Trading Signals: MRNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 28, 2019

Trading Signals: MRNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 7, 2018 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Moderna, Inc)
MRNA latest price $22.6000 (2.26%) ($22.0500 - $23.0300) on Thu. Feb. 28, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.69% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $22.6000(2.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MRNA advances 3.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MRNA advances 10.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MRNA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(44%)    IPO(31%)    XBI(29%)    ARKG(28%)    ARKK(25%)
Factors Impacting MRNA price   MRNA will decline at least -2.345% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-5%)    USO(-4%)    UUP(-3%)    XHB(-1%)    XLE(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.345% (StdDev 4.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.99(2.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.17(6.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.42(16.37%)
To recent high   -4.6%
To recent low   67.2%
Market Cap   $8.888b

Moderna, Inc. engages in the development of transformative medicines based on messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA). Its product pipeline includes the following modalities: prophylactic vaccines, cancer vaccines, intratumoral immuno-oncology, localized regenerative therapeutics, systemic secreted therapeutics, and systemic intracellular therapeutics. The company was founded by Noubar B. Afeyan, Robert S. Langer, Jr., Derrick J. Rose and Kenneth R. Chien in 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

July 7, 2020 MRNA, which has developed a vaccine candidate mRNA-1273, is in its phase 2 clinical trials. The mRNA is a molecule that genetically encodes a set of instructions, based on which cells make proteins and send them to various parts of the body.

$. MRNA price fluctuates within 11.07% (three month std-dev: 4.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -4.79%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 5.14%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -11.43%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 17.46%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -10.33%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20190328

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_28_2019	17.26	19.42	21.17	21.99	22.28	22.62	22.6(2.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	46	150	16	136	0.51	62%	0.58	92.9	4.69%	0	1.5	74	0.8
2	Feb_27_2019	17.16	19.05	20.77	21.33	21.56	22.76	22.1(-6.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	46	420	22	119	1.55	62%	0.53	83.1	4.73%	0	1.4	66	0.9
3	Feb_26_2019	17.07	18.68	20.43	20.9	20.76	21.95	23.7(9.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	55	380	33	121	2.52	65%	0.77	73.5	4.67%	0	2.2	74	1
4	Feb_25_2019	16.94	18.21	19.86	20.32	20.14	20.37	21.65(8.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	50	10	110	1.92	63%	0.53	65.5	4.54%	0	1.6	74	1.2
5	Feb_22_2019	16.85	17.87	19.49	20.28	20.12	19.57	19.88(2.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	27	-220	-5	122	0.57	60%	0.36	64.2	4.43%	0	1	71	1.6

6	Feb_21_2019	16.79	17.61	19.22	20.24	20.36	19.92	19.34(-2.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	29	-130	-4	128	0.82	60%	0.3	58.7	4.46%	0	0.8	66	1.3
7	Feb_20_2019	16.74	17.39	19.11	20.08	20.3	20.66	19.92(-4.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	43	160	7	151	1.16	60%	0.36	51.9	4.48%	0	1.2	75	1.6
8	Feb_19_2019	16.68	17.17	18.85	19.83	19.9	20.81	20.83(-2.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	64	330	27	174	1.2	60%	0.54	47.3	4.48%	0	1.8	81	1
9	Feb_15_2019	16.59	16.94	18.39	19.3	19.23	19.93	21.44(9.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	66	240	31	171	2.09	60%	0.61	43.1	4.5%	0	2.4	84	1.5
10	Feb_14_2019	16.49	16.66	17.85	18.61	18.61	18.99	19.66(6.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	55	140	21	156	1.09	57%	0.43	38.7	4.36%	0	2	77	1

11	Feb_13_2019	16.42	16.47	17.53	18.09	18.2	18.54	18.53(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	43	150	8	147	1.33	54%	0.31	32.3	4.32%	0	1.5	75	1.3
12	Feb_12_2019	16.37	16.36	17.2	18.01	17.89	18.23	18.69(2.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	48	110	13	153	0.75	54%	0.31	31.8	4.36%	0	1.8	75	1.5
13	Feb_11_2019	16.32	16.25	16.8	17.71	17.74	17.86	18.17(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	46	50	16	136	0.6	54%	0.25	29.8	4.39%	0	1.7	65	1.3
14	Feb_8_2019	16.28	16.17	16.44	17.33	17.41	17.56	17.99(5.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	70	11	99	0.69	54%	0.25	22	4.44%	0	1.7	55	1.3
15	Feb_7_2019	16.24	16.09	16.12	16.97	17.07	17.62	17.05(-6.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	240	8	71	0.53	51%	0.12	18.3	4.41%	0	1	54	1.1

16	Feb_6_2019	16.22	16.04	15.89	16.88	16.81	17.26	18.14(5.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	37	170	28	64	1.02	55%	0.31	20.9	4.37%	0	2.1	60	1.7
17	Feb_5_2019	16.17	15.97	15.53	16.28	16.41	16.51	17.18(5.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	19	70	20	17	0.65	52%	0.19	12.7	4.33%	0	1.4	52	1.8
18	Feb_4_2019	16.14	15.91	15.35	15.77	15.97	16.36	16.27(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	5	210	14	-21	0.3	49%	0	7.8	4.29%	0	0.4	45	1.9
19	Feb_1_2019	16.14	15.94	15.37	15.41	15.56	16.31	16.22(-2.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	6	370	20	-38	0.62	49%	0	8	4.34%	0	0.3	43	1.4
20	Jan_31_2019	16.14	15.91	15.36	15.14	15.1	15.58	16.6(9.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	5	210	23	-51	2.26	49%	0.12	9.7	4.39%	0	0.8	50	1.4

21	Jan_30_2019	16.12	15.84	15.3	14.75	14.75	14.81	15.13(3.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-17	30	5	-83	0.76	42%	-0.19	4.1	4.11%	0	-0.8	39	1.1
22	Jan_29_2019	16.15	15.86	15.43	14.68	14.71	14.62	14.63(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	-40	-8	-95	0.59	42%	-0.31	6	4.12%	0	-1.4	29	0.5
23	Jan_28_2019	16.2	15.85	15.64	14.87	14.88	14.7	14.45(-3.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-80	-18	-87	0.66	42%	-0.31	5.5	4.16%	0	-1.7	37	0.6
24	Jan_25_2019	16.25	15.87	15.9	15.32	15.23	14.8	14.91(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-28	-220	-15	-65	0.94	42%	-0.25	12.2	4.21%	0	-1.1	35	1.1
25	Jan_24_2019	16.29	15.82	16.06	15.6	15.67	15.05	14.64(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-26	-260	-19	-46	0.45	42%		3.1	4.25%	0	-1.3	48	0.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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