Trading Signals: MS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: MS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Morgan Stanley)
MS latest price $39.1060 (1.23%) ($38.3247 - $39.2385) on Wed. Nov. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.58% (three month average)
RSI   93
Latest Price   $39.1060(1.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MS advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MS advances 8.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(78%)    XHB(58%)    GDXJ(14%)    XLY(10%)    XRT(10%)
Factors Impacting MS price   MS will decline at least -0.79% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-15%)    XLU(-11%)    EMHY(-11%)    BND(-10%)    INDA(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.79% (StdDev 1.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.6(1.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.94(3.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.2(11.1%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   34.4%
Market Cap   $61.635b

Morgan Stanley provides investment banking products and services to its clients and customers including corporations, governments, financial institutions, and individuals. It operates through the following business segments: Institutional Securities, Wealth Management, and Investment Management. The Institutional Services segment provides financial advisory, capital-raising services, and related financing services on behalf of institutional investors. The Wealth Management segment offers brokerage and investment advisory services covering various types of investments, including equities, options, futures, foreign currencies, precious metals, fixed-income securities, mutual funds, structured products, alternative investments, unit investment trusts, managed futures, separately managed accounts, and mutual fund asset allocation programs. The Investment Management segment provides equity, fixed income, alternative investments, real estate, and merchant banking strategies. The company was founded by Harold Stanley and Henry S. Morgan on September 16, 1935 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. MS price fluctuates within 8.58% (three month std-dev: 1.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161223

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_23_2016	30.12	35.2	37.94	38.6			39.11(1.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	91	-10000	12	328	9.85	77%	0.5	63.2	1.58%	0	1.3	93	0
2	Nov_22_2016	29.97	34.83	37.52	38.25			38.63(-0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	91	-10000	4	350	12.34	77%	0.3	63	1.58%	0	1.3	91	0
3	Nov_21_2016	29.88	34.47	36.94	38.14			38.65(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	98	-10000	8	367	10.12	77%	0.5	66.4	1.58%	0	1.5	86	0
4	Nov_18_2016	29.73	34.1	36.34	37.91			38.52(1.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	103	-10000	13	374	16.41	77%	0.47	70.7	1.58%	0	1.6	84	0
5	Nov_17_2016	29.59	33.75	35.63	37.54			38.09(1.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	99	-10000	13	356	12.68	77%	0.48	73.8	1.58%	0	1.7	83	0

6	Nov_16_2016	29.45	33.39	34.96	37.17			37.34(-2.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	98	-10000	18	337	18.23	76%	0.51	77.7	1.57%	0	1.7	79	0
7	Nov_15_2016	29.3	33.07	34.37	36.66			38.12(1.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	111	-10000	41	322	18.61	80%	0.55	78.4	1.55%	0	2.2	85	0
8	Nov_14_2016	29.14	32.67	33.71	35.54			37.5(2.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	92	-10000	38	253	25.62	79%	0.48	72.9	1.55%	0	2.4	85	0
9	Nov_11_2016	29	32.29	33.13	34.52			36.68(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	81	-10000	42	196	22.85	78%	0.38	66.5	1.54%	0	2.6	83	0
10	Nov_10_2016	28.89	31.96	32.62	33.43			36.23(4.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2	62	-10000	40	126	38.59	78%	0.42	57.5	1.54%	0	3.1	81	0

11	Nov_9_2016	28.77	31.63	32.18	32.44			34.8(7.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.3	39	-10000	29	70	28.31	75%	0.35	48.1	1.48%	0	3.1	80	0
12	Nov_8_2016	28.67	31.39	31.85	31.75			32.49(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	11	-10000	7	24	7.37	69%	0.28	36.4	1.21%	0	1.5	68	0
13	Nov_7_2016	28.59	31.29	31.76	31.61			32.4(3.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	9	-10000	4	25	11.33	69%	0.32	34.4	1.21%	0	1.6	73	0
14	Nov_4_2016	28.5	31.21	31.67	31.53			31.24(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-10000	-8	37	7.9	68%	0.28	37.5	1.17%	0	0	70	0
15	Nov_3_2016	28.42	31.18	31.67	31.67			31.26(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	10	-10000	-10	69	8.17	68%	0.28	45.3	1.17%	0	0.1	65	0

16	Nov_2_2016	28.34	31.15	31.67	31.86			31.37(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	23	-10000	-5	107	8.9	68%	0.28	62.7	1.18%	0	0.3	70	0
17	Nov_1_2016	28.26	31.13	31.72	31.95			31.79(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	35	-10000	2	134	8.99	71%	0.28	70.6	1.19%	0	1	72	0
18	Oct_31_2016	28.18	31.05	31.61	31.91			31.99(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	-10000	4	137	8.69	71%	0.28	74	1.19%	0	1.4	70	0
19	Oct_28_2016	28.1	30.97	31.43	31.84			31.94(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	-10000	3	121	10.18	71%	0.29	81.4	1.2%	0	1.5	62	0
20	Oct_27_2016	28.02	30.88	31.28	31.78			32.23(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	38	-10000	11	120	12.61	71%	0.25	77.3	1.19%	0	2	68	0

21	Oct_26_2016	27.95	30.74	31.06	31.57			31.82(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	6	92	9.11	70%	0.25	67.3	1.18%	0	1.7	64	0
22	Oct_25_2016	27.88	30.65	30.9	31.45			31.59(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-10000	11	76	7.91	70%	0.22	63.3	1.18%	0	1.6	59	0
23	Oct_24_2016	27.82	30.56	30.78	31.25			31.62(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	-10000	16	63	9.22	70%	0.25	52	1.18%	0	1.8	65	0
24	Oct_21_2016	27.75	30.45	30.69	30.95			31.67(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	22	-10000	14	44	13.91	70%	0.22	37.6	1.18%	0	2.2	66	0
25	Oct_20_2016	27.69	30.37	30.58	30.69			31.16(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	15	-10000	12	23	10.65	68%		31.6	1.17%	0	1.7	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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