Trading Signals: MRNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 2, 2022

Trading Signals: MRNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 7, 2018 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Moderna, Inc)
MRNA latest price $182.3900 (1.04%) ($176.9900 - $182.3900) on Fri. Dec. 2, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.5% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $182.3900(1.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MRNA advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MRNA declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MRNA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(52%)    ICLN(39%)    IBUY(35%)    IWC(35%)    IWO(35%)
Factors Impacting MRNA price   MRNA will decline at least -1.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-9%)    TBT(-7%)    UUP(-3%)    XME(-2%)    XLP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.75% (StdDev 3.5%)
Hourly BBV 1 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $177.69(2.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $177.94(2.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $175.41(3.98%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   54.3%
Market Cap   $71.73b

Moderna, Inc. engages in the development of transformative medicines based on messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA). Its product pipeline includes the following modalities: prophylactic vaccines, cancer vaccines, intratumoral immuno-oncology, localized regenerative therapeutics, systemic secreted therapeutics, and systemic intracellular therapeutics. The company was founded by Noubar B. Afeyan, Robert S. Langer, Jr., Derrick J. Rose and Kenneth R. Chien in 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

July 7, 2020 MRNA, which has developed a vaccine candidate mRNA-1273, is in its phase 2 clinical trials. The mRNA is a molecule that genetically encodes a set of instructions, based on which cells make proteins and send them to various parts of the body.

$. MRNA price fluctuates within 4.34% (three month std-dev: 3.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 27 Average positive next day return: 1.1%(33%) Average negative next day return: -2.5%(67%) Sample size 27 Average positive next three day return: 3.59%(41%) Average negative next three day return: -4.61%(59%) Sample size 27 Average positive next weekly return: 5.17%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.72%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20230102

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_2_2022	150.78	175.41	177.94	177.69	177.9	180.78	182.39(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	120	51	6	2.76	55%	0.15	87.6	3.5%	1	0.9	66	0.6
2	Dec_1_2022	150.55	173.78	177.93	176.51	176.52	178.29	180.51(2.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	47	70	58	15	3.99	57%	0.06	69.2	3.5%	1.1	0.7	67	0.8
3	Nov_30_2022	150.46	172.27	178.31	175.68	175.51	175.03	176.08(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	2	-20	1	6	2.37	57%	0.01	62.4	3.52%	0.5	0.4	70	0.9
4	Nov_29_2022	150.44	171.26	179.19	176.31	175.58	174.75	173.99(-0.86%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-20	-50	-31	15	2.2	57%	-0.01	69.5	3.53%	-1.3	0.2	65	1.4
5	Nov_28_2022	150.45	170.16	179.76	176.95	176.91	176	175.5(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-40	-14	39	3.18	57%	-0.01	74.5	3.52%	-1.2	0.4	68	1.4

6	Nov_25_2022	150.46	168.99	179.49	178.17	177.33	176.42	176.49(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-14	-50	-35	51	1.21	57%	-0.03	83.9	3.56%	0	0.6	75	1.3
7	Nov_23_2022	150.5	167.45	178.83	179.54	178.59	177.83	176.35(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-50	-26	84	1.57	57%	0.13	87.9	3.54%	0.1	0.6	81	1.4
8	Nov_22_2022	150.3	165.81	177.7	181.34	180.33	178.24	179.24(1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-100	-32	110	2.68	57%	0.2	93.1	3.53%	0.1	0.9	83	1.3
9	Nov_21_2022	150	163.73	176.35	182.56	181.84	179.34	177.18(-2.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-17	-110	-62	119	2.13	57%	0.18	92.4	3.55%	-1.4	0.8	71	1.6
10	Nov_18_2022	149.73	161.59	175.14	182.92	183.88	182.42	181.59(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	29	-40	-15	159	3.54	54%	0.27	86.7	3.55%	-0.6	1.2	78	2.1

11	Nov_17_2022	149.33	158.97	172.87	180.87	183.25	184.35	183.34(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	58	80	20	171	2.53	51%	0.27	76.8	3.61%	-1.6	1.3	79	2.4
12	Nov_16_2022	148.93	155.78	169.42	177.89	180.3	185.34	185.35(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	115	240	91	188	3.22	49%	0.3	67.2	3.69%	0.7	1.6	84	2.5
13	Nov_15_2022	148.49	152.68	165.73	173.47	176.12	182.16	185.32(3.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	160	290	149	194	4.72	49%	0.28	61.8	3.74%	1.1	1.8	84	1.8
14	Nov_14_2022	148.08	150	162.52	169.34	170.61	175.27	179(4.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	125	210	108	176	6.18	49%	0.24	65	3.74%	1.2	1.8	85	2.3
15	Nov_11_2022	147.73	147.88	159.55	166.35	167.03	170.08	171.34(1.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	103	140	80	171	3.03	47%	0.19	70.1	3.7%	2	1.6	85	2.6

16	Nov_10_2022	147.45	145.91	157.44	163.71	165.15	165.94	168.42(3.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	91	60	62	176	4.12	47%	0.22	74.8	3.7%	1.8	1.6	86	0.9
17	Nov_9_2022	147.12	144.14	154.98	159.57	162.54	163.98	163.27(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	71	120	37	173	3.35	44%	0.22	74	3.69%	-0.5	1.5	88	-0.8
18	Nov_8_2022	146.79	142.47	152.88	156.61	158.64	164.36	164.68(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	110	290	82	194	3.08	44%	0.12	70	3.77%	0.9	1.7	81	-1.2
19	Nov_7_2022	146.61	140.25	150.07	154.6	154.59	161.1	164.04(3.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	156	290	137	211	4.42	44%	0.25	67.5	3.78%	1.5	1.9	68	-0.2
20	Nov_4_2022	146.24	138.16	146.94	151.84	152.24	152.92	158.15(7.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	107	40	85	171	7.54	44%	0.26	65.9	3.77%	1.9	1.7	61	-0.6

21	Nov_3_2022	145.86	136.19	143.99	150.38	150.26	148.09	147.69(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-11	-100	-51	109	8.77	48%	0.14	68	3.7%	-0.9	1	60	0.5
22	Nov_2_2022	145.66	135.05	141.26	149.64	151.07	151.55	148.48(-3.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	50	2	98	4.34	48%	0.19	70.9	4.19%	-2	1.2	59	0.5
23	Nov_1_2022	145.39	133.86	138.84	148.35	149.94	152.43	154.62(2.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	70	150	57	108	3.77	48%	0.26	71.9	4.16%	1.1	2	66	1.2
24	Oct_31_2022	145.01	132.33	136.59	144.72	146.8	150.59	150.24(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	83	220	74	109	3.1	48%	0.17	69.7	4.15%	0.8	1.9	70	2.2
25	Oct_28_2022	144.77	130.82	135.28	141.23	143.36	147.46	150.85(4.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	105	250	102	115	3.98	48%		64	4.18%	2	2.2	67	1.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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