Trading Signals: MS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: MS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Morgan Stanley)
MS latest price $23.6415 (-2.21%) ($23.5760 - $24.2028) on Wed. Mar. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.68% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $23.6415(-2.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MS advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MS advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(77%)    XHB(58%)    XBI(13%)    XLF(13%)    XLB(12%)
Factors Impacting MS price   MS will decline at least -1.34% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-17%)    XLU(-12%)    BND(-12%)    EMHY(-10%)    BNDX(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.34% (StdDev 2.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.2%

Resistance Level   $23.91
5 Day Moving Average   $24.17(-2.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.99(-1.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.91(-1.12%)
To recent high   -22%
To recent low   16.5%
Market Cap   $37.261b

Morgan Stanley provides investment banking products and services to its clients and customers including corporations, governments, financial institutions, and individuals. It operates through the following business segments: Institutional Securities, Wealth Management, and Investment Management. The Institutional Services segment provides financial advisory, capital-raising services, and related financing services on behalf of institutional investors. The Wealth Management segment offers brokerage and investment advisory services covering various types of investments, including equities, options, futures, foreign currencies, precious metals, fixed-income securities, mutual funds, structured products, alternative investments, unit investment trusts, managed futures, separately managed accounts, and mutual fund asset allocation programs. The Investment Management segment provides equity, fixed income, alternative investments, real estate, and merchant banking strategies. The company was founded by Harold Stanley and Henry S. Morgan on September 16, 1935 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. MS price fluctuates within 2.68% (three month std-dev: 2.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160423

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_23_2016	26.94	23.91	23.99	24.17			23.64(-2.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	4	-10000	1	13	10.43	41%	-0.26	65.3	2.68%	0	-0.4	43	0
2	Mar_22_2016	27.01	23.85	23.94	24.15			24.17(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	2	-10000	2	1	13.62	41%	-0.3	54.2	2.68%	0	0.4	47	0
3	Mar_21_2016	27.09	23.76	23.94	24.15			24.27(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-3	-10000	0	-13	10.05	41%	-0.22	51.1	2.69%	0	0.7	48	0
4	Mar_18_2016	27.15	23.69	23.87	24.07			24.59(1.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	-10000	2	-2	24.03	39%	-0.26	56.8	2.7%	0	1.2	64	0
5	Mar_17_2016	27.22	23.59	23.84	24.02			24.18(2.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	-10000	7	5	20.72	38%	-0.26	68.3	2.71%	0	0.8	56	0

6	Mar_16_2016	27.29	23.5	23.86	23.79			23.54(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	3	-10000	3	4	17.84	38%	-0.26	67	2.72%	0	0.1	57	0
7	Mar_15_2016	27.36	23.46	23.94	23.69			23.79(-1.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	2	17	15.9	40%	-0.22	67.8	2.74%	0	0.4	66	0
8	Mar_14_2016	27.42	23.38	24	23.61			24.24(-0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	7	-10000	-1	30	17.6	40%	-0.25	69.8	2.76%	0	1	70	0
9	Mar_11_2016	27.49	23.26	23.9	23.64			24.32(5.48%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	8	-10000	-1	34	24.46	38%	-0.22	61.8	2.76%	0	1.2	61	0
10	Mar_10_2016	27.55	23.06	23.82	23.67			23.06(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	4	-10000	-9	44	20.12	34%	-0.22	39.7	2.7%	0	0	58	0

11	Mar_9_2016	27.61	22.98	23.83	23.95			23.02(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	10	-10000	-9	66	23.54	34%	-0.25	38.8	2.7%	0	0	58	0
12	Mar_8_2016	27.68	22.91	23.77	24.23			23.4(-4.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	16	-10000	-6	80	21.72	33%	-0.25	38.6	2.7%	0	0.4	58	0
13	Mar_7_2016	27.75	22.81	23.67	24.43			24.41(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	31	-10000	8	100	9.84	34%	-0.25	31.8	2.67%	0	1.3	71	0
14	Mar_4_2016	27.82	22.71	23.52	24.17			24.45(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-10000	6	100	13.63	36%	-0.25	21.5	2.67%	0	1.5	75	0
15	Mar_3_2016	27.89	22.65	23.32	23.99			24.46(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	35	-10000	9	113	11.52	36%	-0.21	17.7	2.7%	0	1.6	81	0

16	Mar_2_2016	27.95	22.55	23.11	23.71			24.43(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	-10000	14	113	16.12	36%	-0.21	7.1	2.7%	0	1.8	69	0
17	Mar_1_2016	28.01	22.46	22.92	23.26			24.41(5.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	37	-10000	15	101	17.2	37%	-0.21	-9.8	2.7%	0	2.1	67	0
18	Feb_29_2016	28.07	22.43	22.69	22.81			23.11(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	1	85	13.3	34%	-0.28	-19.9	2.61%	0	0.8	64	0
19	Feb_26_2016	28.15	22.47	22.55	22.78			23.54(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	-10000	8	77	19.26	34%	-0.25	-17.8	2.61%	0	1.1	53	0
20	Feb_25_2016	28.22	22.46	22.23	22.56			23.04(3.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	4	34	17.57	34%	-0.28	-22	2.61%	0	0.6	47	0

21	Feb_24_2016	28.3	22.48	22.05	22.44			22.18(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-10000	-3	11	20.27	31%	-0.28	-23.9	2.55%	0	-0.3	47	0
22	Feb_23_2016	28.38	22.55	21.98	22.44			22.18(-3.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	1	-10000	0	4	14.73	31%	-0.28	-23.9	2.55%	0	-0.4	46	0
23	Feb_22_2016	28.46	22.6	21.89	22.54			22.96(2.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	-10000	10	-20	12.18	32%	-0.21	-27.6	2.52%	0	0.3	43	0
24	Feb_19_2016	28.52	22.64	21.85	22.27			22.45(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	-10000	16	-48	12.99	32%	-0.24	-40.2	2.5%	0	-0.2	39	0
25	Feb_18_2016	28.59	22.67	21.92	21.83			22.42(-1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-14	-10000	8	-79	17.52	32%		-59.2	2.5%	0	-0.2	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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