Trading Signals: MRNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MRNA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 13, 2021

Trading Signals: MRNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 7, 2018 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Moderna, Inc)
MRNA latest price $322.3600 (3.55%) ($322.3600 - $322.3600) on Wed. Oct. 13, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.37% (three month average)
RSI   22
Latest Price   $322.3600(3.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MRNA advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MRNA declines -12.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MRNA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(64%)    IPO(46%)    ONLN(43%)    IBUY(42%)    IWO(42%)
Factors Impacting MRNA price   MRNA will decline at least -2.685% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    UUP(-16%)    USO(-9%)    TBT(-9%)    VXX(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.685% (StdDev 5.37%)
Hourly BBV 1.2 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $368.96
5 Day Moving Average   $311.01(3.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $323.1(-0.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $368.96(-12.63%)
To recent high   -33.1%
To recent low   36.4%
Market Cap   $126.777b

Moderna, Inc. engages in the development of transformative medicines based on messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA). Its product pipeline includes the following modalities: prophylactic vaccines, cancer vaccines, intratumoral immuno-oncology, localized regenerative therapeutics, systemic secreted therapeutics, and systemic intracellular therapeutics. The company was founded by Noubar B. Afeyan, Robert S. Langer, Jr., Derrick J. Rose and Kenneth R. Chien in 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

July 7, 2020 MRNA, which has developed a vaccine candidate mRNA-1273, is in its phase 2 clinical trials. The mRNA is a molecule that genetically encodes a set of instructions, based on which cells make proteins and send them to various parts of the body.

$. MRNA price fluctuates within 14.38% (three month std-dev: 5.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 2.29%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.91%(50%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 9.12%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -7.09%(56%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 15.99%(31%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.74%(69%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_13_2021	321.27	368.96	323.1	311.01	310.98	316.84	322.36(3.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	50	130	101	-102	11.83	62%	0.5	-55.3	5.37%	1.2	-0.9	22	1.5
2	Oct_12_2021	319.68	374.13	328.22	307.05	308.17	308.24	311.32(2.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-9	10	37	-147	9.85	62%	0.47	-58.6	5.37%	0.9	-1.2	20	1.4
3	Oct_11_2021	318.18	379.72	335.18	311.24	305.86	305.12	305.16(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-101	-70	-70	-192	7.33	62%	0.47	-58.4	5.38%	-0.3	-1.4	22	1.3
4	Oct_8_2021	316.7	387.06	345.2	314.94	312.64	308.1	305.09(-1.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-58	-120	-20	-171	10.34	64%	0.46	-54.8	5.38%	-0.9	-1.6	21	1.9
5	Oct_7_2021	315.26	394.88	357.4	322.22	317.29	306.6	311.11(2.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-172	-280	-157	-215	14.75	62%	0.5	-48.3	5.4%	-0.7	-1.7	21	1.4

6	Oct_6_2021	313.68	400.82	370.21	337.29	324.89	317.19	302.55(-8.95%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-229	-280	-231	-221	17.09	62%	0.47	-40.6	5.44%	-2.3	-2.2	20	0.7
7	Oct_5_2021	312.2	407.98	383.68	352.52	345.98	327.98	332.29(2.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-129	-420	-120	-156	11.21	65%	0.57	-29.7	5.3%	0.4	-2	27	0.5
8	Oct_4_2021	310.43	412.43	393.05	362.87	357.58	332.59	323.67(-5.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-360	-530	-396	-251	22.09	65%	0.54	-21.3	5.34%	-0.9	-2.5	26	-0.2
9	Oct_1_2021	308.76	416.75	404.1	379.86	372.67	363.98	341.5(-11.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-264	-220	-288	-190	32.65	65%	0.64	-10.8	5.29%	-1.1	-2.7	24	-0
10	Sep_30_2021	306.8	419.75	414.29	397.58	389.45	382.58	386.46(2.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-81	-180	-78	-88	8.78	70%	0.8	7.6	5.05%	0.2	-1.5	28	-0.8

11	Sep_29_2021	304.38	419.66	419.08	408.56	402.79	381.36	378.69(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-224	-410	-252	-140	11.17	71%	0.75	18.7	5.05%	-1	-1.9	41	-1.1
12	Sep_28_2021	302.11	419.74	424.22	419.8	418.46	396.32	384.03(-6.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-310	-380	-357	-168	15.48	71%	0.77	24.9	5.08%	-1.1	-1.7	39	-1.1
13	Sep_27_2021	299.79	419.99	428.36	427.63	431.17	424.22	408.6(-5.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-164	-90	-189	-88	12.97	73%	0.85	33.3	5%	-1.6	-0.5	52	1.3
14	Sep_24_2021	297.26	419.75	432.52	431.68	434.81	440.6	430.14(-2.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	110	40	23	12.98	76%	1.41	41.3	4.94%	0	0.4	61	1.8
15	Sep_22_2021	293.13	418.13	435.17	433.43	432.07	438.12	441.36(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	90	90	98	67	8.49	77%	0.94	43.5	4.93%	1.5	0.9	66	-0.6

16	Sep_21_2021	290.39	415.72	433.34	431.66	431.45	429.02	434.87(2.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	-40	35	52	8.93	77%	0.88	40.7	4.97%	1.8	0.8	68	-2.3
17	Sep_20_2021	287.86	414.43	433.55	429.82	430.86	426.02	423.17(-1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-56	-70	-82	21	11.94	77%	0.88	47.1	4.99%	-0.8	0.4	68	-1.6
18	Sep_17_2021	285.36	412.43	432.84	429.19	431.48	433.88	428.86(-2.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	8	50	-9	59	20.06	77%	0.91	43.5	5%	-1.6	0.7	65	0.2
19	Sep_16_2021	282.78	409.84	430.12	433.41	429.27	435.71	438.89(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	57	80	46	90	9.4	77%	0.95	44.7	4.98%	0.8	1.1	60	1.3
20	Sep_15_2021	280.13	407.69	425.49	437.41	432.04	429.09	432.52(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	41	-80	25	89	11.82	77%	0.92	53.8	4.99%	0.7	1	60	1.3

21	Sep_14_2021	277.59	405.97	420.25	435.41	438.67	422.84	425.66(1.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-83	-230	-119	25	14.03	75%	0.92	42.4	5.01%	-0.7	0.8	59	0.7
22	Sep_13_2021	275.06	403.41	415.12	437.8	437.88	434.99	420.02(-6.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-168	-50	-217	-20	14.9	75%	0.92	24.4	5.08%	-1.7	0.7	53	0.9
23	Sep_10_2021	272.55	401.85	411.46	436.32	442.33	454.49	449.95(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	190	230	203	149	11.97	78%	1.06	18.1	4.99%	0.6	2	66	0.4
24	Sep_9_2021	269.68	398.63	406.13	425.88	433	440.77	458.92(8.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	195	180	212	143	20.81	78%	1.11	1.7	4.98%	1.9	2.8	70	1
25	Sep_8_2021	266.71	394.73	399.33	412.05	417.68	430.17	422.51(-3.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	102	250	110	79	10.87	77%		-28.4	4.89%	0.2	1.7	56	1.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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