Trading Signals: MS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 24, 2017

Trading Signals: MS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Morgan Stanley)
MS latest price $44.4672 (0.44%) ($44.2062 - $44.6412) on Thu. Aug. 24, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $44.4672(0.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MS advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MS declines -2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(79%)    XHB(59%)    GDXJ(17%)    XLY(10%)    TAN(9%)
Factors Impacting MS price   MS will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-13%)    XLU(-11%)    INDA(-11%)    EMHY(-11%)    SPLV(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $39.98(-10.09%)
Resistance Level   $44.95
5 Day Moving Average   $43.97(1.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.18(0.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.95(-1.07%)
To recent high   -4.8%
To recent low   10.8%
Market Cap   $70.085b

Morgan Stanley provides investment banking products and services to its clients and customers including corporations, governments, financial institutions, and individuals. It operates through the following business segments: Institutional Securities, Wealth Management, and Investment Management. The Institutional Services segment provides financial advisory, capital-raising services, and related financing services on behalf of institutional investors. The Wealth Management segment offers brokerage and investment advisory services covering various types of investments, including equities, options, futures, foreign currencies, precious metals, fixed-income securities, mutual funds, structured products, alternative investments, unit investment trusts, managed futures, separately managed accounts, and mutual fund asset allocation programs. The Investment Management segment provides equity, fixed income, alternative investments, real estate, and merchant banking strategies. The company was founded by Harold Stanley and Henry S. Morgan on September 16, 1935 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. MS price fluctuates within 2.14% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170924

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_24_2017	42.71	44.95	44.18	43.97			44.47(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-22	-10000	7	-108	6.64	69%	0.12	-36.9	1.2%	0	-0.5	35	0
2	Aug_23_2017	42.66	45	44.2	43.8			44.27(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-35	-10000	-2	-133	5.46	71%	0.07	-38.9	1.2%	0	-0.8	41	0
3	Aug_22_2017	42.63	45.06	44.36	43.84			44.05(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-37	-10000	-6	-130	7.13	71%	0.07	-35.5	1.22%	0	-1.1	39	0
4	Aug_21_2017	42.6	45.15	44.57	44			43.19(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-41	-10000	-14	-123	8.5	69%	0.07	-20.6	1.19%	0	-2.1	33	0
5	Aug_18_2017	42.57	45.25	44.92	44.36			43.88(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-10000	-2	-86	7.28	72%	0.05	-4.5	1.18%	0	-1.7	41	0

6	Aug_17_2017	42.55	45.3	45.18	44.41			43.59(-2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-25	-10000	-9	-73	9.43	61%	0.07	5.4	1.18%	0	-2.2	41	0
7	Aug_16_2017	42.52	45.37	45.4	44.64			44.48(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-10000	-10	-52	8.35	65%	0.09	22.3	1.36%	0	-1.3	43	0
8	Aug_15_2017	42.48	45.4	45.54	44.96			44.88(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-10000	-9	-32	7.66	66%	0.12	40.6	1.35%	0	-0.7	47	0
9	Aug_14_2017	42.43	45.34	45.63	45.25			44.96(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	-10000	-11	-18	7.14	66%	0.09	45.5	1.36%	0	-0.4	44	0
10	Aug_11_2017	42.39	45.28	45.68	45.6			44.13(-1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-11	-10000	-15	3	13.51	64%	0.09	49.3	1.35%	0	-1.2	47	0

11	Aug_10_2017	42.35	45.27	45.81	46.07			44.76(-2.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	5	-10000	-6	36	10.1	67%	0.09	59	1.34%	0	-0.5	53	0
12	Aug_9_2017	42.31	45.23	45.9	46.25			46.06(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-10000	2	60	8.28	74%	0.12	57.5	1.28%	0	0.8	67	0
13	Aug_8_2017	42.26	45.09	45.83	46.19			46.33(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	4	64	7.77	74%	0.09	50.6	1.28%	0	1.2	68	0
14	Aug_7_2017	42.22	44.96	45.77	46.07			46.7(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	28	-10000	9	83	7.76	74%	0.09	48.9	1.28%	0	1.7	82	0
15	Aug_4_2017	42.18	44.83	45.59	45.8			46.48(1.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	27	-10000	9	81	8.91	74%	0.05	52.7	1.28%	0	1.8	78	0

16	Aug_3_2017	42.16	44.71	45.42	45.53			45.69(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	1	77	6.48	72%	0.05	55.3	1.27%	0	1.2	76	0
17	Aug_2_2017	42.14	44.64	45.33	45.49			45.75(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	23	-10000	2	87	6.02	72%	0.02	67.4	1.27%	0	1.4	71	0
18	Aug_1_2017	42.13	44.57	45.23	45.42			45.75(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-10000	-0	100	6.01	72%	0.05	78.5	1.27%	0	1.5	74	0
19	Jul_31_2017	42.11	44.47	45.01	45.43			45.34(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	-10000	3	100	6.76	72%	0.02	92.9	1.28%	0	1.2	65	0
20	Jul_28_2017	42.1	44.35	44.84	45.34			45.11(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	24	-10000	2	91	7.96	72%	0	90	1.28%	0	0.9	57	0

21	Jul_27_2017	42.1	44.24	44.69	45.28			45.52(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-10000	5	83	9.44	72%	0.02	87.6	1.28%	0	1.6	60	0
22	Jul_26_2017	42.09	44.1	44.51	45.12			45.4(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	4	69	9.03	72%	0.02	78.7	1.29%	0	1.6	58	0
23	Jul_25_2017	42.08	43.96	44.3	45.01			45.78(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	-10000	17	58	11.89	74%	0.05	68.1	1.28%	0	2.2	62	0
24	Jul_24_2017	42.06	43.78	44.08	44.53			44.91(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	9	26	7.44	76%	0	46.7	1.28%	0	1.4	61	0
25	Jul_21_2017	42.06	43.64	44	44.27			44.8(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	9	22	9.02	72%		31.6	1.38%	0	1.4	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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