Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 21, 2014

Trading Signals: MSFT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Jul. 5, 2024)

(Microsoft)
MSFT latest price $35.5307 (-0.17%) ($35.3972 - $35.7175) on Mon. Apr. 21, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.56% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $35.5307(-0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSFT advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSFT declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSFT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(85%)    XLK(81%)    SPY(77%)    VT(70%)    XLY(67%)
Factors Impacting MSFT price   MSFT will decline at least -0.78% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-13%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    UUP(-4%)    GDXJ(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.78% (StdDev 1.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

Resistance Level   $35.7
5 Day Moving Average   $35.46(0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.4(0.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.7(-0.47%)
To recent high   -3.6%
To recent low   5.9%
Market Cap   $269.003b

Microsoft Corp. engages in the development and support of software, services, devices, and solutions. It operates through the following business segments: Productivity and Business Processes; Intelligent Cloud; and More Personal Computing. The Productivity and Business Processes segment comprises products and services in the portfolio of productivity, communication, and information services of the company spanning a variety of devices and platform. The Intelligent Cloud segment refers to the public, private, and hybrid serve products and cloud services of the company which can power modern business. The More Personal Computing segment encompasses products and services geared towards the interests of end users, developers, and IT professionals across all devices. The firm also offers operating systems; cross-device productivity applications; server applications; business solution applications; desktop and server management tools; software development tools; video games; personal computers, tablets; gaming and entertainment consoles; other intelligent devices; and related accessories. The company was founded by Paul Gardner Allen and William Henry Gates III in 1975 and is headquartered in Redmond, WA.

$. MSFT price fluctuates within 1.62% (three month std-dev: 1.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140521

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_21_2014	35.51	35.7		35.46			35.53(-0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	-10000	5	-45	22.22	73%	0	11.1	1.56%	0	-0.3	40	0
2	Apr_17_2014	35.51	35.71	35.4	35.33			35.59(-0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	-10000	4	-57	36.69	73%	0	21.9	1.59%	0	-0.2	48	0
3	Apr_16_2014	35.51	35.72	35.47	35.21			35.94(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.2	-13	-10000	-0	-52	30.62	73%	0.06	0	1.61%	0	0.4	59	0
4	Apr_15_2014	35.49	35.68	35.54	35.22			35.36(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-11	-10000	-1	-39	33.98	71%	-0.03	0	1.62%	0	-0.5	51	0
5	Apr_14_2014	35.5	35.67	35.68	35.24			34.85(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-10000	-4	-31	32.01	71%	-0.08	0	1.63%	0	-1.2	43	0

6	Apr_11_2014	35.53	35.64	35.84	35.35			34.88(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-8	-10000	-4	-21	34.33	71%	-0.08	0	1.67%	0	-0.9	42	0
7	Apr_10_2014	35.56	35.58	35.95	35.46			35.01(-2.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-10000	-10	-16	45.96	71%	-0.08	0	1.71%	0	-0.7	46	0
8	Apr_9_2014	35.59	35.58	35.97	35.76			36(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-4	-10000	-5	-2	27.4	83%	0.08	0	1.6%	0	42.9	52	0
9	Apr_8_2014	35.56	35.58	35.92	35.91			35.42(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-9	-10000	-10	-4	35.92	81%	-0.03	0	1.62%	0	41.2	57	0
10	Apr_7_2014	35.57	35.58	35.97	36.2			35.41(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-6	-10000	-7	-3	37.56	81%	-0.03	0	1.67%	0	40.2	54	0

11	Apr_4_2014	35.58	35.58	36.04	36.41			35.47(-2.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-3	-10000	-3	-1	51.41	81%	-0.03	0	1.72%	0	39	65	0
12	Apr_3_2014	35.59	35.58	36.07	36.49			36.48(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	9	-10000	11	4	30.14	100%	0.17	0	1.54%	0	38.8	74	0
13	Apr_2_2014	35.53	35.58	36.01	36.19			36.79(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	-10000	10	4	28.61	100%	0.28	0	1.55%	0	39.1	50	0
14	Apr_1_2014	35.43	35.58	35.82	35.91			36.85(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	6	-10000	7	3	32.61	100%	0.34	0	1.59%	0	40.5	50	0
15	Mar_31_2014	35.31	35.58	35.65	35.72			36.46(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	3	-10000	3	1	46.89	100%	0.28	0	1.66%	0	43.4	50	0

16	Mar_28_2014	35.21	35.58	35.4	35.64			35.85(2.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-10000	1	0	43.47	100%	0.2	0	1.71%	0	44.8	50	0
17	Mar_27_2014	35.14	35.58	35.18	35.61			35.01(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-5	-10000	-6	-2	35.37	100%	-0.06	0	1.7%	0	43.2	50	0
18	Mar_26_2014	35.16	35.58	35.18	35.78			35.4(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	3	-10000	3	1	41.98	100%	0.09	0	1.7%	0	41.6	50	0
19	Mar_25_2014	35.13	35.58	35.18	35.69			35.89(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	4	-10000	5	2	43.19	100%	0.31	0	1.62%	0	39.9	50	0
20	Mar_24_2014	35.02	35.58	35.18	35.55			36.03(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	15	6	46.1	100%	0.49	0	1.64%	0	39.6	50	0

21	Mar_21_2014	34.85	35.58	35.18	35.11			35.73(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	-10000	14	6	80.73	100%	0.49	0	1.79%	0	40.6	50	0
22	Mar_20_2014	34.68	35.58	35.18	34.68			35.88(2.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	253	-10000	297	119	59.27	100%	0.87	0	1.76%	0	41.2	50	0
23	Mar_19_2014	34.38	35.58	35.18	27.5			34.93(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	10.6	300	-10000	353	141	35.6	100%	0.56	0	1.93%	0	49.9	50	0
24	Mar_18_2014	34.19	35.58	35.18	20.51			35.18(3.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	20.7	587	-10000	691	276	64.06	100%	1.48	0	1.51%	0	49.5	50	0
25	Mar_17_2014	33.69	35.58	35.18	13.48			33.85(0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	127.3	0	-10000	0	0	20.48	100%		0	0%	0	211.6	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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