Trading Signals: MRO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 31, 2022

Trading Signals: MRO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Marathon Oil Corporation)
MRO latest price $30.4500 (0.96%) ($29.6400 - $30.8500) on Mon. Oct. 31, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.29% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $30.4500(0.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MRO advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MRO advances 5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MRO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(83%)    IWD(54%)    IWN(52%)    IWM(50%)    DIA(47%)
Factors Impacting MRO price   MRO will decline at least -1.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-22%)    BNDX(-22%)    UUP(-14%)    VIXM(-9%)    VXX(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.645% (StdDev 3.29%)
Hourly BBV 0.2 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.19(0.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.43(3.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.48(6.92%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   44.4%
Market Cap   $24.177b

$. MRO price fluctuates within 4.99% (three month std-dev: 3.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 5.73%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.24%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.31%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 5.21%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20221201

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_31_2022	24.79	28.48	29.43	30.19	30.41	30.32	30.45(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	0	1	92	10.77	56%	0	132.9	3.29%	0.2	1.4	74	2.2
2	Oct_28_2022	24.79	28.21	29.11	30	30.23	30.63	30.16(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	120	9	88	10.93	56%	-0.04	115.2	3.31%	-0.9	1.1	68	1.4
3	Oct_27_2022	24.8	27.85	28.8	29.79	29.95	30.51	30.52(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	150	24	84	12.94	58%	-0.04	101.8	3.31%	0.5	1.3	65	1.8
4	Oct_26_2022	24.81	27.47	28.57	29.34	29.44	29.83	30.18(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	100	18	66	11.52	58%	-0.08	85.8	3.34%	0.9	1.3	61	1.3
5	Oct_25_2022	24.83	27.11	28.28	28.97	29.03	29.39	29.65(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	90	17	55	9.48	61%	-0.08	68.4	3.34%	1	1.1	65	1.4

6	Oct_24_2022	24.85	26.71	28.02	28.55	28.66	29.05	29.47(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	110	19	44	9.51	61%	-0.12	50.6	3.43%	1.3	1.1	68	1.1
7	Oct_21_2022	24.88	26.3	27.81	28.09	28.19	28.67	29.15(3.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	130	18	42	12.49	61%	-0.08	35.6	3.44%	1.6	1.1	74	0.9
8	Oct_20_2022	24.9	25.94	27.67	27.67	27.86	28.27	28.23(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	120	10	57	11.26	61%	-0.12	24.2	3.45%	0.4	0.9	79	1.4
9	Oct_19_2022	24.93	25.75	27.66	27.69	27.62	27.72	28.35(2.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	30	20	9	92	11.93	63%	-0.12	21	3.45%	1.8	1.1	78	0.3
10	Oct_18_2022	24.96	25.58	27.55	27.5	27.55	27.44	27.56(1.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	29	-20	1	112	12.59	63%	0.12	15.5	3.48%	0.9	0.8	77	0.6

11	Oct_17_2022	24.93	25.48	27.45	27.4	27.48	27.53	27.14(0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	33	20	-3	142	15.46	63%	-0.16	13.3	3.49%	-0.7	0.7	80	0.5
12	Oct_14_2022	24.97	25.4	27.26	27.48	27.37	27.66	27.05(-4.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	44	60	-1	177	11.16	63%	-0.12	11.8	3.5%	-1.1	0.7	81	0.8
13	Oct_13_2022	25	25.35	26.86	27.66	27.42	27.43	28.33(3.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	54	-20	4	202	13.7	66%	-0.04	14.1	3.45%	1.5	1.3	80	0.2
14	Oct_12_2022	25.01	25.24	26.33	27.65	27.55	27.08	27.44(1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	45	-130	-5	195	10.5	66%	0	16.8	3.44%	0.6	1	60	0.8
15	Oct_11_2022	25.01	25.22	25.87	27.6	27.65	27.42	27.04(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	41	-50	-6	181	11.45	66%	-0.08	21.5	3.46%	-1.4	0.8	56	0.6

16	Oct_10_2022	25.03	25.17	25.34	27.49	27.59	28.01	27.52(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	53	120	17	162	14.81	66%	0.04	22.3	3.46%	-1.3	1.1	55	0.6
17	Oct_7_2022	25.02	25.13	24.7	26.98	27.14	27.88	27.99(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	63	210	43	121	16.53	68%	0.04	19.4	3.46%	0.2	1.3	56	0.6
18	Oct_6_2022	25.01	25.03	24.08	25.9	26.18	27.18	28.27(3.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	48	300	47	50	14.67	68%	0.04	8.8	3.51%	1.5	1.5	55	1.1
19	Oct_5_2022	25	24.87	23.65	24.81	24.93	26.4	27.19(2.6%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	35	430	49	-7	16.41	63%	-0.04	-6	3.5%	1.3	1.2	49	1.7
20	Oct_4_2022	25.01	24.74	23.39	23.9	23.8	25.19	26.5(6.13%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.4	30	400	57	-52	14.07	63%	-0.04	-20.6	3.58%	1.3	0.9	45	1.9

21	Oct_3_2022	25.02	24.68	23.26	22.88	22.83	23.45	24.97(10.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	5	180	41	-103	16.45	60%	-0.08	-37.6	3.54%	1.7	0.2	43	0.6
22	Sep_30_2022	25.04	24.71	23.31	22.11	22.1	22.41	22.58(-0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-34	100	9	-164	17	55%	-0.12	-49.2	3.29%	0.2	-1.1	27	-0.2
23	Sep_29_2022	25.07	24.84	23.65	21.97	21.83	22.21	22.8(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-47	100	-4	-175	14.29	51%	-0.12	-56.6	3.29%	1.3	-1.1	34	0.8
24	Sep_28_2022	25.1	24.99	24.04	22.33	21.9	21.78	22.67(5.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-51	-100	-15	-158	16.68	53%	-0.04	-55.7	3.36%	2.3	-1.3	39	0.9
25	Sep_27_2022	25.11	25.15	24.49	22.83	22.66	21.46	21.39(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-65	-390	-40	-139	13.29	53%		-51.6	3.32%	-0.4	-2.2	36	-0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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