Trading Signals: MRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MRK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Feb. 17, 2016

Trading Signals: MRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Merck)
MRK latest price $45.8334 (1.65%) ($45.2537 - $45.8787) on Wed. Feb. 17, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.41% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $45.8334(1.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MRK advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MRK declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(56%)    IWD(47%)    VYM(47%)    IVE(46%)    SDY(44%)
Factors Impacting MRK price   MRK will decline at least -0.705% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-7%)    GDXJ(-6%)    DIA(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.705% (StdDev 1.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.89(2.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.74(2.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.28(1.22%)
To recent high   -6.5%
To recent low   4.1%
Market Cap   $115.92b

Merck & Co., Inc. engages in the provision of health solutions through its prescription medicines, vaccines, biologic therapies, animal health, and consumer care products. It operates through the following segments: Pharmaceutical, Animal Health, Healthcare Services, and Alliances. The Pharmaceutical segment includes human health pharmaceutical and vaccine products. The Animal Health segment discovers, develops, manufactures, and markets animal health products, such as pharmaceutical and vaccine products, for the prevention, treatment and control of disease in livestock and companion animal species, which it sells to veterinarians, distributors, and animal producers. The Healthcare Services segment offers services and solutions that focus on engagement, health analytics, and clinical services to improve the value of care delivered to patients. The Alliances segment includes results from the Company's relationship with AstraZeneca LP related to sales of Nexium and Prilosec. The company was founded in 1891 and is headquartered in Kenilworth, NJ.

$. MRK price fluctuates within 1.74% (three month std-dev: 1.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160317

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_17_2016	46.96	45.28	44.74	44.89			45.83(1.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	0	-10000	8	-24	9.32	45%	0.04	-49.4	1.41%	0	0.7	50	0
2	Feb_16_2016	46.94	45.3	44.7	44.63			45.09(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	-10000	5	-48	11.42	43%	0.09	-56.4	1.39%	0	-0.3	41	0
3	Feb_12_2016	46.9	45.36	44.77	44.46			44.41(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-10000	-2	-63	13.6	41%	-0.02	-59.9	1.37%	0	-1.1	40	0
4	Feb_11_2016	46.91	45.48	44.91	44.52			44.25(-1.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-15	-10000	2	-64	11.09	41%	-0.04	-57.5	1.38%	0	-1.4	37	0
5	Feb_10_2016	46.93	45.57	44.96	44.47			44.86(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-23	-10000	-3	-83	11.04	41%	0	-71.4	1.38%	0	-0.9	43	0

6	Feb_9_2016	46.93	45.67	45.03	44.57			44.53(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-26	-10000	-7	-83	10.65	41%	-0.04	-73.4	1.37%	0	-1.3	44	0
7	Feb_8_2016	46.95	45.76	45.23	44.79			44.23(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-27	-10000	-11	-74	13.35	41%	-0.04	-76	1.37%	0	-1.9	38	0
8	Feb_5_2016	46.97	45.87	45.42	45.14			44.73(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-10000	-8	-57	16.88	41%	-0.09	-79.9	1.37%	0	-1.5	41	0
9	Feb_4_2016	47.01	45.99	45.6	45.38			44.01(-2.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-15	-10000	-4	-48	20.61	39%	-0.11	-81.8	1.35%	0	-2.7	34	0
10	Feb_3_2016	47.06	46.17	45.82	45.49			45.34(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-10000	-2	-42	19.57	42%	-0.06	-95	1.31%	0	-1.3	48	0

11	Feb_2_2016	47.09	46.3	45.87	45.54			45.66(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-17	-10000	-6	-50	14.9	42%	-0.02	-79.4	1.31%	0	-0.9	43	0
12	Feb_1_2016	47.1	46.4	45.96	45.73			45.97(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-10	-10000	-1	-38	11.43	42%	-0.02	-72.3	1.31%	0	-0.6	48	0
13	Jan_29_2016	47.11	46.48	45.99	45.76			45.9(2.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-13	-10000	-4	-38	16.92	42%	-0.02	-72	1.31%	0	-0.7	48	0
14	Jan_28_2016	47.12	46.6	46.08	45.89			44.57(-2.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-18	-10000	-11	-38	18.13	42%	-0.04	-59.7	1.25%	0	-2.5	36	0
15	Jan_27_2016	47.14	46.79	46.24	46.2			45.63(-2.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-8	-10000	-1	-30	13.12	45%	-0.02	-46.3	1.28%	0	-1.5	38	0

16	Jan_26_2016	47.15	46.9	46.36	46.23			46.6(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-9	-10000	1	-40	9.02	48%	0	-38.1	1.27%	0	-0.4	39	0
17	Jan_25_2016	47.15	46.96	46.34	46.21			46.12(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10000	-1	-53	9.28	48%	0	-37.2	1.26%	0	-1	41	0
18	Jan_22_2016	47.15	47.05	46.36	46.25			46.51(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-19	-10000	-3	-67	10.81	52%	-0.02	-41.3	1.27%	0	-0.7	41	0
19	Jan_21_2016	47.16	47.09	46.41	46.33			46.12(0.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-16	-10000	2	-69	11.93	52%	-0.02	-42	1.32%	0	-1.2	36	0
20	Jan_20_2016	47.17	47.14	46.53	46.28			45.79(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-10000	-7	-85	15.92	49%	-0.02	-46	1.31%	0	-1.6	33	0

21	Jan_19_2016	47.18	47.2	46.76	46.5			46.5(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-17	-10000	0	-69	10.93	51%	-0.06	-45.9	1.32%	0	-0.9	41	0
22	Jan_15_2016	47.21	47.26	46.86	46.49			46.32(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-10000	0	-73	15.49	54%	-0.06	-52	1.33%	0	-1.3	39	0
23	Jan_14_2016	47.24	47.39	47.01	46.48			46.92(2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-20	-10000	-1	-76	13.57	54%	-0.04	-46.2	1.35%	0	-0.7	41	0
24	Jan_13_2016	47.26	47.44	47.13	46.51			45.89(-2.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-26	-10000	-10	-72	16.55	48%	0.02	-40.6	1.32%	0	-2	42	0
25	Jan_12_2016	47.25	47.52	47.38	46.82			46.88(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	-10000	-8	-44	11.32	51%		-39.7	1.33%	0	-1	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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