	-10000	9	-126	36.43	52%	0.1	-61	1.1%	0	-0.2	43	0
25	Oct_20_2014	39.48	40.77	39.9	39.2			39.74(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-36	-10000	4	-157	34.53	50%		-64.2	1.08%	0	-0.8	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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