Trading Signals: MS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MS: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jan. 23, 2015

Trading Signals: MS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Morgan Stanley)
MS latest price $32.1904 (-1.07%) ($32.1720 - $32.8223) on Fri. Jan. 23, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.35% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $32.1904(-1.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MS advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MS declines -3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(78%)    XHB(59%)    XLF(21%)    XLB(19%)    XLY(19%)
Factors Impacting MS price   MS will decline at least -0.675% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-19%)    BND(-14%)    VIXM(-11%)    TLT(-11%)    BNDX(-10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.675% (StdDev 1.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $24.39(-24.23%)
Resistance Level   $33.59
5 Day Moving Average   $32.06(0.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.4(-0.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.59(-4.17%)
To recent high   -9.9%
To recent low   3.8%
Market Cap   $50.735b

Morgan Stanley provides investment banking products and services to its clients and customers including corporations, governments, financial institutions, and individuals. It operates through the following business segments: Institutional Securities, Wealth Management, and Investment Management. The Institutional Services segment provides financial advisory, capital-raising services, and related financing services on behalf of institutional investors. The Wealth Management segment offers brokerage and investment advisory services covering various types of investments, including equities, options, futures, foreign currencies, precious metals, fixed-income securities, mutual funds, structured products, alternative investments, unit investment trusts, managed futures, separately managed accounts, and mutual fund asset allocation programs. The Investment Management segment provides equity, fixed income, alternative investments, real estate, and merchant banking strategies. The company was founded by Harold Stanley and Henry S. Morgan on September 16, 1935 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. MS price fluctuates within 4.26% (three month std-dev: 1.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150223

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_23_2015	32.5	33.59	32.4	32.06			32.19(-1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-31	-10000	5	-140	10.97	53%	0	-51.6	1.35%	0	-1	27	0
2	Jan_22_2015	32.5	33.76	32.6	31.96			32.54(2.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-39	-10000	3	-165	18.79	50%	0.03	-44.6	1.35%	0	-0.9	28	0
3	Jan_21_2015	32.49	33.9	32.72	31.9			31.81(-0.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-58	-10000	-11	-198	15.83	50%	0.03	-37.8	1.35%	0	-1.4	20	0
4	Jan_20_2015	32.48	34.08	32.88	32.14			31.82(-0.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-62	-10000	-13	-209	19.4	50%	0	-28.4	1.37%	0	-1.6	20	0
5	Jan_16_2015	32.48	34.24	33.13	32.43			31.95(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-63	-10000	-16	-203	27.06	53%	0.03	-22.5	1.38%	0	-1.7	24	0

6	Jan_15_2015	32.47	34.35	33.47	32.8			31.67(-1.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-64	-10000	-23	-185	17.57	53%	0.03	-18.7	1.38%	0	-2.2	20	0
7	Jan_14_2015	32.46	34.41	33.86	33.33			32.25(-2.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-48	-10000	-14	-150	15.9	55%	0	-17.9	1.37%	0	-2	22	0
8	Jan_13_2015	32.46	34.47	34.21	33.65			33(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-10000	-3	-124	12.45	58%	0.06	-18.4	1.34%	0	-1.4	30	0
9	Jan_12_2015	32.44	34.49	34.48	33.72			33.31(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-37	-10000	-9	-120	9.39	58%	0.09	-20.2	1.33%	0	-1.1	33	0
10	Jan_9_2015	32.41	34.55	34.7	33.93			33.77(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-10000	-14	-103	7.81	55%	0.12	-12.5	1.33%	0	-0.7	41	0

11	Jan_8_2015	32.37	34.58	34.88	34.26			34.33(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-21	-10000	-10	-55	8.08	59%	0.15	-0.3	1.38%	0	-0.2	60	0
12	Jan_7_2015	32.32	34.61	35.02	34.5			33.83(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-14	-10000	-16	-7	9.96	54%	0.12	15.4	1.38%	0	-0.8	66	0
13	Jan_6_2015	32.28	34.66	35.18	34.88			33.35(-2.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-3	-10000	-18	44	16.51	52%	0.12	38.4	1.42%	0	-1.3	59	0
14	Jan_5_2015	32.24	34.7	35.39	35.34			34.34(-3.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	21	-10000	-9	109	12.51	56%	0.16	63.1	1.37%	0	-0.4	64	0
15	Jan_2_2015	32.19	34.68	35.46	35.57			35.45(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	35	-10000	-1	142	7.33	64%	0.28	77.7	1.33%	0	0.8	60	0

16	Dec_31_2014	32.1	34.58	35.3	35.59			35.53(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	34	-10000	-1	140	6.49	61%	0.19	83	1.33%	0	1	61	0
17	Dec_30_2014	32.04	34.45	35.02	35.61			35.72(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	-10000	3	118	4.01	61%	0.22	82.1	1.35%	0	1.2	55	0
18	Dec_29_2014	31.97	34.27	34.75	35.53			35.68(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	3	92	3.47	61%	0.19	74.8	1.35%	0	1.3	56	0
19	Dec_26_2014	31.91	34.1	34.51	35.45			35.46(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	23	-10000	5	78	3.09	62%	0.31	69.8	1.36%	0	1.2	60	0
20	Dec_24_2014	31.81	33.93	34.38	35.34			35.54(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10000	16	81	2.5	59%	0.22	64.9	1.38%	0	1.4	63	0

21	Dec_23_2014	31.74	33.77	34.23	34.96			35.67(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	38	-10000	27	69	5.87	59%	0.22	56.5	1.38%	0	1.7	65	0
22	Dec_22_2014	31.67	33.61	34.13	34.33			35.32(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	-10000	21	47	8.65	56%	0.22	44	1.38%	0	1.6	68	0
23	Dec_19_2014	31.6	33.47	34.06	33.85			35.27(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	24	-10000	18	42	12.53	56%	0.16	32.8	1.4%	0	1.8	71	0
24	Dec_18_2014	31.55	33.32	33.93	33.43			34.89(3.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	12	-10000	6	31	12.77	58%	0.16	21.3	1.4%	0	1.7	70	0
25	Dec_17_2014	31.5	33.2	33.8	33.3			33.64(3.41%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	6	-10000	-5	38	11.92	56%		16.6	1.34%	0	0.5	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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