Trading Signals: MRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 1, 2017

Trading Signals: MRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Merck)
MRK latest price $58.0671 (0.18%) ($57.5622 - $58.2261) on Wed. Feb. 1, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.37% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $58.0671(0.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MRK advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(55%)    SPLV(52%)    IWD(47%)    VYM(47%)    IVE(46%)
Factors Impacting MRK price   MRK will decline at least -0.685% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-10%)    DIA(-9%)    UUP(-8%)    XHB(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.685% (StdDev 1.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $57.69(0.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $57.56(0.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $57.33(1.29%)
To recent high   -3.7%
To recent low   7.1%
Market Cap   $146.861b

Merck & Co., Inc. engages in the provision of health solutions through its prescription medicines, vaccines, biologic therapies, animal health, and consumer care products. It operates through the following segments: Pharmaceutical, Animal Health, Healthcare Services, and Alliances. The Pharmaceutical segment includes human health pharmaceutical and vaccine products. The Animal Health segment discovers, develops, manufactures, and markets animal health products, such as pharmaceutical and vaccine products, for the prevention, treatment and control of disease in livestock and companion animal species, which it sells to veterinarians, distributors, and animal producers. The Healthcare Services segment offers services and solutions that focus on engagement, health analytics, and clinical services to improve the value of care delivered to patients. The Alliances segment includes results from the Company's relationship with AstraZeneca LP related to sales of Nexium and Prilosec. The company was founded in 1891 and is headquartered in Kenilworth, NJ.

$. MRK price fluctuates within 1.26% (three month std-dev: 1.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170301

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_1_2017	57.17	57.33	57.56	57.69			58.07(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	4	-10000	5	1	11.02	61%	0.02	70.6	1.37%	0	1	53	0
2	Jan_31_2017	57.16	57.24	57.47	57.5			57.96(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	3	-10000	4	1	9.82	61%	0	66.7	1.38%	0	1	62	0
3	Jan_30_2017	57.16	57.11	57.41	57.35			57.44(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3	-10000	-2	-6	7.85	61%	-0.02	56.9	1.37%	0	0.4	52	0
4	Jan_27_2017	57.17	57	57.49	57.42			57.74(0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-1	-10000	-4	9	6.65	54%	0	49.7	1.47%	0	0.9	58	0
5	Jan_26_2017	57.17	56.89	57.52	57.57			57.23(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	11	-10000	4	32	12.71	51%	-0.02	44.9	1.46%	0	0.4	57	0

6	Jan_25_2017	57.18	56.83	57.57	57.41			57.11(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	8	-10000	-0	33	14.56	54%	-0.02	33	1.48%	0	0.3	56	0
7	Jan_24_2017	57.19	56.76	57.57	57.42			57.23(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-10000	-1	32	10.49	54%	0	21.1	1.5%	0	0.5	57	0
8	Jan_23_2017	57.19	56.68	57.48	57.47			57.8(-1.15%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	11	-10000	-2	48	10.2	54%	0	10.9	1.5%	0	1.1	66	0
9	Jan_20_2017	57.19	56.57	57.34	57.57			58.47(3.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	-10000	1	62	25.24	54%	0	4.4	1.5%	0	1.8	68	0
10	Jan_19_2017	57.19	56.47	57.34	57.51			56.41(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	12	-10000	-6	66	11.4	49%	-0.02	-3	1.43%	0	-0.1	59	0

11	Jan_18_2017	57.2	56.5	57.11	57.75			57.2(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	26	-10000	6	86	8.13	49%	-0.02	3.5	1.42%	0	0.7	59	0
12	Jan_17_2017	57.21	56.54	57.02	57.52			57.49(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	22	-10000	2	80	10.59	49%	-0.02	4.2	1.42%	0	1	63	0
13	Jan_13_2017	57.22	56.57	56.79	57.45			58.29(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	-10000	10	78	9.97	49%	0.02	12.8	1.41%	0	1.7	69	0
14	Jan_12_2017	57.21	56.53	56.48	57.06			58.17(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	23	-10000	10	60	24.89	49%	0	11.7	1.42%	0	1.6	69	0
15	Jan_11_2017	57.21	56.49	56.19	56.67			57.63(2.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	14	-10000	7	36	32.71	45%	-0.02	9.1	1.41%	0	1.2	55	0

16	Jan_10_2017	57.22	56.47	56	56.39			56.03(-1.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-10000	-1	13	15.3	43%	-0.03	7.3	1.42%	0	-0.4	39	0
17	Jan_9_2017	57.24	56.51	55.97	56.43			57.13(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	8	-10000	10	1	9.73	46%	-0.03	8.9	1.42%	0	0.6	36	0
18	Jan_6_2017	57.26	56.44	55.82	56.02			56.36(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	-10000	6	-37	10.24	46%	-0.03	-5.1	1.41%	0	-0.1	30	0
19	Jan_5_2017	57.28	56.41	55.73	55.79			56.21(-0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-13	-10000	4	-63	10.1	46%	-0.03	-16.2	1.41%	0	-0.2	35	0
20	Jan_4_2017	57.3	56.4	55.76	55.63			56.23(-0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-19	-10000	2	-80	9.41	46%	-0.03	-28.2	1.41%	0	-0.2	36	0

21	Jan_3_2017	57.32	56.39	55.83	55.56			56.24(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-19	-10000	3	-84	11.99	46%	-0.05	-35.5	1.41%	0	-0.1	42	0
22	Dec_30_2016	57.35	56.42	56.01	55.45			55.05(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-10000	-4	-85	10.77	42%	-0.07	-44.1	1.38%	0	-1.4	37	0
23	Dec_29_2016	57.39	56.49	56.33	55.59			55.21(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-10000	-2	-63	6.52	40%	-0.03	-47.1	1.38%	0	-1.3	49	0
24	Dec_28_2016	57.41	56.57	56.59	55.66			55.42(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-10000	-6	-47	6.17	40%	-0.03	-50.3	1.41%	0	-1.3	51	0
25	Dec_27_2016	57.43	56.69	56.83	55.89			55.91(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-11	-10000	-6	-26	5.82	40%		-44.1	1.41%	0	-0.9	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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