Trading Signals: MRNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 7, 2019

Trading Signals: MRNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 7, 2018 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Moderna, Inc)
MRNA latest price $15.4700 (-0.26%) ($15.0700 - $15.6300) on Mon. Oct. 7, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.25% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $15.4700(-0.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MRNA declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MRNA declines -7.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MRNA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(45%)    IPO(32%)    XBI(29%)    ARKG(28%)    ARKK(25%)
Factors Impacting MRNA price   MRNA will decline at least -1.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-14%)    TBT(-7%)    VIXM(-5%)    USO(-5%)    VXX(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.625% (StdDev 3.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $3.52(-77.25%)
Resistance Level   $16.52
5 Day Moving Average   $15.14(2.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $15.84(-2.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16.52(-6.36%)
To recent high   -14.4%
To recent low   26.2%
Market Cap   $6.084b

Moderna, Inc. engages in the development of transformative medicines based on messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA). Its product pipeline includes the following modalities: prophylactic vaccines, cancer vaccines, intratumoral immuno-oncology, localized regenerative therapeutics, systemic secreted therapeutics, and systemic intracellular therapeutics. The company was founded by Noubar B. Afeyan, Robert S. Langer, Jr., Derrick J. Rose and Kenneth R. Chien in 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

July 7, 2020 MRNA, which has developed a vaccine candidate mRNA-1273, is in its phase 2 clinical trials. The mRNA is a molecule that genetically encodes a set of instructions, based on which cells make proteins and send them to various parts of the body.

$. MRNA price fluctuates within 6.36% (three month std-dev: 3.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 4.23%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 3.27%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 11.62%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20191107

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_7_2019	15.68	16.52	15.84	15.14		15.33	15.47(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-37	100	-0	-146	1.37	54%	-0.51	-16.2	3.25%	0	-1	26	-0.3
2	Oct_4_2019	15.76	16.56	16.06	15.23	15.1	15.12	15.51(2.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-35	-20	-1	-135	1.02	54%	-0.51	-12.9	3.26%	0	-1	36	0.2
3	Oct_3_2019	15.84	16.59	16.31	15.31	15.26	14.88	15.07(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-43	-180	-16	-125	1.46	56%	-0.5	-7.9	3.27%	0	-1.5	36	-0.7
4	Oct_2_2019	15.92	16.63	16.59	15.57	15.54	15.08	14.86(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-48	-210	-30	-101	1.78	56%	-0.56	2.1	3.36%	0	-1.8	39	-1.4
5	Oct_1_2019	16.01	16.67	16.89	16.03	16.06	15.65	14.81(-6.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-38	-170	-31	-60	1.54	56%	-0.62	19.3	3.37%	0	-1.8	45	-0.4

6	Sep_30_2019	16.11	16.67	17.2	16.63	16.57	16.01	15.92(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	-250	-25	-19	1.53	60%	-0.56	38.7	3.25%	0	-0.8	42	0.4
7	Sep_27_2019	16.2	16.7	17.33	17.01	17.02	16.48	15.9(-2.69%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-20	-220	-30	12	2.31	62%	-0.43	59.5	3.26%	0	-0.8	53	0.2
8	Sep_26_2019	16.27	16.67	17.43	17.45	17.51	17.14	16.34(-4.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-2	-140	-20	51	4.45	62%	-0.49	75.8	3.29%	0	-0.3	58	0.6
9	Sep_25_2019	16.35	16.61	17.46	17.76	17.82	17.57	17.18(-3.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	14	-90	-10	87	3.05	65%	-0.43	83.2	3.22%	0	0.5	67	0.7
10	Sep_24_2019	16.42	16.48	17.35	17.88	17.82	17.88	17.82(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	25	-10	-2	107	5.21	65%	-0.61	83.1	3.2%	0	1.2	74	0.5

11	Sep_23_2019	16.52	16.34	17.28	17.85	17.94	18.06	17.83(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	40	60	8	135	4.86	65%	-0.54	91	3.25%	0	1.3	77	1
12	Sep_20_2019	16.61	16.14	17.1	17.69	17.82	18	18.07(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	45	90	15	134	25.24	65%	-0.66	87.1	3.28%	0	1.6	67	1.1
13	Sep_19_2019	16.72	15.95	16.88	17.42	17.54	17.82	17.9(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	44	130	16	127	5.87	65%	-0.48	88.8	3.29%	0	1.7	70	1.7
14	Sep_18_2019	16.8	15.76	16.65	17.12	17.2	17.65	17.78(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	46	200	21	121	5.83	65%	-0.53	92.4	3.29%	0	1.8	71	1.7
15	Sep_17_2019	16.89	15.58	16.41	16.75	16.97	17.26	17.66(3.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	160	14	107	5.24	65%	-0.47	92.1	3.29%	0	2	73	1.4

16	Sep_16_2019	16.97	15.36	16.13	16.63	16.75	16.76	17.05(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	30	9	100	3.05	63%	-0.53	94.2	3.28%	0	1.6	65	1.5
17	Sep_13_2019	17.06	15.17	15.99	16.43	16.67	16.69	16.71(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	50	7	107	3.16	60%	-0.52	86.7	3.33%	0	1.5	70	1.8
18	Sep_12_2019	17.15	14.97	15.83	16.26	16.51	16.75	16.4(3.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	150	11	113	8.29	60%	-0.58	76	3.32%	0	1.3	66	1.8
19	Sep_11_2019	17.25	14.79	15.68	16.09	16.22	16.65	15.92(-6.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	37	210	12	111	3.59	60%	-0.52	69	3.31%	0	1	63	1.7
20	Sep_10_2019	17.34	14.66	15.55	15.99	15.95	16.26	17.09(6.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	51	130	28	121	3.08	58%	-0.34	70.9	3.2%	0	2.1	72	1.6

21	Sep_9_2019	17.4	14.45	15.32	15.55	15.6	15.8	16.03(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	100	6	97	2.31	55%	-0.11	69.7	3.37%	0	1.5	73	1.7
22	Sep_6_2019	17.42	14.31	15.11	15.49	15.49	15.64	15.88(2.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	70	9	106	2.04	55%	-0.4	75.3	3.38%	0	1.6	74	1.9
23	Sep_5_2019	17.49	14.17	14.94	15.35	15.44	15.41	15.53(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	0	8	117	1.39	51%	-0.46	75.9	3.37%	0	1.4	75	1.6
24	Sep_4_2019	17.57	14.04	14.81	15.21	15.29	15.34	15.42(3.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	40	6	122	1.56	51%	-0.45	72.4	3.54%	0	1.5	74	1
25	Sep_3_2019	17.65	13.88	14.68	15.02	15.15	15.48	14.88(-5.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	34	180	4	123	2.51	47%		61.6	3.51%	0	1.1	64	-0.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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