Trading Signals: MS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MS: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Sep. 4, 2015

Trading Signals: MS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Morgan Stanley)
MS latest price $30.7247 (-1.8%) ($30.4053 - $31.0487) on Fri. Sep. 4, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.72% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $30.7247(-1.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MS declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MS declines -4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(78%)    XHB(59%)    XLF(19%)    XBI(17%)    XLB(17%)
Factors Impacting MS price   MS will decline at least -0.86% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-18%)    BND(-13%)    XLU(-9%)    VIXM(-9%)    TLT(-9%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.86% (StdDev 1.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

Resistance Level   $32.67
5 Day Moving Average   $31.17(-1.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.94(-0.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.67(-5.95%)
To recent high   -17.8%
To recent low   4.5%
Market Cap   $48.425b

Morgan Stanley provides investment banking products and services to its clients and customers including corporations, governments, financial institutions, and individuals. It operates through the following business segments: Institutional Securities, Wealth Management, and Investment Management. The Institutional Services segment provides financial advisory, capital-raising services, and related financing services on behalf of institutional investors. The Wealth Management segment offers brokerage and investment advisory services covering various types of investments, including equities, options, futures, foreign currencies, precious metals, fixed-income securities, mutual funds, structured products, alternative investments, unit investment trusts, managed futures, separately managed accounts, and mutual fund asset allocation programs. The Investment Management segment provides equity, fixed income, alternative investments, real estate, and merchant banking strategies. The company was founded by Harold Stanley and Henry S. Morgan on September 16, 1935 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. MS price fluctuates within 6.58% (three month std-dev: 1.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151004

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_4_2015	35.09	32.67	30.94	31.17			30.72(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-41	-10000	-6	-144	12.77	39%	-0.11	-53.2	1.72%	0	-0.9	30	0
2	Sep_3_2015	35.13	32.91	31.03	31.33			31.29(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-45	-10000	-3	-170	11.67	40%	-0.09	-51.4	1.71%	0	-0.7	32	0
3	Sep_2_2015	35.16	33.14	31.22	31.42			31.28(2.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-42	-10000	3	-178	12.15	40%	-0.06	-50.7	1.72%	0	-0.8	34	0
4	Sep_1_2015	35.18	33.38	31.53	31.33			30.66(-3.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-40	-10000	9	-186	14.59	38%	-0.09	-52.5	1.7%	0	-1.2	31	0
5	Aug_31_2015	35.21	33.65	31.94	31.08			31.89(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-40	-10000	16	-207	13.39	41%	-0.03	-57.6	1.64%	0	-0.8	34	0

6	Aug_28_2015	35.22	33.85	32.25	30.67			31.52(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-63	-10000	-1	-247	13.19	40%	-0.09	-63.8	1.64%	0	-1.1	28	0
7	Aug_27_2015	35.25	34.08	32.6	30.7			31.75(3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-75	-10000	-14	-257	21.26	42%	-0.03	-65.8	1.64%	0	-1.1	32	0
8	Aug_26_2015	35.26	34.31	32.91	31.05			30.83(4.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-88	-10000	-30	-260	25.35	39%	-0.06	-64.4	1.62%	0	-1.6	25	0
9	Aug_25_2015	35.28	34.6	33.32	31.82			29.4(-1.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-99	-10000	-46	-257	19.89	32%	-0.11	-61.9	1.49%	0	-2.6	12	0
10	Aug_24_2015	35.32	34.96	33.92	32.94			29.86(-5.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.9	-82	-10000	-43	-197	24.62	34%	-0.17	-60.9	1.5%	0	-3.2	14	0

11	Aug_21_2015	35.38	35.3	34.58	34.03			31.67(-5.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.1	-58	-10000	-31	-139	30.19	38%	-0.03	-65.6	1.33%	0	-3.3	20	0
12	Aug_20_2015	35.39	35.56	35.01	34.74			33.48(-3.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-35	-10000	-14	-99	14.13	44%	0	-73.1	1.16%	0	-2.7	26	0
13	Aug_19_2015	35.39	35.74	35.27	35.03			34.66(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-10000	-1	-82	8.55	49%	0.06	-70.4	1.08%	0	-1.5	29	0
14	Aug_18_2015	35.37	35.87	35.42	35.05			35.01(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-10000	-1	-84	8.79	49%	0.06	-67.4	1.08%	0	-1.3	32	0
15	Aug_17_2015	35.35	35.97	35.52	35.07			35.31(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-29	-10000	-9	-89	5.11	49%	0.08	-65.1	1.09%	0	-1	38	0

16	Aug_14_2015	35.32	36.05	35.57	35.25			35.22(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-24	-10000	-5	-79	5.03	49%	0.06	-53.9	1.09%	0	-1.2	37	0
17	Aug_13_2015	35.3	36.14	35.65	35.34			34.95(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-10000	-11	-81	6.55	49%	0.09	-42.7	1.1%	0	-1.8	29	0
18	Aug_12_2015	35.27	36.24	35.79	35.56			34.78(-0.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-29	-10000	-14	-72	14.09	47%	0.03	-25.6	1.1%	0	-2.4	23	0
19	Aug_11_2015	35.26	36.33	35.96	35.83			35.1(-2.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-23	-10000	-9	-63	11.19	47%	0.06	-0.7	1.1%	0	-2.4	21	0
20	Aug_10_2015	35.24	36.33	35.96	36.01			36.18(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	-10000	3	-56	5.59	52%	0.09	22	1.04%	0	-0.6	38	0

21	Aug_7_2015	35.21	36.42	36.08	35.95			35.71(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-10000	-3	-76	8.33	52%	0.06	21.4	1.04%	0	-1.5	30	0
22	Aug_6_2015	35.19	36.43	36.16	36			36.04(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-23	-10000	-4	-81	7.57	52%	0.06	18.9	1.04%	0	-0.8	32	0
23	Aug_5_2015	35.17	36.39	36.23	36.07			36.1(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-21	-10000	-3	-75	4.98	52%	0.09	10.7	1.05%	0	-0.5	39	0
24	Aug_4_2015	35.14	36.34	36.35	36.12			36.03(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-10000	-2	-60	6.37	52%	0.06	6.4	1.06%	0	-0.5	42	0
25	Aug_3_2015	35.12	36.32	36.44	36.16			35.88(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-10000	-3	-54	7.08	52%		9.8	1.07%	0	-0.7	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.