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     Tue. Nov. 3, 2020

Trading Signals: MRNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 7, 2018 - Fri. Jan. 15, 2021)

(Moderna, Inc)

MRNA latest price $69.0800 (2.94%) ($66.5900 - $69.2500) on Tue. Nov. 3, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Downtrend Pop
Trend Narrative  After Bottom
Average Daily Price Swing  $3.1 (4.34% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  3.54% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  -0.3% (StdDev 3.54%)
Daily Moving Force  -0.5%
Rebound Strength  None(0%)
Trend   -0.58%
Latest Price  $69.0800(2.94%)
Forecasted Low Price  67.91(-1.7%)
Forecasted High Price  69.7(0.9%)
Direction of Next Movement  Range(-0.5%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound  1.4% ((70.08))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  1.8%
Hourly Trend   -0.9% [$67.74(-0.62), $68.68(0.12)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  2
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  MRNA declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  MRNA declines -3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support MRNA decline at-0.5% a week (40% probability)
  IBB(44%)    IPO(43%)    XBI(42%)    EDOC(37%)    SMH(33%)  
Factors Impacting MRNA price  MRNA will advance at least 0.8% in a week (13% probabilities).
  VIXM(-19%)    VXX(-13%)    UUP(-6%)    UNG(-3%)    IYT(-3%)  
Explanation   The decline is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -1
 
Relative Volatility   -0.2 (options are faily valued)
 
Market Trend Strength  0% (StdDev 3.54%)
Hourly BBV   0.9 ()
Intraday Trend   3.5%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $69.38(0.44%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $63.14(-8.6%)
Inflection Point  Yes
Resistance Level  $71.43
5 Day Moving Average  $68.14(1.38%)
10 Day Moving Average  $69.09(-0.01%)
20 Day Moving Average  $71.43(-3.29%)
To recent high  -12%
To recent low  27.1%
Market Cap  $27.168b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Wed. Mar. 10, 2021
Analyst One Year Target Price  $92.29 ($41.00 - $136.00)
  14 analysts (last updated on Fri. Oct. 30, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  33.6%
% to Low Target Price  -40.65%
% to High Target Price  96.87%
 
 


Moderna, Inc. engages in the development of transformative medicines based on messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA). Its product pipeline includes the following modalities: prophylactic vaccines, cancer vaccines, intratumoral immuno-oncology, localized regenerative therapeutics, systemic secreted therapeutics, and systemic intracellular therapeutics. The company was founded by Noubar B. Afeyan, Robert S. Langer, Jr., Derrick J. Rose and Kenneth R. Chien in 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

July 7, 2020 MRNA, which has developed a vaccine candidate mRNA-1273, is in its phase 2 clinical trials. The mRNA is a molecule that genetically encodes a set of instructions, based on which cells make proteins and send them to various parts of the body.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. MRNA price fluctuates within 4.34% (three month std-dev: 3.54%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. MRNA price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20201203

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
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Weekly
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CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Nov_3_202071.43 (-0.2%)69.09 (-0.9%)68.14 (-0.5%) 68.68 67.74(0%)69.08(2.94%)66.59-69.25-0.7(-0.8)0.9 -0.5%-0.3%0%-0.58% Downtrend Pop  Range(-0.8%)2371.2-1-1.6After Bottom 69.09(0.02%)67.73-70.24.37   -12%-27.1% 
2Nov_2_202071.54 (-0.2%)69.29 (-1%)68.45 (-0.9%) 68.56 68.36(0%)67.11(-0.53%)66.55-68.6-1.3(-1.4)-0.8 -1.4%-0.5%0%-0.66% Growing Downtrend  Range(-1.6%)2311.2-1-2.5Downtrend 66.62(-0.73%)66.11-67.834.65   -14.5%-23.5% 
3Oct_30_202071.81 (-0.1%)69.69 (-1.1%)69.08 (-0.9%) 69.25 69.63(0%)67.47(-5.35%)66.85-71.49-1.3(-1.5)-1 0.3%-0.7%0%-0.66% Downtrend Consolidation  Higher(2.3%)2391.1-0.9-2.2Growing Downtrend 67.02(-0.66%)66.5-68.167.09   -14%-24.2% 
4Oct_29_202071.92 (-0.1%)70.32 (-1%)69.69 (0.1%) 69.5 68.76(0%)71.28(8.43%)66.23-74.54-0.2(-0.2)0.6 -0.1%-0.3%0%-0.58% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.4%)1481.1-0.8-2.4Downtrend 70.74(-0.76%)70.44-71.4213.78   -10.4%-31.2% 
5Oct_28_202071.87 (-0%)70.69 (-1%)69.6 (-0.8%) 69.72 68.87(0%)65.74(-6.98%)65.49-69.47-1.9(-2.2)-2.3 -1.4%-1.2%0%-0.54% Growing Downtrend  Range(0.9%)2381.1-1-2.4Downtrend 65.49(-0.38%)64.96-66.716.04   -19.3%-21% 
 
6Oct_27_202072.16 (0.1%)71.78 (-0.9%)70.13 (-0.2%) 70.39 70.24(0%)70.67(0.61%)68.81-71.35-0.4(-0.6)1.1 -0.2%-0.7%0%-0.4% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.9%)3481-0.9-0.6Correction 68.81(-2.63%)68.47-70.183.81   -13.3%-30.1% 
7Oct_26_202072.17 (0.1%)72.49 (-0.6%)70.26 (-0.2%) 70.28 70.58(0%)70.24(-0.41%)68.7-71.32-0.6(-0.8)-1 -0.2%-0.5%0%-0.26% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.5%)4511-0.9-0.2Correction 68.6(-2.33%)68.29-69.873.87   -13.8%-29.3% 
8Oct_23_202072.21 (0.2%)73 (-0.5%)70.4 (-1%) 70.69 70.54(0%)70.53(-0.44%)68.8-72.4-0.6(-0.7)-2.3 0.1%-0.3%0%-0.18% Downtrend Consolidation  Range(0%)4491-0.90.8Correction 69.09(-2.04%)68.79-70.283.74   -13.4%-29.8% 
9Oct_22_202072.18 (0.2%)73.28 (-0.2%)71.08 (-1.3%) 71.03 69.98(0%)70.84(3.61%)68.4-72.53-0.4(-0.5)-1.4 -1.4%-0.1%0%-0.04% Downtrend Pop  Range(-1.5%)5571.1-0.90.6Correction 69.44(-1.98%)69.12-70.75.21   -14.9%-30.4% 
10Oct_21_202071.94 (0.3%)73.53 (0.1%)72.03 (-2.2%) 72.3 70.84(0%)68.37(-4.12%)68.06-71.58-1.1(-1.2)-5.2 -1.9%-0.4%0%0.14% Downtrend Reversal  Range(-0.2%)6501.2-10.1Downtrend Reversal 67.2(-1.71%)66.91-68.374.61   -17.8%-25.8% 
 
11Oct_20_202071.92 (0.4%)74 (0.5%)73.67 (-1.9%) 73.66 72.08(0%)71.31(0.49%)70.65-73.1-0.2(-0.2)-2.8 -2.2%0%0%0.38% Downtrend Reversal  Lower(-2.2%)7541.2-0.90.2Uptrend Consolidation 71.5(0.27%)71.46-71.615.44   -14.3%-31.2% 
12Oct_19_202071.81 (0.6%)74.04 (0.7%)75.07 (-1.2%) 75.27 73.76(0%)70.96(-4.03%)70.5-74.09-0.3(-0.3)-2.6 -1.8%-0.1%0%0.58% Downtrend Reversal  Range(0.1%)8541.1-0.81.2Uptrend Consolidation 71.31(0.5%)71.27-71.476.93   -14.7%-30.6% 
13Oct_16_202071.75 (0.7%)74.19 (0.9%)75.94 (0.3%) 76.62 75.23(0%)73.94(-2.17%)73.67-76.930.6(0.7)-1.1 -0.9%0.5%0%0.76% Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.7%)8611-0.80.9Uptrend Dip 75.58(2.22%)73.14-76.194.69   -22%-36.1% 
14Oct_15_202071.54 (0.9%)73.74 (0.9%)75.75 (0.7%) 76.44 76.77(0%)75.58(-1.28%)73.71-76.491.1(1.3)0.5 -0.4%0.7%0%0.8% Uptrend  Range(0.9%)8691-0.70.7After Top 75.53(-0.07%)73.33-77.335.01   -20.3%-39.1% 
15Oct_14_202071.15 (1%)73.19 (1%)75.22 (1.1%) 75.89 78(0%)76.56(-2.21%)76.33-80.011.6(1.8)1.4 2%0.7%0%0.86% Growing Uptrend  Higher(3.8%)8790.9-0.70.9Uptrend Dip 78.23(2.18%)74.43-79.186.64   -19.3%-40.9% 
 
16Oct_13_202070.74 (1.2%)72.59 (1%)74.38 (2%) 74.59 76.1(0%)78.29(3.96%)75.52-81.372.4(2.6)1.8 2.5%1.1%-2.9%0.88% Growing Uptrend  Lower(-4.6%)8750.9-0.60.9Breakout 78.84(0.7%)76.78-79.7213.67   -17.5%-44.1% 
17Oct_12_202070.14 (1.4%)71.76 (0.9%)72.93 (0.9%) 73.14 73.77(0%)75.31(3.16%)72.92-75.851.8(2)2.4 0.9%0.7%0%0.8% Growing Uptrend  Range(1.6%)8650.8-0.71.3Uptrend 75.71(0.53%)74.32-76.37.59   -20.6%-38.6% 
18Oct_9_202069.56 (1.1%)71.25 (0.7%)72.26 (1.2%) 72.48 73.09(0%)73(0.1%)72.39-73.671(1.1)2.3 0.9%0.6%0%0.74% Growing Uptrend  Range(1.5%)8600.9-0.71.1Growing Uptrend 73.8(1.09%)72.33-74.164.77   -23%-34.3% 
19Oct_8_202068.91 (0.8%)70.9 (0.4%)71.42 (0.8%) 71.87 72.5(0%)72.93(0.77%)72.01-73.760.8(1)3.2 1%1.1%0%0.62% Growing Uptrend  Range(2.1%)7571.1-0.71.1Growing Uptrend 73.79(1.18%)72.32-74.164.02   -23.1%-34.2% 
20Oct_7_202068.18 (0.6%)70.15 (0.3%)70.84 (0.5%) 70.9 71.88(0%)72.37(1.87%)70.96-73.240.8(1)0.8 0.8%0.8%0%0.46% Growing Uptrend  Range(1.6%)6611.3-0.70.7Uptrend 72.81(0.61%)71.67-73.314.19   -23.7%-33.2% 
 
21Oct_6_202067.44 (0.4%)69.63 (0.2%)70.52 (0.2%) 70.29 71.24(0%)71.04(-1.26%)70.31-73.920.6(0.7)0.1 0.9%0.6%0%0.38% Growing Uptrend  Range(2.1%)5561.5-0.70.3After Top 70.8(-0.34%)69.04-72.247.29   -25.1%-30.7% 
22Oct_5_202066.65 (0.3%)69.39 (0.2%)70.41 (0.4%) 70.39 69.92(0%)71.95(4.56%)69.05-72.021(1)1.7 0.5%0.5%0%0.36% Growing Uptrend  Range(1%)4631.6-0.60.5Uptrend 72.19(0.34%)70.85-72.786.52   -24.1%-32.4% 
23Oct_2_202066.17 (0.3%)69.09 (0.3%)70.13 (-0.2%) 70.34 69.34(0%)68.81(-1.74%)67.25-72.770.5(0.5)-0.9 -1.2%-0%0%0.42% Downtrend Reversal  Range(-0.3%)5651.5-0.70.7Uptrend Consolidation 68.16(-0.94%)67.77-69.338   -27.5%-26.6% 
24Oct_1_202065.96 (0.3%)69.19 (0.5%)70.26 (1.4%) 70.59 70.85(0%)70.03(-1.02%)68.16-70.20.8(0.8)0.4 0.1%0.3%0%0.62% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.9%)6761.5-0.70.9Uptrend 70.72(0.98%)69.24-71.346.84   -26.2%-28.9% 
25Sep_30_202065.68 (0.2%)68.98 (0.6%)69.29 (1.1%) 70.14 71.34(0%)70.75(0.33%)70.16-75.391(1)1.6 1.7%0.4%0%0.68% Growing Uptrend  Range(2.1%)6791.5-0.60.8Uptrend 71.35(0.85%)69.7-72.0615.69   -25.4%-30.2% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
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CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
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Force
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Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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