Trading Signals: MS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MS: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. May. 13, 2014

Trading Signals: MS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Morgan Stanley)
MS latest price $27.6116 (0%) ($27.4842 - $27.7800) on Tue. May. 13, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.6% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $27.6116(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MS advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MS declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(59%)    XLF(23%)    XLB(20%)    XLY(20%)    VT(19%)
Factors Impacting MS price   MS will decline at least -0.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-19%)    TLT(-12%)    BNDX(-10%)    TIP(-8%)    IGOV(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.8% (StdDev 1.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.26(1.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.48(0.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.61(0.01%)
To recent high   -7.2%
To recent low   6.9%
Market Cap   $43.519b

Morgan Stanley provides investment banking products and services to its clients and customers including corporations, governments, financial institutions, and individuals. It operates through the following business segments: Institutional Securities, Wealth Management, and Investment Management. The Institutional Services segment provides financial advisory, capital-raising services, and related financing services on behalf of institutional investors. The Wealth Management segment offers brokerage and investment advisory services covering various types of investments, including equities, options, futures, foreign currencies, precious metals, fixed-income securities, mutual funds, structured products, alternative investments, unit investment trusts, managed futures, separately managed accounts, and mutual fund asset allocation programs. The Investment Management segment provides equity, fixed income, alternative investments, real estate, and merchant banking strategies. The company was founded by Harold Stanley and Henry S. Morgan on September 16, 1935 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. MS price fluctuates within 1.85% (three month std-dev: 1.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140613

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_13_2014	27.82	27.61	27.48	27.26			27.61(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	-10000	7	-35	7.96	44%	-0.04	27	1.6%	0	0	43	0
2	May_12_2014	27.83	27.55	27.5	27.1			27.61(2.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-12	-10000	2	-55	10.2	44%	0	12.8	1.62%	0	0.1	42	0
3	May_9_2014	27.83	27.47	27.47	27.06			27.02(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-10000	-8	-74	10.06	40%	-0.11	-2	1.6%	0	-0.7	38	0
4	May_8_2014	27.86	27.46	27.54	27.24			27.03(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-10000	-13	-65	13.04	40%	-0.07	-4.2	1.62%	0	-0.6	41	0
5	May_7_2014	27.88	27.48	27.65	27.52			27.04(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-10000	-10	-33	12.46	40%	-0.07	-0.4	1.64%	0	-0.6	52	0

6	May_6_2014	27.9	27.47	27.77	27.74			26.82(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-7	-10000	-9	-1	16.29	40%	-0.11	-1.2	1.66%	0	-0.9	54	0
7	May_5_2014	27.93	27.48	27.92	27.94			27.37(-2.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	11	-10000	1	41	12.04	43%	-0.07	-3.1	1.65%	0	-0.2	64	0
8	May_2_2014	27.95	27.48	27.92	27.92			27.94(-1.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	19	-10000	2	68	11.47	45%	0	-7	1.64%	0	0.6	74	0
9	May_1_2014	27.95	27.49	28	27.88			28.42(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	-10000	3	85	10.11	48%	0.07	-8	1.64%	0	1.3	68	0
10	Apr_30_2014	27.93	27.49	27.87	27.81			28.16(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	-0	76	11.02	48%	0	-9.8	1.66%	0	0.9	55	0

11	Apr_29_2014	27.93	27.48	27.74	27.82			27.78(1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	16	-10000	-4	76	10.42	48%	0	-11.7	1.67%	0	0.4	58	0
12	Apr_28_2014	27.93	27.5	27.62	27.92			27.3(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	15	-10000	-7	81	15.3	45%	-0.07	-14.7	1.66%	0	-0.3	56	0
13	Apr_25_2014	27.95	27.54	27.49	28.08			27.75(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	19	-10000	-1	77	8.37	45%	-0.04	-17.8	1.66%	0	0.3	51	0
14	Apr_24_2014	27.96	27.54	27.37	28.11			28.07(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-10000	8	65	8.44	45%	0	-26.5	1.68%	0	0.7	48	0
15	Apr_23_2014	27.96	27.55	27.3	27.92			28.17(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	11	39	9.38	45%	0.04	-36	1.71%	0	0.8	46	0

16	Apr_22_2014	27.95	27.57	27.16	27.65			28.31(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-10000	16	4	10.8	45%	0.07	-45.2	1.74%	0	0.9	48	0
17	Apr_21_2014	27.93	27.61	26.99	27.27			28.11(0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	5	-10000	19	-39	10.7	45%	0	-48.1	1.77%	0	0.6	47	0
18	Apr_17_2014	27.93	27.67	26.92	26.81			27.91(2.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-11	-10000	11	-78	22.97	45%	0	0	1.8%	0	0.2	48	0
19	Apr_16_2014	27.93	27.75	26.91	26.54			27.12(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-29	-10000	-3	-108	14.2	38%	-0.11	0	1.72%	0	-0.6	42	0
20	Apr_15_2014	27.96	27.84	27.03	26.6			26.81(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-25	-10000	0	-101	16.66	38%	-0.21	0	1.74%	0	-1	36	0

21	Apr_14_2014	28.02	27.94	27.17	26.59			26.37(2.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-10000	-4	-109	12.51	38%	-0.28	0	1.72%	0	-1.5	29	0
22	Apr_11_2014	28.1	28.05	27.36	26.68			25.83(-2.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-43	-10000	-15	-126	21.45	32%	-0.43	0	1.67%	0	-2.2	19	0
23	Apr_10_2014	28.22	28.05	27.6	27.02			26.54(-3.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-12	-10000	-14	-6	13.45	36%	-0.32	0	1.64%	0	30.2	21	0
24	Apr_9_2014	28.31	28.05	27.76	27.33			27.42(2.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	-10000	-10	-4	10.69	44%	-0.21	0	1.53%	0	33.9	23	0
25	Apr_8_2014	28.37	28.05	27.85	27.54			26.8(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-14	-10000	-16	-6	13.23	34%		0	1.43%	0	33.5	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.