Trading Signals: MS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MS: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jan. 16, 2018

Trading Signals: MS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Morgan Stanley)
MS latest price $53.0398 (-0.94%) ($52.6513 - $54.3804) on Tue. Jan. 16, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.97% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $53.0398(-0.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MS advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MS advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(79%)    XHB(59%)    GDXJ(18%)    TAN(9%)    XLY(9%)
Factors Impacting MS price   MS will decline at least -0.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-13%)    INDA(-11%)    EMHY(-11%)    XLU(-10%)    SPLV(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.485% (StdDev 0.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $52.68(0.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52(2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.63(2.73%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   13.5%
Market Cap   $83.596b

Morgan Stanley provides investment banking products and services to its clients and customers including corporations, governments, financial institutions, and individuals. It operates through the following business segments: Institutional Securities, Wealth Management, and Investment Management. The Institutional Services segment provides financial advisory, capital-raising services, and related financing services on behalf of institutional investors. The Wealth Management segment offers brokerage and investment advisory services covering various types of investments, including equities, options, futures, foreign currencies, precious metals, fixed-income securities, mutual funds, structured products, alternative investments, unit investment trusts, managed futures, separately managed accounts, and mutual fund asset allocation programs. The Investment Management segment provides equity, fixed income, alternative investments, real estate, and merchant banking strategies. The company was founded by Harold Stanley and Henry S. Morgan on September 16, 1935 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. MS price fluctuates within 1.51% (three month std-dev: 0.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180216

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_16_2018	48.37	51.63	52	52.68			53.04(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	-10000	13	108	11.17	81%	0.27	41.7	0.97%	0	1.8	69	0
2	Jan_12_2018	48.24	51.53	51.79	52.35			53.55(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	33	-10000	16	85	9	78%	0.19	36.4	0.96%	0	3	72	0
3	Jan_11_2018	48.15	51.42	51.54	51.96			52.65(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	22	-10000	9	59	8.31	76%	0.19	41.1	0.96%	0	2.5	70	0
4	Jan_10_2018	48.06	51.39	51.37	51.75			52.39(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	21	-10000	13	43	11.03	76%	0.19	57.9	0.96%	0	2.6	60	0
5	Jan_9_2018	47.97	51.33	51.22	51.44			51.78(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	10	-10000	9	13	6.62	75%	0.17	39.2	0.96%	0	1.2	49	0

6	Jan_8_2018	47.89	51.31	51.16	51.22			51.38(-0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	0	-10000	3	-8	6.68	75%	0.17	34.7	0.96%	0	0.2	46	0
7	Jan_5_2018	47.81	51.28	51.15	51.14			51.59(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	0	-10000	4	-11	6.48	76%	0.17	37.5	0.96%	0	0.8	56	0
8	Jan_4_2018	47.73	51.22	51.09	51.05			51.61(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-2	-10000	5	-24	8.68	76%	0.17	35.1	0.97%	0	1	48	0
9	Jan_3_2018	47.65	51.17	51.06	50.94			50.83(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-10000	-1	-45	6.96	75%	0.13	39.5	0.95%	0	-0.8	31	0
10	Jan_2_2018	47.59	51.17	51.14	50.97			50.7(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	-10000	-4	-40	6.64	76%	0.19	75.6	0.96%	0	-1	46	0

11	Dec_29_2017	47.5	51.18	51.23	51.07			50.97(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	-3	-30	5.8	76%	0.15	110	0.97%	0	-0.5	47	0
12	Dec_28_2017	47.43	51.14	51.25	51.15			51.15(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-5	-10000	1	-21	3.74	76%	0.11	127	0.97%	0	0	54	0
13	Dec_27_2017	47.38	51.09	51.3	51.13			51.07(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-10000	-3	-9	5.79	77%	0.11	126.3	0.97%	0	-0	60	0
14	Dec_26_2017	47.33	50.99	51.42	51.2			50.97(-0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-10000	-6	14	3.31	77%	0.11	111	0.98%	0	-0	56	0
15	Dec_22_2017	47.28	50.84	51.46	51.35			51.21(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-10000	-3	26	6.15	77%	0.11	72.9	0.98%	0	0.3	51	0

16	Dec_21_2017	47.23	50.68	51.48	51.42			51.37(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	13	-10000	2	44	11.35	77%	0.13	75.9	0.98%	0	0.6	58	0
17	Dec_20_2017	47.17	50.5	51.43	51.37			51.01(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-10000	-5	46	6.44	77%	0.11	71.4	0.98%	0	0.4	58	0
18	Dec_19_2017	47.12	50.36	51.37	51.5			51.42(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-10000	-7	60	7.63	77%	0.15	73.3	0.98%	0	0.7	63	0
19	Dec_18_2017	47.05	50.18	51.29	51.68			51.72(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	27	-10000	4	96	8.44	79%	0.13	75.1	0.97%	0	1	71	0
20	Dec_15_2017	46.99	49.97	51.23	51.59			51.58(0.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	34	-10000	2	129	12.71	79%	0.13	71.4	0.99%	0	1	76	0

21	Dec_14_2017	46.93	49.75	51.12	51.55			51.14(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	42	-10000	2	161	8.19	79%	0.13	68.6	0.99%	0	0.8	74	0
22	Dec_13_2017	46.87	49.54	51.03	51.49			51.66(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	58	-10000	12	197	10.57	81%	0.13	63	0.97%	0	1.2	78	0
23	Dec_12_2017	46.81	49.31	50.85	51.2			52.31(2.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	62	-10000	14	205	8.15	86%	0.17	56.1	0.96%	0	1.7	80	0
24	Dec_11_2017	46.73	49.04	50.52	50.85			51.26(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	-10000	1	199	6.32	86%	0.13	50	0.94%	0	1.4	78	0
25	Dec_8_2017	46.67	48.84	50.17	50.83			51.38(1.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	56	-10000	7	201	6.49	86%		48.1	0.98%	0	1.6	81	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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