Trading Signals: MS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 26, 2016

Trading Signals: MS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Morgan Stanley)
MS latest price $27.4973 (0.35%) ($27.1574 - $27.5430) on Tue. Jul. 26, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.18% (three month average)
RSI   95
Latest Price   $27.4973(0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MS advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MS advances 5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(78%)    XHB(58%)    GDXJ(13%)    IBUY(12%)    XBI(11%)
Factors Impacting MS price   MS will decline at least -1.09% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-15%)    XLU(-11%)    EMHY(-11%)    BND(-11%)    INDA(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.09% (StdDev 2.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.27(0.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.8(2.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.59(7.45%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   23.8%
Market Cap   $43.339b

Morgan Stanley provides investment banking products and services to its clients and customers including corporations, governments, financial institutions, and individuals. It operates through the following business segments: Institutional Securities, Wealth Management, and Investment Management. The Institutional Services segment provides financial advisory, capital-raising services, and related financing services on behalf of institutional investors. The Wealth Management segment offers brokerage and investment advisory services covering various types of investments, including equities, options, futures, foreign currencies, precious metals, fixed-income securities, mutual funds, structured products, alternative investments, unit investment trusts, managed futures, separately managed accounts, and mutual fund asset allocation programs. The Investment Management segment provides equity, fixed income, alternative investments, real estate, and merchant banking strategies. The company was founded by Harold Stanley and Henry S. Morgan on September 16, 1935 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. MS price fluctuates within 5.55% (three month std-dev: 2.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160826

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_26_2016	24.63	25.59	26.8	27.27			27.5(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	41	-10000	7	141	15.02	53%	0.12	60.5	2.18%	0	1.3	95	0
2	Jul_25_2016	24.6	25.33	26.62	27.07			27.4(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	43	-10000	6	155	10.62	53%	0.12	47	2.18%	0	1.4	95	0
3	Jul_22_2016	24.57	25.12	26.38	26.9			27.2(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	43	-10000	6	155	13	53%	0.12	42	2.18%	0	1.4	76	0
4	Jul_21_2016	24.54	25.02	26.14	26.73			27.16(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	-10000	6	151	20.36	53%	0.12	48.2	2.19%	0	1.5	75	0
5	Jul_20_2016	24.51	24.89	25.85	26.56			27.07(2.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	46	-10000	10	152	28.61	56%	0.12	54.1	2.19%	0	1.6	78	0

6	Jul_19_2016	24.48	24.76	25.52	26.26			26.52(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	-10000	5	139	21.51	58%	0.12	57.5	2.22%	0	1.4	80	0
7	Jul_18_2016	24.45	24.65	25.22	26.1			26.54(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	45	-10000	11	148	14.08	58%	0.12	60.6	2.25%	0	1.6	83	0
8	Jul_15_2016	24.42	24.5	25	25.77			26.35(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	-10000	10	144	18.52	58%	0.16	55.3	2.25%	0	1.7	71	0
9	Jul_14_2016	24.38	24.36	24.79	25.47			26.34(3.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	41	-10000	16	117	15.44	58%	0.16	47	2.26%	0	2	52	0
10	Jul_13_2016	24.34	24.2	24.52	25.03			25.55(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	-10000	14	81	12.91	59%	0.12	29.8	2.23%	0	1.5	53	0

11	Jul_12_2016	24.31	24.07	24.28	24.65			25.75(3.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	23	-10000	16	43	15.52	59%	0.12	9.8	2.32%	0	1.9	55	0
12	Jul_11_2016	24.28	23.97	23.93	24.21			24.89(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	1	-10000	4	-9	13.21	57%	0.12	-13.3	2.29%	0	1.2	53	0
13	Jul_8_2016	24.25	23.92	23.75	24.11			24.81(2.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-4	-10000	3	-23	14.14	57%	0.08	-23.3	2.3%	0	1.2	56	0
14	Jul_7_2016	24.23	23.89	23.8	24.03			24.17(2.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	-10000	3	-8	13.43	53%	0.08	-33.1	2.28%	0	0.4	55	0
15	Jul_6_2016	24.21	23.93	23.85	23.95			23.66(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	4	-10000	4	2	14.16	53%	0.04	-40.2	2.29%	0	-0.3	54	0

16	Jul_5_2016	24.2	23.99	23.95	23.84			23.52(-3.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	11	-10000	10	13	13.32	53%	0.08	-46.7	2.29%	0	-0.6	55	0
17	Jul_1_2016	24.18	24.07	24.03	23.58			24.38(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	8	-10000	10	3	8.86	56%	0.17	-56.7	2.27%	0	0.4	54	0
18	Jun_30_2016	24.14	24.09	23.97	23.32			24.44(2.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.2	-12	-10000	-9	-22	19.74	56%	0.12	-65.1	2.26%	0	0.4	53	0
19	Jun_29_2016	24.11	24.15	23.89	23.57			23.73(2.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-10	-10000	-8	-17	13.76	54%	0.12	-57.2	2.24%	0	-0.4	46	0
20	Jun_28_2016	24.08	24.25	23.85	23.78			23.15(4.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-10000	-11	-22	19.79	51%	0.08	-48.9	2.22%	0	-1.1	40	0

21	Jun_27_2016	24.06	24.37	23.86	24.08			22.21(-3.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-18	-10000	-16	-24	25.79	47%	-0.04	-40.2	2.16%	0	-2.2	33	0
22	Jun_24_2016	24.07	24.56	24.04	24.51			23.07(-10.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-7	-10000	-6	-8	49.31	51%	0	-28	2.13%	0	-1.6	35	0
23	Jun_23_2016	24.07	24.7	24.14	24.66			25.67(3.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	15	-10000	20	-0	18.03	65%	0.12	-21.3	1.71%	0	1.1	54	0
24	Jun_22_2016	24.04	24.71	24.01	24.25			24.82(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	-10000	16	-51	14.54	62%	0.08	-31	1.68%	0	0.1	39	0
25	Jun_21_2016	24.02	24.76	24	23.93			24.65(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-11	-10000	15	-90	12.36	62%		-33.9	1.68%	0	-0.1	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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