Trading Signals: MRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 14, 2015

Trading Signals: MRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Merck)
MRK latest price $51.0397 (1.82%) ($50.0235 - $51.2429) on Tue. Apr. 14, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.02% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $51.0397(1.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MRK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MRK declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(58%)    IVE(49%)    VYM(49%)    SPY(47%)    IBB(44%)
Factors Impacting MRK price   MRK will decline at least -0.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-13%)    IGOV(-4%)    GDXJ(-4%)    UUP(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.51% (StdDev 1.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.6(0.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.58(0.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.91(0.25%)
To recent high   -7.6%
To recent low   3.9%
Market Cap   $129.088b

Merck & Co., Inc. engages in the provision of health solutions through its prescription medicines, vaccines, biologic therapies, animal health, and consumer care products. It operates through the following segments: Pharmaceutical, Animal Health, Healthcare Services, and Alliances. The Pharmaceutical segment includes human health pharmaceutical and vaccine products. The Animal Health segment discovers, develops, manufactures, and markets animal health products, such as pharmaceutical and vaccine products, for the prevention, treatment and control of disease in livestock and companion animal species, which it sells to veterinarians, distributors, and animal producers. The Healthcare Services segment offers services and solutions that focus on engagement, health analytics, and clinical services to improve the value of care delivered to patients. The Alliances segment includes results from the Company's relationship with AstraZeneca LP related to sales of Nexium and Prilosec. The company was founded in 1891 and is headquartered in Kenilworth, NJ.

$. MRK price fluctuates within 1.1% (three month std-dev: 1.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150514

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_14_2015	51.82	50.91	50.58	50.6			51.04(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-9	-10000	2	-40	14.66	39%	-0.02	33.6	1.02%	0	0.2	41	0
2	Apr_13_2015	51.83	50.88	50.62	50.54			50.13(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-10000	-3	-51	10.48	33%	-0.04	33	1%	0	-1.3	31	0
3	Apr_10_2015	51.85	50.87	50.71	50.62			50.59(-0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-13	-10000	1	-54	15.51	33%	-0.02	33.3	0.98%	0	-0.5	36	0
4	Apr_9_2015	51.86	50.83	50.74	50.6			50.75(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-10000	4	-61	12.01	33%	-0.02	22.3	0.99%	0	-0.1	42	0
5	Apr_8_2015	51.87	50.76	50.81	50.5			50.5(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-18	-10000	-2	-65	13.56	40%	-0.04	6.7	0.99%	0	-0.3	47	0

6	Apr_7_2015	51.89	50.72	50.93	50.55			50.75(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-15	-10000	-6	-43	9.28	46%	-0.02	-0.6	1.03%	0	0	60	0
7	Apr_6_2015	51.9	50.7	51.04	50.71			50.53(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-10000	-4	-17	12.65	55%	-0.02	-1.3	1.06%	0	-0.2	52	0
8	Apr_2_2015	51.91	50.67	51.16	50.82			50.46(0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	0	-10000	-3	9	7.58	57%	-0.02	-6.3	1.18%	0	-0.3	59	0
9	Apr_1_2015	51.92	50.68	51.27	50.9			50.24(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	1	-10000	-8	28	12.71	57%	-0.02	-8.1	1.19%	0	-0.5	58	0
10	Mar_31_2015	51.93	50.71	51.35	51.15			50.79(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-10000	-7	60	10.46	54%	-0.02	-2.5	1.19%	0	0.1	66	0

11	Mar_30_2015	51.94	50.73	51.28	51.35			51.55(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	18	-10000	-2	77	8.19	57%	0	4.3	1.19%	0	1	67	0
12	Mar_27_2015	51.94	50.71	51.18	51.42			51.03(0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	18	-10000	-5	86	8.52	57%	0	8.1	1.17%	0	0.4	57	0
13	Mar_26_2015	51.94	50.72	51.06	51.57			50.9(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	21	-10000	-4	95	10.58	57%	-0.02	14	1.18%	0	0.2	59	0
14	Mar_25_2015	51.95	50.75	50.95	51.68			51.48(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	27	-10000	4	96	14.04	57%	0	20.5	1.17%	0	0.9	54	0
15	Mar_24_2015	51.95	50.73	50.73	51.57			51.81(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	13	80	13.07	57%	0	15.9	1.18%	0	1.3	56	0

16	Mar_23_2015	51.95	50.69	50.5	51.19			51.9(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	-10000	10	45	10.66	51%	0.04	1.3	1.18%	0	1.5	53	0
17	Mar_20_2015	51.93	50.64	50.32	50.9			51.76(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	15	-10000	13	19	26.11	51%	0.04	-12	1.24%	0	1.5	50	0
18	Mar_19_2015	51.91	50.6	50.11	50.48			51.44(0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	5	-10000	12	-16	14.46	51%	0.04	-31.3	1.25%	0	1.2	49	0
19	Mar_18_2015	51.89	50.58	50.02	50.12			50.94(2.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-2	-10000	12	-43	14.93	55%	0.06	-47.9	1.25%	0	0.5	42	0
20	Mar_17_2015	51.86	50.6	49.98	49.76			49.9(-1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-17	-10000	2	-72	10	54%	0.02	-60	1.25%	0	-0.9	38	0

21	Mar_16_2015	51.85	50.68	50.1	49.7			50.47(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-18	-10000	2	-76	11.52	54%	0	-60.8	1.26%	0	-0.3	43	0
22	Mar_13_2015	51.85	50.73	50.17	49.64			49.66(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-21	-10000	-1	-81	13.07	49%	0	-61.8	1.24%	0	-1.4	35	0
23	Mar_12_2015	51.85	50.83	50.33	49.68			49.63(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	-10000	-7	-81	12.95	45%	0.04	-64.2	1.25%	0	-1.6	34	0
24	Mar_11_2015	51.83	50.93	50.53	49.91			49.14(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-24	-10000	-10	-64	15.67	45%	0.02	-62.8	1.29%	0	-2.6	28	0
25	Mar_10_2015	51.82	51.06	50.75	50.23			49.6(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-20	-10000	-9	-52	13.13	45%		-75.4	1.29%	0	-2.5	27	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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